Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, radarman said:

It's a better capture but the WAA part gets muted out here with snow arriving several hours later.  LP initially is out by the convection allows dry air to nose into the midlevels.  We'd virga for quite a while.

Ya Part 1 was much more paltry in N SNE esp W of ORH

[CoastalWx]

Just now, jbenedet said:

 

 

 

Whiff, rain?

[moneypitmike]

We weenie.

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Nam was roughly a foot on 10:1 from Bristol CT to Cambridge mass and 25 miles either side w weenie totals in E Ma (either side of pike )

12+ of paste = major power issues 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Whiff, rain?

Anyone should’ve seen this whiff coming from days away based on that 250mb jet streak map. We’re a bunch of idiots. 

[EastonSN+]

30 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Merritt…

Lol I am literally within 1 mile (north) of the Merritt.

[moneypitmike]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

12+ of paste = major power issues 

Here's your paste......ratios will suck.  Bring the totals down.

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

No peace offerings to the pope ?

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

We weenie.

Thanks Mike. Ya…we take for sure. 

[FXWX]

6 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

 

 

 

Thanks for the detailed analysis...

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

No peace offerings to the pope ?

He committed the grave sin of sayng 'no snow'.  No coming back from that.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Oh boy. Here he is. Gonna drop a few verses from the gfs testament, get the attendees riled up, and run for Mt Sinai.

[jbenedet]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Whiff, rain?

You’ve been tracking a crap storm potential for 10 days. We knew.

Enjoy mostly white rain. 
 

 

 

 

[SouthCoastMA]

when one even receives shade from Will, you know thee have sinned

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

You’ve been tracking a crap storm potential for 10 days. We knew.

Enjoy mostly white rain. 
 

 

 

 

Enjoy your whiff 10”

amazing how the mid Atlantic recovered so fast from that storm 2 days ago.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, jbenedet said:

You’ve been tracking a crap storm potential for 10 days. We knew.

Enjoy mostly white rain. 
 

 

 

 

Just be a man and say you fucked up. Confess my son. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

You’ve been tracking a crap storm potential for 10 days. We knew.

Enjoy mostly white rain. 
 

 

 

 

 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

You’ve been tracking a crap storm potential for 10 days. We knew.

Enjoy mostly white rain. 
 

 

 

 

So The NWS with their Winter Storm Warning is tracking white rain too?  Bro you messed up. 

[jbenedet]

Nice morning out with the dog.

 

32/21 PSM @8:50 am 
 

+5 T departures against guidance.

 

Who coulda seen that?

 

[EastonSN+]

NAM took away my buffer (removed LI snow). Definitely warmer south coast. Literally no margin now.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

I think pope is Dick Tolleris. Similar anger, similar lies, similar inability to accept responsibility for awful calls, similar posting styles…ya have to think maybe they are he and he is him.

[Kitz Craver]

12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Anyone should’ve seen this whiff coming from days away based on that 250mb jet streak map. We’re a bunch of idiots. 

Circle of rejects unite!

[WeatherX]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

NAM took away my buffer (removed LI snow). Definitely warmer south coast. Literally no margin now.

If you are north of the Merritt, you'll do fine. I am feverishly looking for an experimental model that shows mostly snow down here

[MaineJayhawk]

Pope going off the rails this morning

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I think pope is Dick Tolleris. Similar anger, similar lies, similar inability to accept responsibility for awful calls, similar posting styles…ya have to think maybe they are he and he is him.

One and the same…agree. 

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I think pope is Dick Tolleris. Similar anger, similar lies, similar inability to accept responsibility for awful calls, similar posting styles…ya have to think maybe they are he and he is him.

Einhorn is Finkle

Finkle is Einhorn

 

[jbenedet]

In all seriousness this one will be fun to watch; how much background warmth and significant El Niño conditions can muck up peak climo with a decent SLP track.

 

[cleetussnow]

7 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

You’ve been tracking a crap storm potential for 10 days. We knew.

Enjoy mostly white rain. 
 

 

 

 

Everyone quote this in the obs thread with pics.  

[EastonSN+]

Just now, WeatherX said:

If you are north of the Merritt, you'll do fine. I am feverishly looking for an experimental model that shows mostly snow down here

I am only 1 mile north. However they are trending warmer.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, jbenedet said:

In all seriousness this one will be fun to watch; how much background warmth and significant El Niño conditions can muck up peak climo with a decent SLP track.

 

So you’re calling for no accumulation? Just white rain?