Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[moneypitmike]

It looks like it fall somewhere midway between white rain and a KU.

[WxWatcher007]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:44 PM, EastonSN+ said:

Yeah mixing reaches CT coast

 

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I think there’s mixing there regardless, but the key is maximizing the front thump. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:42 PM, TalcottWx said:

We really should be getting CT crew together on storm days for dipa's 

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Set it up. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:46 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

I think there’s mixing there regardless, but the key is maximizing the front thump. 

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It probably makes its way up to 84. 

[Hoth]

  On 1/6/2024 at 2:51 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

He’s actually a good met but a) rides the euro way too much and b) doesn’t have good social skills.

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Remember his melt during the mid-Atlantic blizzard when the NAM outperformed the Euro and screwed the Richmond area? It was pretty epic.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:43 PM, moneypitmike said:

GFS clowns:

 

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Nice CJ Jack there in Hanover and Norwell on the 10:1

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:48 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It probably makes its way up to 84. 

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Mixing is a given up to 84 with dryslot.. We should thump 7pm to 1am then freezing drizzle and pellets then we will see if about on and off periods of snow tomorrow, obviously NE CT favored for that.. 

[WeatherX]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:46 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

I think there’s mixing there regardless, but the key is maximizing the front thump. 

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Ridgefield Alps for the win in SWCT I think

[Hoth]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:26 PM, EastonSN+ said:

Reggie looks horrible down here. Removed accums IMBY.

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Reg has been shit since 2015.

[EastonSN+]

[moneypitmike]

Canadian = warm.  I hear Pit2 calling.

 

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:52 PM, moneypitmike said:

Canadian = warm.

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Tossed 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:42 PM, TalcottWx said:

We really should be getting CT crew together on storm days for dipa's 

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He takes weed 

[WxWatcher007]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:50 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Mixing is a given up to 84 with dryslot.. We should thump 7pm to 1am then freezing drizzle and pellets then we will see if about on and off periods of snow tomorrow, obviously NE CT favored for that.. 

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As long as there’s no sneaky warm layer during the meat of it that’s fine. Let’s put down a pack tonight, glaze it up early tomorrow, and add more fluff tomorrow afternoon/evening. 

Prayers for the coastal zone. 

[Spanks45]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:48 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It probably makes its way up to 84. 

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Yeah, it's coming....that dryslot will bring it....hopefully we are shoveling 5-7 inches before it...then watch it switch back tomorrow for another 1-3

Edit....Seymour ninjd me

[EastonSN+]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:50 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Mixing is a given up to 84 with dryslot.. We should thump 7pm to 1am then freezing drizzle and pellets then we will see if about on and off periods of snow tomorrow, obviously NE CT favored for that.. 

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Fairfield CT already at 33. Given model trends not sure if south of Merritt can get accums. Agreed the thump can overcome the temps however so far the 12z models not great.

[SouthCoastMA]

12z models have been mostly ass for the coast. nowcast time anyway /w

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:48 PM, Hoth said:

Remember his melt during the mid-Atlantic blizzard when the NAM outperformed the Euro and screwed the Richmond area? It was pretty epic.

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Yup. Jan16.

[DavisStraight]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:52 PM, moneypitmike said:

Canadian = warm.  I hear Pit2 calling.

 

 

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Pit 1's going to get a pretty good hit.

[WxWatcher007]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:55 PM, EastonSN+ said:

Fairfield CT already at 33. Given model trends not sure if south of Merritt can get accums. Agreed the thump can overcome the temps however so far the 12z models not great.

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Not that it matters as much in January but that’s also coming in at night. If we were treading the needle during the daytime with a thump I’d be much more bearish in the coastal zone. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:54 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

He takes weed 

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I’ll do ipa’s at a gtg, plus the gummies. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:55 PM, Spanks45 said:

Yeah, it's coming....that dryslot will bring it....hopefully we are shoveling 5-7 inches before it...then watch it switch back tomorrow for another 1-3

Edit....Seymour ninjd me

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Yea. That’s how we get to 8-10”. Can’t sweat the taint…gotta sniff it to get thumped.

[met_fan]

I get lost with all the acronyms here…what is AEMATT?

[dendrite]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:59 PM, met_fan said:

I get lost with all the acronyms here…what is AEMATT?

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All eastern mass all the time

[JKEisMan]

HREF still zonked

[Greg]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:59 PM, met_fan said:

I get lost with all the acronyms here…what is AEMATT?

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All Eastern Mass All The Time

[PowderBeard]

Oh Reggie. It was liked around here in some early season storms (2014-2016?). IIRC it also picked up on the wild wrap-around banding in December 2019 when BOX maps showed 2-4" for central Mass and we woke up to 10"+.

[moneypitmike]

HRRR hold back for CT on Sunday

 

 

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/6/2024 at 3:55 PM, EastonSN+ said:

Fairfield CT already at 33. Given model trends not sure if south of Merritt can get accums. Agreed the thump can overcome the temps however so far the 12z models not great.

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You’ll wet bulb down to 30-32 for a while 

[WeatherX]

Fully endorse this RRFS A run