HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Looks like high ratio fluff in my area. Which is fine, but could use some meat. Maybe some of that Pacific warm air we were promised will show up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 8 minutes ago, apm said: That's only through 7 AM Sunday. Even still, it only shows 1.9" by 7am Sunday at PVD? I didn't expect the rain/snow line to last for that long north of the south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 7 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: I'd hump that I bet you would............ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 May get my wet snow 10+ paster here if this is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 11 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: T-blizz just threw his computer and phone out the window. Nah, still several inches to go after that here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: Dude, we used to analyze the dgex and srefs here. Where is Bob??? Taunton Wx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Starting to see that warm nose show up between 750-850 which was a risk as noted last week for the coast. That warm nose less of a factor as you get away from the coastal plain, and the wraparound (even with marginal air) band can overcome that in the column further north and west. As discussed, the track certainly matters, but so too does the two vort interaction, closing off of the upper level low among several other factors. 0Z/12Z today have shown there a mix risk honestly as far north as Hartford and extending into SNE with that SE fetch aloft. I think the NAM at this stage is a bit of a warm outlier for now, but not unreasonable risk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 ICON out to hr33, this might come in with slightly more s/w interaction... Got to waitSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Where is Bob??? Taunton Wx Gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: May get my wet snow 10+ paster here if this is right That may be the payoff for us on the line .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 9 minutes ago, NittanyWx said: Starting to see that warm nose show up between 750-850 which was a risk as noted last week for the coast. That warm nose less of a factor as you get away from the coastal plain, and the wraparound (even with marginal air) band can overcome that in the column further north and west. As discussed, the track certainly matters, but so too does the two vort interaction, closing off of the upper level low among several other factors. 0Z/12Z today have shown there a mix risk honestly as far north as Hartford and extending into SNE with that SE fetch aloft. I think the NAM at this stage is a bit of a warm outlier for now, but not unreasonable risk. A track just south of Long Island will generally bring mid level warmth to the south coast not much of a surprise .. NAM is on the northern envelope right now, its like 25 south of the twin forks.. RGEM similar track, more intense.. If we get that track locked in a lot of the south coast is cooked after a wet few inches.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, MaineJayhawk said: Last sighting he was trolling another subforum that was much iffier for snow Easy, find the region that fits your forecast. The geese flew 150 miles south apparently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 RGEM was pretty wild. Just nukes out near ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Easy, find the region that fits your forecast. The geese flew 150 miles south apparently. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM was pretty wild. Just nukes out near ACK. wow a pounding for extreme east MASS all the way back to about you.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM was pretty wild. Just nukes out near ACK. What a beaut rgem has been looking jacked up for a couple runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Where are you all seeing it. TT is slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: Dude, we used to analyze the dgex and srefs here. JMA says hold my beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 fwiw and its not very much, Lot of 1"+ qpf on the 12z ICON. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Where are you all seeing it. TT is slow. Pivotal https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=500hv&rh=2024010412&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=&mc= 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Where are you all seeing it. TT is slow. Weenie run with 1.5-2.5" liquid in EMASS.. it's steady for CT just cold enough for most . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Where are you all seeing it. TT is slow. Pivotal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, dryslot said: fwiw and its not very much, Lot of 1"+ qpf on the 12z ICON. Yeah though it was a bit more subdued and a tick south of the 06z run which was even more wild. Still a really good solution for a lot of the forum though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Pivotal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 18 spot for old man winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Gone Where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: We take 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: We endorse. Apologies again, Groton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 18 spot for old man winter. Pretty pasty for a chunk of it though so it wouldn't all be 10:1 there....but some of the CCB would prob be better than 10:1 as temps crash and there's excellent snow growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Dang, I think I'm out unless models start ticking back southeast a bit. maybe an inch on the backend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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