Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[dryslot]

Weaker low on the 06z Euro a tic or so south overall, Still a decent hit for most.

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Weaker low on the 06z Euro a tic or so south overall, Still a decent hit for most.

Still snowing RI east at this time on 6Z Euro 

[CoastalWx]

Euro was actually juicier overall. We just continue to see some fluctuations, but for those that are marginal temperature wise, you really do want that heavy QPF. 

[mattm4242]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Still snowing RI east at this time on 6Z Euro 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Still snowing RI east at this time on 6Z Euro 

Here as well, 988mb this run from 983mb at 0z, ramped up the qpf over eastern areas, Good to see.

[WxWatcher007]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Not seeing your panic at your spot. Ct shore always in peril with East wind but column is pretty damn cold.

I can’t see the 06z Euro yet but yeah. If after that disaster run the EPS and then the 06z GFS collapsed that’s one thing. They didn’t. So far that dry torch run looks like an outlier. 

We’ll see what 12z does but it’s easy to understand that a lot of backsides will be tight until the warnings are up and snow boards are covered given how historically bad it’s been here. We’ve found a multitude of ways to fail. 

[WxWatcher007]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Still snowing RI east at this time on 6Z Euro 

We hold firm. 

[dryslot]

Have to go with the ebbs and flows on the models, Were still 60hrs+ out, Going to be some moving around still with this.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Not seeing your panic at your spot. Ct shore always in peril with East wind but column is pretty damn cold.

I'm only 12 miles as the crow flies from the shore.. So I have a lot less wiggle room .. glad to see 6z euro beef up and tick se with the warming aloft .. also I think a lot of that warming comes with a potential dryslot, need to keep heavier rates in most of CT , I could see snow growth being putrid if it ticks back north.. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Looking at 00z euro soundings theres a warm layer at 800mb up to central CT.. the 6z euro was much colder aloft luckily ... let's hope that 00z run was a blip ..

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Looking at 00z euro soundings theres a warm layer at 800mb up to central CT.. 

Tossed look at 6z 700 850 RH nada dry air. 0Z had this mysterious dry slot . 

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Looking at 00z euro soundings theres a warm layer at 800mb up to central CT.. the 6z euro was much colder aloft luckily ... let's hope that 00z run was a blip ..

It was a blip.  Calm down. 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

I'm close to muting.

 

2 hours ago, SRRTA22 said:

You're just trying too hard

Use the ignore button…it’s excellent. Wish I did that a long time ago. I don’t have to see any of his ridiculous posts. Ignore him and he is no longer relative. He’s disingenuous period. I ignored all of em. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Tossed look at 6z 700 850 RH nada dry air. 0Z had this mysterious dry slot . 

ya it's 100% related to that dry slot .. 18z and 00z both had the dryslot

[Ginx snewx]

Ryan's boss Bob

[Massplow]

Looking at the map box just posted they have a very  tight gradient anywhere east of the Foxboro Mansfield area. Their map goes to from 6 inches down to almost nothing right in that area

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Ryan's boss Bob

Selling 1-3 here hard 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Box forecasting virtually no snow here, less than an inch. Let’s see how that plays out 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It was a blip.  Calm down. 

Lol I knew that was coming.. Plenty of reason for caution down here.. I'm one of the furthest southwest posters on this forum.. Like I said NE CT still looks great.. SWCT much different story..

[Sey-Mour Snow]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Ryan's boss Bob

Great map.. Along the lines I"m thinking right now 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Box forecasting virtually no snow here, less than an inch. Let’s see how that plays out 

Goal posts real wide in Taunton , hate forecasting that area . My HS friends from Raynham always ask what I think for that area, many times it’s now cast or uP in air to 36 hrs out with ocean influence variable based on track ,etc 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Goal posts real wide in Taunton 

I could see a sloppy inch or two, or I could see a pasty 8 inches.

[EastonSN+]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Ryan's boss Bob

That look like a really good call.

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Lol I knew that was coming.. Plenty of reason for caution down here.. I'm one of the furthest southwest posters on this forum.. Like I said NE CT still looks great.. SWCT much different story..

Plenty of reason for caution. You’re right about there being less wiggle room down there of course. I still like 5-10 broadly after seeing 06z stay away from that mess at 00z. 

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Lol I knew that was coming.. Plenty of reason for caution down here.. I'm one of the furthest southwest posters on this forum.. Like I said NE CT still looks great.. SWCT much different story..

You’re getting crazy bud…it was a blip run. 6z came back nicely on Euro, and GFS, and EPS.   I mean c’mon..you’re a meteorologist for god sakes. It would be like a cop panicking during an emergency situation…hold it together.  If 12z shats the bed, then you can tell us you told us so. But at 6z things seem to have stabilized. 

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

You’re getting crazy bud…it was a blip run. 6z came back nicely on Euro, and GFS, and EPS.   I mean c’mon..you’re a meteorologist for god sakes. It would like a cop panicking during an emergency situation…hold it together.  If 12z shats the bed, then you can tell us you told us so. But at 6z things to have stabilized. 

I think this should be a safe space to panic. Better here than with the general public lol. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I could see a sloppy inch or two, or I could see a pasty 8 inches.

Maybe in New Bedford. I’ll sell 1-2 here. JMHO

[WinterWolf]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

I think this should be a safe space to panic. Better here than with the general public lol. 

I know but it gets incredibly annoying…one frieken run.  If 6z collapsed and went the way of 0z, then I’d be with him completely. That didn’t happen. 

[CoastalWx]

It’s possible the DGz slots out because that s/w really goes pretty far to the north. So those in the marginal area get crappy growth or maybe a few pellets. 

[Bryan63]

7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Box forecasting virtually no snow here, less than an inch. Let’s see how that plays out 

What a bummer man, was hoping for a big snow down this way.