BooneWX Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Murphy to manteo to the upstate and in between. That’s what this board needs. Don’t even care if it takes a much less amped storm and smaller totals to make it happen. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 12Z GEFS still has the storm... not as good as 6z but still there.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 12z EURO with a weird outcome... Heavy snow on the coast. Nothing InlandSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Here yall go. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 And just like that, back to square one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Guys I'd be excited with so much energy flying around. Something will hit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Yeah at range this is good stuff! Be a bit before it's resolved more precisely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Not a bad look at all!Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 12Z EPS probabilities increased slightly for Wake County... 44% chance of a trace and 26% chance of an inch, over next 10 days. The control run is a little faster than other models and has a classic NE NC signature around elizabeth city area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 9 hours ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: I thought you were done with this winter... you implied that it was over.... have you repented of your sins? I said maybe something in mid February. Everything before that looks like rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Not a forecast! But fun to look at. This is the KMA for the possible 4th-5th stormSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 6 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Not a forecast! But fun to look at. This is the KMA for the possible 4th-5th storm Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Going up! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 7 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: 12z EURO with a weird outcome... Heavy snow on the coast. Nothing Inland Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Has happened many many times before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 30 inches is a bit too much snow to me. The thing is that a storm is entirely possible now given the blocking is currently forecasted on the ensembles.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Wacky pattern coming up. Rare to see ridging this strong in Canada in the winter. Hopefully we all score at some point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 13 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Wacky pattern coming up. Rare to see ridging this strong in Canada in the winter. Hopefully we all score at some point. Yeah this is a highly anomalous pattern coming up. Will be interesting see how thing move around that big high pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 hours ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: 30 inches is a bit too much snow to me. The thing is that a storm is entirely possible now given the blocking is currently forecasted on the ensembles. . What showed 30 inches? If you are referring to the map posted by @olafminesaw, it was showing the probability of getting >1" is about 30% for RDU. Which is still better than baseline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 14 hours ago, BooneWX said: Murphy to Manteo to Hogtown to Atlanta and in between. That’s what this board needs. Don’t even care if Charleston to Hogtown to Valdosta gets by far the most. Fixed your post. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 0z Models came in suppressed, which is exactly where we want them to be 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 hours ago, JoshM said: 0z Models came in suppressed, which is exactly where we want them to be 6z GFS tracks the LP over the abacos islands in the Bahamas so we’ve got plenty of wiggle room for northward shifts! #suppressiondepression 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 FWIW, the 6z GEFS is a Major Winter Storm for the SE.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 40 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: FWIW, the 6z GEFS is a Major Winter Storm for the SE. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Who do we have to sacrifice to get member #12 to verify? 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Allan Huffman talked about the threat on "X". He says the operational runs have more skill than the ensemble so don't discount the OPS even at this range, unfortunately. All of them other than the cmc are to suppressed and the CMC is to warm.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 EPS is still on board with the system, and GEFS really jumped on board. Interestingly enough, EPS also showing some flurries/trace of snow with Feb 1 system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Feb is setting up to be quite an interesting month this year in the SE as it often is during El Niño. Some and possibly many will ultimately be disappointed but hopefully many will instead be pleased. Regardless, the forecasting discussion threads should be quite interesting and busy as we speculate on possibilities! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 This setup for the 4th-6th is an extreme setup with high end snowfall potential forum wide, but it's also a very touchy one. Could be a situation of either a big winter storm or nothing at all, with very little in between. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: Allan Huffman talked about the threat on "X". He says the operational runs have more skill than the ensemble so don't discount the OPS even at this range, unfortunately. All of them other than the cmc are to suppressed and the CMC is to warm. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Suppressed is good at 7 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 12Z also suppressed. 50/50 low is in a good spot, but the high over the NE is weak (only 1026mb) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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