Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[Damage In Tolland]

Let’s hug this a bit more.. get a nice paster . 

[Spanks45]

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

So did the Pope.  

He sure did disappear as soon as his early call for a Mid Atlantic, south of the Mason Dixon line storm started falling apart...

No football spiking yet, but finally something that at this point looks like we can get at least the snow shovels wiped down

[bwt3650]

New Year and sanity is restored by something to track...feels good

[MaineJayhawk]

Just now, Spanks45 said:

He sure did disappear as soon as his early call for a Mid Atlantic, south of the Mason Dixon line storm started falling apart...

No football spiking yet, but finally something that at this point looks like we can get at least the snow shovels wiped down

qg_omega and forky also on milk cartons

[Sn0waddict]

Probably going to be in the Berkshire’s this weekend. Will be pissed if I miss out in the good stuff back home. 

[George001]

2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

George!  George! George!

Yep I’ve seen enough, I’m officially on board for a significant storm. When the Navy is that far north and strong, that’s a red flag that the southern guidance is wrong.

[mahk_webstah]

9 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

He sure did disappear as soon as his early call for a Mid Atlantic, south of the Mason Dixon line storm started falling apart...

No football spiking yet, but finally something that at this point looks like we can get at least the snow shovels wiped down

He did the same thing last year when his trolling fest bombed. He’ll show up in a couple of days probably to make a case that the next storm will cut and rain all over New England.  And he’ll pretend that he ever said anything and talk about how warm pavement and such mean a foot of snow doesn’t really count as much.

[George001]

I hope Zappe throws 5 picks in the snow on Sunday. The 12+ amounts very well could be overdone, but I’m feeling pretty good about a plowable snow for my area with the 12z guidance moving way north.

[Layman]

5 minutes ago, George001 said:

Yep I’ve seen enough, I’m officially on board for a significant storm. When the Navy is that far north and strong, that’s a red flag that the southern guidance is wrong.

Welcome back, George.  We've been waiting.  

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

I hope Zappe throws 5 picks in the snow on Sunday. The 12+ amounts very well could be overdone, but I’m feeling pretty good about a plowable snow for my area with the 12z guidance moving way north.

Jets will throw 6

[HoarfrostHubb]

11 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

qg_omega and forky also on milk cartons

Forky will be back.  He usually has some useful info mixed in with his troll stuff

[WxWatcher007]

12 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

qg_omega and forky also on milk cartons

I’m so dumb  

[NorEastermass128]

The trolls will be on as the snow is falling to let us know it will all be vaporized with the rainer on the 10th. 

[Modfan2]

41 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Pretty tight cluster on northern edge but none of them get inland. EPS had a couple onshore in CT but most of them stayed S of LI and all of them do on the GEFS save maybe one right near it. There is a northern extent to this because of the trough out west and the confluence up north. 
 

Here 12z GEFS. 
 

 

Being new to the Ginxy area I assume I would taint quicker down here? 

[Damage In Tolland]

Can anyone find those posts from Qosmega and his cronies that called for no winter or snow for the next 3 weeks and not enough cold in Canada? They weren’t more than a couple days ago. Those posters have totally disappeared not by coincidence .

@dendrite is pretty good at finding and bumping posts 

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

qg_omega and forky also on milk cartons

Not as Manny emoji binges from @Allsnow

[Allsnow]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not as Manny emoji binges from @Allsnow

Hopefully the north trend stops today 

[JC-CT]

13 minutes ago, George001 said:

Yep I’ve seen enough, I’m officially on board for a significant storm. When the Navy is that far north and strong, that’s a red flag that the southern guidance is wrong.

That's a bias-adjusted great lakes cutter

[CoastalWx]

BUFKIT looked pretty good for BOS at 12z. Maybe a little mild to start, but right around freezing overall. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

That's a bias-adjusted great lakes cutter

Welcome back

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Hopefully the north trend stops today 

I would rather risk the northern side of the envelop.....nothing I hate more than limp, dry sand while a tri state/CJ orgy rages deep into the night.

[JC-CT]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Welcome back

Winter was the one who left lol 

[George001]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would rather risk the northern side of the envelop.....nothing I hate more than limp, dry sand while a trip state/CJ orgy rages deep into the night.

Agree. I’m ok with risking ptype issues, would rather lose some snow to mixing and lower ratios with a hugger track than a weak strung out piece of shit. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, George001 said:

Agree. I’m ok with risking ptype issues, would rather lose some snow to mixing and lower ratios with a hugger track than a weak strung out piece of shit. 

Seeing pictures of @Ginx snewx's calvary of doggies buried balls deep in snow

[40/70 Benchmark]

Subsidence and confluence are the worst...I'll track and wrestle the rain/snow line any day over that.

[ORH_wxman]

9 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Being new to the Ginxy area I assume I would taint quicker down here? 

Versus your old ‘hood in Woodstock? Yeah it will taint quicker near Ginxy but not by much. He’s in a decent spot far enough off the water for major concerns. I’d think that area would need a true hugger track (like basically over the forks of LI) to have major ptype issues. 
 

Im assuming you’re near Moosup/Sterling? I’m on mobile so I can’t see locations in posts right now. 

[dendrite]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Can anyone find those posts from Qosmega and his cronies that called for no winter or snow for the next 3 weeks and not enough cold in Canada? They weren’t more than a couple days ago. Those posters have totally disappeared not by coincidence .

@dendrite is pretty good at finding and bumping posts 

 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Subsidence and confluence are the worst...I'll track and wrestle the rain/snow line any day over that.

Confluence is good…just as long as you aren’t so close to it that it screws you. Confluence is what helps create awesome fronto bands. 

[dendrite]

40 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

So did the Pope.  

pope-a-dope

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Confluence is good…just as long as you aren’t so close to it that it screws you. Confluence is what helps create awesome fronto bands. 

I know that, but I mean if you are on the wrong end of it, as I usually have been these past 6 years.