Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I don’t know what 78blizzard was looking at. 

A bottle of Jack Daniels?

[78Blizzard]

That meh/whiff was never off the table.  Many more runs to go though,

[Hazey]

I think mother nature is trolling us at this point..lol. Who knows what will happen. Models bouncing between weak and strong s/w’s.

[CoastalWx]

H5 is very different from 6 hrs ago. S/W to the west is sharper and catches up. Initial S/W deamplifies to nothing. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Looks like it chases convection maybe? Not that again…

[78Blizzard]

Just now, Hazey said:

I think mother nature is trolling us at this point..lol. Who knows what will happen. Models bouncing between weak and strong s/w’s.

Like I said yesterday, the models probably won't agree on this one even within 3 days.

[Damage In Tolland]

Are we losing her?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Need that vortex to sharpen up for it not to be well SE and mundane

pretty sure that is what oceanstwx was talking about earlier regarding two camps and what will matter 

really just need it north 

[Allsnow]

8-10 down here..we take 

[MJO812]

Just now, Allsnow said:

8-10 down here..we take 

It's getting weak on every model 

[Prismshine Productions]

Oof...

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[WxWatcher007]

6 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

That’s wild lol

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, Sandstorm94 said:

Oof...

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

barely a moderate event here 3-5"....concerns

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Not good runs at 18z

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Are we losing her?

Nah. Still a light event strung out over more hours.

[Torch Tiger]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

That’s wild lol

ha yeah, and the warnings were out, still another day or two until all the moving parts are resolved reasonably well 

[George001]

Eh, it will probably go back and forth over the next couple of days.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

good luck accumulating much at those weak rates during the day and temps around 32-33 for many of the weaker longer crowd. 

[George001]

The weaker solutions are bad news because it allows the follow up storm to gain more latitude which would lead to another washout for ski areas.

[78Blizzard]

This thing is 500 mi to the ENE of where it was yesterday at this time for 12z Sunday.

 

 

 

[CoastalWx]

Would be nice to catch a break for once.

[dryslot]

Batting .000 in that dept.

[Damage In Tolland]

Melts are here 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dryslot said:

Batting .000 in that dept.

Put a bat to my head at this point.

[FXWX]

29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I literally was about to post that lol. It might be. 

This setup is going to be very noisy for at least another 24 hours...  The variety of ENS member solutions are probably related to the differences in speed and or intensity of the 2 short waves.  Folks are going to go crazy trying to figure out what is a true trend or just blip...

 

[weathafella]

You have to make lemonade out of the lemons.   My first thought is “well maybe that’s how it will be and I can easily remove snow and have a more relaxing Sunday”

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, weathafella said:

You have to make lemonade out of the lemons.   My first thought is “well maybe that’s how it will be and I can easily remove snow and have a more relaxing Sunday”

With no snow OTG.. no CAD for next week .. so screams are heard to Quebec perhaps?

[NorEastermass128]

Just now, weathafella said:

You have to make lemonade out of the lemons.   My first thought is “well maybe that’s how it will be and I can easily remove snow and have a more relaxing Sunday”

Maybe just a quick pass and then let it all wash away 48 hours later…

[OceanStWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Melts are here 

[MJO812]

Gefs coming in weaker