WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 GFS Ensemble favors suppression at the time which is not a bad place to be. Don't wanna be in the bullseye yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 2 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: GFS Ensemble favors suppression at the time which is not a bad place to be. Don't wanna be in the bullseye yet. Correct! That's the place to be in this set up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 19 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Bad hurricane season incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 This was probably the coldest GFS run since January 2018. Just keeps reinforcing cold shots the entire time after the 17th 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: This was probably the coldest GFS run since January 2018. Just keeps reinforcing cold shots the entire time after the 17th Yep, verbatim it's winter weather potential all the way to the end of the run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 The UKMET is quite amped and warm, good to see the GEFS cold and suppressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 UK and Canadian have more amped solutions next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2024 Author Share Posted January 11, 2024 OMG the 12z euro is looking like this mornings control Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 3 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: OMG the 12z euro is looking like this mornings control Get's squashed, but pretty close to something good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Another good run for the pieces of energy, it just didn’t translate to the surface map like we would hope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2024 Author Share Posted January 11, 2024 Then it squashed it. Baby steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 squashed ain't bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2024 Author Share Posted January 11, 2024 1 minute ago, olafminesaw said: Get's squashed, but pretty close to something good. Yep! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Just now, BooneWX said: Another good run for the pieces of energy, it just didn’t translate to the surface map like we would hope ensembles await 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Dr. No strikes again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Lots of mood flakes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Just now, wncsnow said: Lots of mood flakes Talk about a finger ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2024 Author Share Posted January 11, 2024 Just now, strongwxnc said: Talk about a finger ... Indeed! That finger is giving me hope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said: Indeed! That finger is giving me hope Unless its about snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 I still think this is our best shot to date for at least an inch of snow for much of NC. The EPS has increased slightly each run the past few days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I still think this is our best shot to date for at least an inch of snow for much of NC. The EPS has increased slightly each run the past few days. Yep, always a good sign when the Mid-Atlantic forum is starting to get nervous about suppression 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 NWS Raleigh AFD: Given precipitation type, it is still too early to determine details, but GFS forecast soundings show potential for at least a period of snow, mainly in the north and west. 12z ECMWF and GFS ensembles have trended more wintry, with a majority now depicting measurable snow in the Piedmont. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Models continue to indicate a cold pattern despite the MJO moving through strong phases 4 & 5. Similar to Christmas of 2022. MJO overruled by other factors. MJO only determines what often happens, which is far from what always happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 GFS was a little warmer but held serve for the most part 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Yeah generally the same look overall, pv lobe just a bit further north. Too small of changes to nitpick over at this range. Interesting trend of that HP to the northeast trying to hang out a bit longer. Could help slow our system down, and maybe even deliver a bit of CAD to help with temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2024 Author Share Posted January 11, 2024 KCEU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2024 Author Share Posted January 11, 2024 KAVL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2024 Author Share Posted January 11, 2024 KGSP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2024 Author Share Posted January 11, 2024 KRDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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