Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[JoeSnowBOS]

Bufkit doesn't look bad for BOS. I could see BOS potentially getting in the 5-8'' range, especially if the banding blesses them. 

Not Logan. That’s for sure. Perhaps that 5-8 best case is as close as maybe Natick but prob not.


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[8611Blizz]

That wind is a bitch to forecast. Having just watched the TV Mets they are also putting up caveats  about it. Bz just posted a map about the area of greatest uncertainty and it was boston down 24 to 495. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, it never means nothing....even if you are cold, snow will settle some...especially the more you have.

Real weenies never let it settle. Measure aggressively and often and slant stick when in Rome( I mean Tolland). 

[moneypitmike]

2 hours ago, JKEisMan said:

I never know which of these I should use.

 

regardless, feeling good for where I sit.  And and GYX might have been on target with their forecast.  I thought they were way overshooting.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Also, this could also be a storm where someone like me sees more than you because of distance from the water, even though you are well north of here 

That can happen as well. Although this time, it's slightly cooler aloft here I think. But yeah south side of town can definitely have more. I saw that in March 2018 in that second event that brought the heavy wet snow. 

[WxWatcher007]

11 minutes ago, JKEisMan said:

Not sure if it's been posted, but PMM for 12z HREF.

Looks pretty healthy, esp east slopes of the Berks and ORH hills.

This looks pretty good. Thanks. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said:

Not Logan. That’s for sure. Perhaps that 5-8 best case is as close as maybe Natick but prob not.


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Again if it comes down hard and that CCB cranks in the aftn, lower range of that certainly achievable.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Real weenies never let it settle. Measure aggressively and often and slant stick when in Rome( I mean Tolland). 

 Well, you can't measure more frequently than 6 hour intervals if you want it to be legit....I adhered to that in March 2018 my 31" was still tossed.

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said:

Not Logan. That’s for sure. Perhaps that 5-8 best case is as close as maybe Natick but prob not.


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There will certainly be a tight gradient around there. Right along the water totals will be much less but you go a few miles inland and they'll probably get several inches. 

[wx2fish]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 Well, you can't measure more frequently than 6 hour intervals if you want it to be legit....I adhered to that in March 2018 my 31" was still tossed.

I had like 25" settled at the end of that. Fluffiest deep pack I've seen around here. 31" was reasonable measuring every 6hr. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, wx2fish said:

I had like 25" settled at the end of that. Fluffiest deep pack I've seen around here. 31" was reasonable measuring every 6hr. 

I had the exact, same peak settled depth. It was absurd that they tossed it.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 Well, you can't measure more frequently than 6 hour intervals if you want it to be legit....I adhered to that in March 2018 my 31" was still tossed.

Lol ya I mean to the average person (not us) those snow depth maps are pretty accurate bc they don’t measure until like hour 12+ probably.  But for us the reality probably falls in between the snow depth map and a Kuchera and even 10:1 sometimes, every event is different. 

[8611Blizz]

I live in west Somerville but work mostly out in East Somerville and East Cambridge. I have plowed my driveway with 2 or 3" and driven 3 miles east to be met with a dusting or sometimes rain.  I don't think it will be that bad but I do expect a gradient. 

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

This looks pretty good. Thanks. 

Ya that’s a very good look here. 

[dryslot]

14 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I never know which of these I should use.

 

regardless, feeling good for where I sit.  And and GYX might have been on target with their forecast.  I thought they were way overshooting.

They look good actually and have not made any changes yet.

[WxWatcher007]

9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya that’s a very good look here. 

We hold on our forecast and hope for the Euro to reverse like it did 24 hours ago. 

[MuddyWx]

ready for a good euro PBP 

[codfishsnowman]

2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

I miss West Hartford...certainly got screwed at times, but was pretty fortunate to have three 2' snow events. I hate it here in Springfield. I so can't wait to move back into CT. 

I totally understand, if you're here long enough West Hartford will seem like Lapland 

[Greg]

4 minutes ago, MuddyWx said:

ready for a good euro PBP 

Are you that guy who over measures in Wakefield? Just teasing  I do may jogs around the lake there for exercise all the time.

[ORH_wxman]

19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I had the exact, same peak settled depth. It was absurd that they tossed it.

Lol I remember when Pete Bouchard defended your measurement on the air in that storm. Was a cool gesture by him…but he explained that the depth was totally consistent with the 6-hourly measurement when you had fluffy dendrites like that. 

[JoeSnowBOS]

ready for a good euro PBP 

EURO becoming less of a tool to use given we are close to game time. Can still use but short range models to me are best at this point


.

[subdude]

East Coast Hose Job.

[Greg]

1 minute ago, JoeSnowBOS said:

EURO becoming less of a tool to use given we are close to game time. Can still use but short range models to me are best at this point


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Depends on one's preference. I can still use medium/long-range models up to 24 hours before direct onset of snow. They are still actually fairly reliable. Then of course, I start looking at short range models such as you do.

[dryslot]

12z Euro don't look much different from the 06z run so far @hr48

[weatherwiz]

hmmm I just realized I mistake I may have made earlier when looking at the NAM fronto. Been looking all around at 700mb frontogenesis maps. The focus here is going to be more in the 850-700mb layer than it would be 700-600 or 700-550mb layer. I just looked at the 850 fronto and its pretty wild. Great news too is lift would be strong enough to punch into the DGZ. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Hmmm

[dryslot]

Late capture but looks good Into coastal maine and back down NMA and SEMA

[weatherwiz]

Just now, dryslot said:

Late capture but looks good Into coastal maine and back down NMA and SEMA

Very good there...not so good for southern CT and areas closer to the coast 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Mild and more tucked ?

[ORH_wxman]

Ray jackpot on euro? 
 

Hangs back steady light stuff in eastern areas too well into early evening