Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[dryslot]

His area looks good on the 12z Euro and to the west as well of there into SNH and SW ME

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Yup , closer phase . Just S of MVY-ACK at 18z and a few tics north 

 

[dryslot]

The trend for the capture has been slowly ticking back North and to the west this morning on guidance.

[8611Blizz]

Looks pretty sleety here for most of Sunday

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, dryslot said:

The trend for the capture has been slowly ticking back North and to the west this morning on guidance.

Certainly has 

Will that be the last trend lol 

or will it be congrats PiT 2 

[Prismshine Productions]

Totals cut back from 6z but still a good hit on Kuchie and 10:1

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[CoastalWx]

Like the stronger intensification. 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Certainly has 

Will that be the last trend lol 

or will it be congrats PiT 2 

Good question, SLP track looks to become clearer, But when the 2nd s/w captures it i think is still the wild card.

[Torch Tiger]

Yeah great trends since yesterday, wow

[dryslot]

The stronger intensification seems to be happening just in time for eastern areas.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Like the stronger intensification. 

Def showed potential for some nice bands regenerating Sunday in eastern areas. 
 

I love my old stomping ground in this event…Winter hill in ORH with that elevation and east exposure is gonna clean up with the easterly flow in the BL above the surface. 
 

But I think even here should do quite well with easterly flow. Just wish I had a bit more than 350-400 feet of elevation to help. Could be some CF enhancement for a time on Sunday too as that temp gradient tightens before collapsing SE....esp up by Ray 

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Like the stronger intensification. 

Just want it a little sooner. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Good question, SLP track looks to become clearer, But when the 2nd s/w captures it i think is still the wild card.

 Very much so, needed the models to do what they have done so far to bring back the double digit threat but we shall see if it holds , strengthens , slides east or what 

[Roger Smith]

I will go with Plymouth to Newport to Groton sharp cutoff, coastal CT will see a lot more falling snow than measured snow on ground, like 2" reports after perceived 5-8" falls, and even north to BOS there will be snow stickage issues, will guess 5.5" BOS storm reported total, but expect reports of 8-12" not far away, storm jacks 15"-18" near (n-n.e. of) Worcester possibly almost to Nashua, Tolland 9", 40/70 13". 

 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Def showed potential for some nice bands regenerating Sunday in eastern areas. 
 

I love my old stomping ground in this event…Winter hill in ORH with that elevation and east exposure is gonna clean up with the easterly flow in the BL above the surface. 
 

But I think even here should do quite well with easterly flow. Just wish I had a bit more than 350-400 feet of elevation to help. Could be some CF enhancement for a time on Sunday too as that temp gradient tightens before collapsing SE....esp up by Ray 

I guess we'll let Ray have this one.  

[Greg]

You want that phase earlier than delayed. Looks like the low hanging back is refusing to give up its; power and remain separate for a while longer. Later the phase, the more marine air influence.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Most guidance has a decent thump for all at least Saturday night.. Take what we can get.. Hopefully someone can cash in with Part 2..

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I guess we'll let Ray have this one.  

Did you check with Kevin to see if its ok?

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Did you check with Kevin to see if its ok?

I do admire their cute battle they always have in the winter. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I guess we'll let Ray have this one.  

Kiss of death

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Most guidance has a decent thump for all at least Saturday night.. Take what we can get.. Hopefully someone can cash in with Part 2..

That’s the snow especially down there. Hopefully it rocks. I like a Euro/GFS/HREF compromise right now. 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Just want it a little sooner. 

CT all looks good 

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I do admire their cute battle they always have in the winter. 

Pronouns He/Him?

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Did you check with Kevin to see if its ok?

I don’t have a jack fetish . Never have . I only have 2 wx fetishes . Wet pasty snow and damage. Should see plenty of both over the next 5-6 days 

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

CT all looks good 

I’ll take good. Great would be better. That shoreline zone especially SE is looking dicey still as well. 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I don’t have a jack fetish . Never have . I only have 2 wx fetishes . Wet pasty snow and damage. Should see plenty of both over the next 5-6 days 

Nobody should have one, How often does it happen? Not very really for one person, We all want the most snow we can get but if someone gets 1-2" more thats great.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Nobody should have one, How often does it happen? Not very really for one person, We all want the most snow we can get but if someone gets 1-2" more thats great.

Some in NEMA get angry if you get 18 and they get 13.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Nobody should have one, How often does it happen? Not very really for one person, We all want the most snow we can get but if someone gets 1-2" more thats great.

To me it’s not going to be Metheun area. It looks to me like it’ll be N ORH county around Hunch 

[dryslot]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Some in NEMA get angry if you get 18 and they get 13.

[dryslot]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

To me it’s not going to be Metheun area. It looks to me like it’ll be N ORH county around Hunch 

That would be a shock.