Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Really hits EMASS hard on back end 

MEan has double digits now from ORH to BOS and maybe down to Foxborough.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

MEan has double digits now from ORH to BOS and maybe down to Foxborough.

ya EPS loves Scoots house 30-40% odds at 12"+ 

[CoastalWx]

How does it look at hr 102? Spread wise.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

MEan has double digits now from ORH to BOS and maybe down to Foxborough.

Would love to see a snowy pats jets game for the battle of tanking for a better draft pick..

[weatherwiz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

How does it look at hr 102? Spread wise.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

How does it look at hr 102? Spread wise.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

How does it look at hr 102? Spread wise.

PRetty clustered tightly still

 

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Great euro run 

wanna see this stick around more or less 

[weatherwiz]

Friend of mine pointed out...alot of the spread now doesn't necessarily seem to be north/south it's more west/east so speed may be the bigger spread now. 

[CoastalWx]

Wow, lots still hanging on the west side. Thanks fellas.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Would love to see a snowy pats jets game for the battle of tanking for a better draft pick..

You think the other games have been bad this year? Wait for this one!

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

ya EPS loves Scoots house 30-40% odds at 12"+ 

ORH down to like Easton Ma over to Scott sweet spot 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Pretty much held serve a bump north and more juicy.. Heres the 25th 50th and 75th percentile on EPS .. good to see

 

[The 4 Seasons]

Good to see that spread tighten up quite a bit and drop a lot of those sheered out whiffs from last night. The Mean and the 50 percentile match up very close now. 

 

[EastonSN+]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

Good to see that spread tighten up quite a bit and drop a lot of those sheered out whiffs from last night. The Mean and the 50 percentile match up very close now. 

 

Seeing those lows tightly clustered so close to the coast, couldn't that bring mixing issues into CT, RI and MA?

[The 4 Seasons]

Very solid 3" and 6" probs, bumped way up since 00Z

[NotSureWeather]

35 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

With all this talk of sampling I feel like I'm at Costco's. 

I want cheese now for some reason.

[tamarack]

44 minutes ago, dryslot said:

It stays colder up here so probably would be better then 10:1.

Or 8:1 cornmeal as dry air shrinks already poor dendrites.  All snow is good snow.

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Seeing those lows tightly clustered so close to the coast, couldn't that bring mixing issues into CT, RI and MA?

Absolutely. Atm im more worried ab. what the gefs is showing than mixing for us. We'll see where were at tomorrow at this time- ha. But we still got nearly 84hrs to figure things out and tons more runs to go. Just like seeing the consistency and potential for a higher ceiling even if that means playing with fire (i.e. mixing)

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said:

I want cheese now for some reason.

WeatherWIZ + Costco = Cheesewiz

[CarverWX]

6-10 down here?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, CarverWX said:

6-10 down here?

Lock it 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, CarverWX said:

6-10 down here?

Not sure I would go that high yet. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not sure I would go that high yet. 

Am I missing something? Unless you are like within 5 miles of the water, thermals look fine?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Am I missing something? Unless you are like within 5 miles of the water, thermals look fine?

Pretty stout erly flow. I do think you are in a better spot, but could be a lot of 33F snow which isn't the most efficient accumulator. But, if we can pound with -3C at 925..maybe wetbulb to 32 or so. Beware the 10:1 maps here that's all.  Once the Cf comes through Sunday morning, it's fluff again. But go to Foxboro at 200' and they'll have no issue as of now. 

[dryslot]

Looks like the NW camp is gaining members based on that map above.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Pretty stout erly flow. I do think you are in a better spot, but could be a lot of 33F snow which isn't the most efficient accumulator. But, if we can pound with -3C at 925..maybe wetbulb to 32 or so. Beware the 10:1 maps here that's all.  Once the Cf comes through Sunday morning, it's fluff again. But go to Foxboro at 200' and they'll have no issue as of now. 

Thanks. I feel okay at my location, usually far enough away to not suffer big impacts.

a place like Sharon to Foxboro to Easton could be a sweet spot. A litttle bit of elevation 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Thanks. I feel okay at my location, usually far enough away to not suffer big impacts.

a place like Sharon to Foxboro to Easton could be a sweet spot. A litttle bit of elevation 

These are the things I ponder in my mind lol. The plus factors are a cold 925-850. Good lift at times into DGZ.  Negative are SSTs around 43ish. 

It makes it hard because the beaches could struggle for an inch, 3 miles away is plastered, and 8 miles away is 9" of paste. I've seen it many times. If one variable is off, it changes drastically. Logan is a bitch to call.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

So um is this sampled now 

Yesterday some folks / Mets thought it would bounce around till 0z ,  when it was fully sampled or do we see enough of a model consensus to increase confidence decently 

 

(worked all am and have been sleeping off and on ) 

[dryslot]

On 1/2/2024 at 9:05 AM, OceanStWx said:

Don't really have the players on the field for another 36-48 hours. But I would start to feel more confident around that time.

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

So um is this sampled now 

Yesterday some folks / Mets thought it would bounce around till 0z yesterday when it was fully sampled