SnowDawg Posted Wednesday at 01:56 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:56 AM Same trend as above but for ice. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted Wednesday at 02:40 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:40 AM 1st system is even slower on the 0z nam fwiw 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Wednesday at 02:55 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:55 AM 2 hours ago, olafminesaw said: On the one hand -NAO should continue to kick south. On the other hand, the last minute North trend is real. I think this map represents kinda the expected outcome with lots of uncertainty north or south. Of course plenty of opportunity for sleet or ZR south of that snow map With a formidable block in place as is being advertised used to that would cause a shift South from 4 or so days before event until time of arrival providing the blocking didn't wane or shift away. So, hopefully the gradual south shift continues. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 03:59 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:59 AM GFS is rolling and the energy is further south out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted Wednesday at 04:04 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:04 AM 4 minutes ago, BooneWX said: GFS is rolling and the energy is further south out west Could mean it tries to amplify and cut sooner. Let's see how our block does at slamming the door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 04:07 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:07 AM GFS is north and amped. Folding to the Euro per normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 04:09 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:09 AM Mostly sleet and ZR this run. Basically no snow south or VA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 04:10 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:10 AM CAD ice event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 04:11 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:11 AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted Wednesday at 04:17 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:17 AM 5 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Just what areas that were hit hard by Helene need…an ice storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ernest T Bass Posted Wednesday at 04:17 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:17 AM 5 minutes ago, BooneWX said: CAD ice event Not saying it happens, but we are overdue for ice event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 04:18 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:18 AM Just now, Ernest T Bass said: Not saying it happens, but we are overdue for ice event Unfortunately we are. We haven’t had a true CAD ice event in a while. Plenty of in-situ setups but those are rarely more than nuisance events. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 04:28 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:28 AM We haven't had a severe ice storm since the 2000's. Usually we luckout and it's more sleet or it's 33 and rain 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted Wednesday at 04:36 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:36 AM Had a feeling that would be the outcome when it dug so hard out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Wednesday at 04:42 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:42 AM This GFS run is what I’d expect from the pattern. This was not a southern storm but it’s too cold before to avoid ice. Lots of watching to go but I still feel strongly this will be a CAD mixed event. Duration and impact obviously TBD 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Wednesday at 04:43 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:43 AM INCOMING on the 11th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Wednesday at 04:45 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:45 AM RDU smoked. Beautiful. Miller A. Perfect Track. We gladly take. Lock it in!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted Wednesday at 04:47 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:47 AM Nice change on the following wave. Ideally it gets going quicker in the Gulf to get everyone more involved. But a good signal for now nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted Wednesday at 04:48 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:48 AM Storm 1 may not be too bad for significant icing south of Va. Storm 2 seems plausible for a possible Carolina Crusher.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted Wednesday at 05:32 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:32 AM Happy New Year all! This thread is now outdated. Who will update it to 2025 and bring the mojo? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 05:36 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:36 AM 3 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Happy New Year all! This thread is now outdated. Who will update it to 2025 and bring the mojo? https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/61436-mid-to-long-range-discussion-2025/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwatcherJ Posted Wednesday at 01:12 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:12 PM All weather apps/websites I see out of the triangle call for rain/freezing rain mix changing to all rain. Disappointed again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Wednesday at 02:21 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:21 PM EPS 1" probability for RDU through 1/11 went down to 25%. Extended out to 1/16 it is 56%. With that said, the probability of a dusting is way higher (75%) in the near-term. As desperate as we are, a dusting would be exciting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted Wednesday at 02:35 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:35 PM I just wish for once that one of these possibilities of a snowstorm would verify for us. With all the cold air around we're going to miss a great chance at a storm. Threading a needle isn't the phrase, it's worse than that. Maybe the models will come around for us folks. With all the deep cold air I'm surprised that any moisture that comes in isn't all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Wednesday at 02:53 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:53 PM Definitely not a good trend for the 7th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted Wednesday at 03:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:57 PM 2025 thread is open! (But not pinned yet) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted Wednesday at 03:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:58 PM 1 minute ago, kvegas-wx said: 2025 thread is open! (But not pinned yet) Was about to post the same thing.! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted Wednesday at 08:39 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:39 PM 6 hours ago, kvegas-wx said: 2025 thread is open! (But not pinned yet) 6 hours ago, strongwxnc said: Was about to post the same thing.! OH NO!! At the rate you guys ae posting pinning it does nothing. Just relax and enjoy the fact that the days are finally getting longer as we move toward spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now