Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

What’s the POS Ukie  show

edit at least it’s about 30 miles WSW compared to 0z (for 18z tommorrow)

CT won’t love it , hits NE Mass hard into S center NH and SW Maine 

whatever it’s worth 

We haven’t liked it for days. 

[tavwtby]

17 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

There has been a consistent signal on some mesos for a localized jack just west of Hartford. 

I'll take that Jack thank you

[STILL N OF PIKE]

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

We haven’t liked it for days. 

It moved toward some other Models a bit , sort of close to Canadian and RAP (but not as huggy)

we know it has a slight Warm BIAS at BL so overall I like it’s move

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Unbelievably tough call here. Wouldn’t be surprised if my map shits the bed in interior se Mass, but I’m sticking with 5-10 here 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Unbelievably tough call here. Wouldn’t be surprised if my map shits the bed in interior se Mass, but I’m sticking with 5-10 here 

I was thinking 3-6 here but maybe 2-4.  Hopefully we slam overnight.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hopefully we slam overnight.

 

[kazimirkai]

Is there some page or website that compiles the snowfall forecasts of each weather office in into one map?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

WxWatchers Obs thread

[kazimirkai]

Catskills about an hour ago 

[TalcottWx]

31 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

Yeah the GFS rips the guts out at the 700-500 level for a few hours after midnight through about 5am for most south of 84. Hopefully its an overshoot and doesn't pan out like that

If you ignore snow totals, you will see it keeps highlighting the same areas around Burlington, New Hartford, up to MA border. 

[Connecticut Appleman]

2 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

If you ignore snow totals, you will see it keeps highlighting the same areas around Burlington, New Hartford, up to MA border. 

It is time for us to rock one of these storms up here in the hills - maybe this will be the one.  

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, Connecticut Appleman said:

It is time for us to rock one of these storms up here in the hills - maybe this will be the one.  

If you can stay north of dry slot you will rock 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Looking forward to see if the Euro can double down on being on a bit of an island at 12z 

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, Connecticut Appleman said:

It is time for us to rock one of these storms up here in the hills - maybe this will be the one.  

I'm hoping we can get this organize faster than currently expected. Keep that dry slot away. 

[Layman]

I know it's taken in jest, but the geese are quite active around here today.  Saw and heard multiple groups packing up and getting out of town.  As one astute poster mentioned the other day, they seem to be more reactive than predictive.  Lots of evidence of that today.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Best run yet for Hrrr for the shoreline just an epic thump this is 10:1 in 3 hours … 

[WeatherX]

If you ignore snow totals, you will see it keeps highlighting the same areas around Burlington, New Hartford, up to MA border. 

I really hope you cash in on this one


.

[met_fan]

Is there some page or website that compiles the snowfall forecasts of each weather office in into one map?

There’s this…doesn’t seem to match the BOX map though

[TalcottWx]

3 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

I really hope you cash in on this one


.

Thanks! You too, I appreciate the good JuJu. 

[TalcottWx]

3 minutes ago, met_fan said:

There’s this…doesn’t seem to match the BOX map though

It's model generated off HREF, meaning it's not a forecast per se... Kudos to pickles for telling me this earlier.

[TalcottWx]

9 minutes ago, Layman said:

I know it's taken in jest, but the geese are quite active around here today.  Saw and heard multiple groups packing up and getting out of town.  As one astute poster mentioned the other day, they seem to be more reactive than predictive.  Lots of evidence of that today.

Any of them suslack while you were watching them

[met_fan]

It's model generated off HREF, meaning it's not a forecast per se... Kudos to pickles for telling me this earlier.

It lines up pixel for pixel to the ALY and GYX maps

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, met_fan said:

It lines up pixel for pixel to the ALY and GYX maps

Then they are riding the HREF

the weeniest of solutions here 

[met_fan]

Then they are riding the HREF
the weeniest of solutions here 

It also matches BOX but it looks like just got a color wrong

[wxsniss]

Just looked, tbh I wasn’t totally enthused with soundings on 12z NAM for eastern SNE

Kbos a tic warmer to 34-36 compared to 32-33 last night through most of event, and the best lift is often below DGZ

The snowfall maps look great but verbatim on that run we’ll be really dependent on rates and robust CCB for the higher amounts

 

 

[BostonWX]

Kind of on the edge here in milton but I think 6-9 looks reasonable. Close to getting skunked though on the coast…

[ORH_wxman]

18 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Best run yet for Hrrr for the shoreline just an epic thump this is 10:1 in 3 hours … 

Noticed the hrrr keeps cooling now…esp down there. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Dryslot hoping euro pulls north 

[Damage In Tolland]

11 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Then they are riding the HREF

the weeniest of solutions here 

NWS mainly uses HREF for all of their forecasts rain or snow. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

NWS mainly uses HREF for all of their forecasts rain or snow. 

Is it usually so juiced on the mean ?