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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024


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Happy New Year to the Best. Peeps. Ever. the SE CREW! May this year be filled with verifying clown maps with feet of snow that stays around for the duration of winter, spring rain for beautiful flowers and a safe severe season, summer thunderboomers with a few bendy trees and tropical systems to track, followed by beautiful vibrant fall colors season filled with football, family and fun :wub:  

 

Let the fun begin :snowing:

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14 hours ago, wncsnow said:

Flooding might be the big story

qpf_acc-imp.us_ma (6).png

It sure looks like the big El Nino comeback after last year's travesty isn't panning out. What a disaster.

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The 12z icon is much colder at the surface and a bit south as well. Several hours of zr including when the heavier precip moves in. Verbatim would have trouble accreating with temps around 31/32, but a trend to watch with the remainder of the 12z models. Not our typical significant ice storm setup, with limited cold air and heavy precip limiting the potential to a moderate event at most.

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44 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

I guess the question is now, how much ICE could the CAD areas get before it changes to rain?

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My guess would be a blend of Canadian and GFS, ~ 0.10 - .25 North and West of 85 and .25-.50 North of 40

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