Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[Snowcrazed71]

3 minutes ago, JKEisMan said:

This makes me feel good. What are your thoughts guys. This is more reliable source than the NAM?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Reggie was a nice hit for S NH into NE MA.

Theoretically Would the messenger shuffle also  relate to the phasing potential and CCB area  or not really in this situ

[Prismshine Productions]

If Reggie nails this can we refer to the model as Mr. January moving forward?

Makes sense, we all know how January Joe Flacco does in the playoffs

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[dryslot]

The RGEM still has a hangover from 2015.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

Funny. I used to live up in East longmeadow and then somers. Back in Plainville and How much happier back this way. Work in West Hartford and really love the area

West Hartford is great. Phenomenal school system (or at least it was...not sure about anymore), clean, and low crime (though from what I read that's increased). Property taxes are disgusting though. 

And too keep this weather related, West Hartford can get some nasty weather...both snow and thunderstorms. Of course, being in the valley they can get screwed but if the CCB works out they can get crushed. Feb 06 I got around 27'', the '11 blizzard was another around 27'', and Feb 13 in that ball park too. 

There was a stretch I had hail at least once per summer for a stretch of like 7-8 years. I loved going to Rockledge Golf Course at times to watch the thunderstorms come in from the West. 

The tree damage across the city in the Oct 2011 snowstorm was wild. Some streets looked like an F0 tornado ripped through as they were just littered with branches, limbs, and leaves. 

[CoastalWx]

Nice Krafty look at the end there on RGEM. Most of my eggs in that basket as far as snow goes I think. Unless the front end pounds.

[PWMan]

The totals have fluctuated, but that sharp northeastern cutoff near PWM has been consistent. Just looking forward to seeing something at this point.

[Damage In Tolland]

Reggie has been great during winters. HRRR tossed 

[weathafella]

Looks like BOX extended watches to the coast in ema.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Reggie has been great during winters. HRRR tossed 

Not since 2015.

[dendrite]

Relatively high probs for a foot plus from GYX

[CoastalWx]

Just now, weathafella said:

Looks like BOX extended watches to the coast in ema.

Yeah I could see why. 

[UnitedWx]

8 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Funny. I used to live up in East longmeadow and then somers. Back in Plainville and How much happier back this way. Work in West Hartford and really love the area

Funny, SOO glad to be out of (living) in CT. I just NEVER understood the appeal of West Hartford... you couldn't pay me to live there!

[KTBFFH1905]

39 minutes ago, DJln491 said:

We have action alright if you like 3 inches of rain

BOLLOCKS....well I will be in Vegas anyway. 

[dryslot]

Lot of beer flowing early on a friday.

[KTBFFH1905]

41 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Do you have time to volunteer on the hotline today 

Happy to pull a shift

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Since Dendy is pulling up srefs, we’ll tussle and pull up the great fv3:

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrwfv3&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2024010512&fh=60&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
 

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, KTBFFH1905 said:

BOLLOCKS....well I will be in Vegas anyway. 

Raiders!! 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

 

Yeah, I’m skeptical Keene only gets 2.7”

[Ginx snewx]

So much gnashing of teeth. The spread on the coast is huge. The lingering  50 knot 850 inflow intrigues me. That can pile up snow from Kev to the Monads and I could get some sloppy seconds. Love long lasting daylight flakes.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

 

This has always been my preferred Model.

[Snowcrazed71]

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

 

And how's this one for reliability? Just not sure myself. 

[tunafish]

11 minutes ago, PWMan said:

The totals have fluctuated, but that sharp northeastern cutoff near PWM has been consistent. Just looking forward to seeing something at this point.

Noticed that as well.  Cutoff is a razor thin line right through PWM.  Hopefully that comes to fruition and not further to you or I's south.  we'll see.

[Snowcrazed71]

8 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Funny, SOO glad to be out of (living) in CT. I just NEVER understood the appeal of West Hartford... you couldn't pay me to live there!

I don't live in West Hartford, I work in West Hartford. Love where we are in Plainville. I'm up on rattlesnake mountain so I'm a little higher up than the area around me. Super quiet where we are, lots of wildlife, the schools are great here for my daughter.

West hartford's a very dynamic mix of people. You definitely get the yuppies who thinks they're shit? Don't stink, but you do get a good mix of other people as well ( at least the clients I have in my showroom ). 

We have good friends in Simsbury which is a great town.

[WeatherWilly]

So from a trace to 12 inches. I'm glad the models have come to some agreement. 

[Spanks45]

1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

And how's this one for reliability? Just not sure myself. 

If I recall it has a cold bias.....always gave us more snow than reality(most of those clowns do, but that one in particular)

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

 

You scoured the depth of the NCEP lab to come up with something bucking the N trend lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You scoured the depth of the NCEP lab to come up with something bucking the N trend lol

I clicked and clicked until I found one that suits the southern folks, absolutely. 

[dryslot]

12z GFS is a few tics north following other guidance.