Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[moneypitmike]

HRRR is high and tight.  Nothing like concensus 12 hours out.

 

 

[joey2002]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I have 8-12” NE Hills 

Rgem says take ‘em up 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

Head fior Pit 2!  

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, joey2002 said:

Rgem says take ‘em up 

Reggie gets us into CCB more so . If we get into that for a few hours that’s how our area goes 12+

[CoastalWx]

Nice trends overnight for this area. Let’s crank that CCB tomorrow.

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Nice trends overnight for this area. Let’s crank that CCB tomorrow.

Made a slight comeback down here too..maybe I'll squeak out a couple inches from Orchids. Just hate being shut out

[Prismshine Productions]

NWS keeps upping the snowfall total here for Brattleboro, now up to 9-15"

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[NorEastermass128]

13 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said:

NWS keeps upping the snowfall total here for Brattleboro, now up to 9-15"

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

Welcome to New England!

[CoastalWx]

6z euro went pretty lame with the thump overnight.

[Chrisrotary12]

Feels high for my area. Just to my west…. Sure. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

6z euro went pretty lame with the thump overnight.

It's like 1-2" for all of SNE and 3-4" in NW Mass ... just horrible .. hopefully it just had a long night out of drinking 

[The 4 Seasons]

5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

It's like 1-2" for all of SNE and 3-4" in NW Mass ... just horrible .. hopefully it just had a long night out of drinking 

What the hell happened to that model, that's like a NAM level drunk move

[MarkO]

I can't remember the last time NWS was so bullish on totals 12-18" for Lowell, 5-9" for cabin. I was thinking about 2/3 those totals.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Holy smokes, what a rug pull on the euro. Take em down.

[WxWatcher007]

Chips fall mode at this point. Other than these weird Euro runs I loved what I saw on guidance overnight. I feel a little less worried about the shoreline out here. 

Onset timing and the intensity of the thump are my biggest concerns. Let’s do this. 

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Holy smokes, what a rug pull on the euro. Take em down.

JAM

not saying it's wrong, but let's wait til 12z

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Chips fall mode at this point. Other than these weird Euro runs I loved what I saw on guidance overnight. I feel a little less worried about the shoreline out here. 

Onset timing and the intensity of the thump are my biggest concerns. Let’s do this. 

pretty much, its just getting annoying now. Overnight runs were overall very good. I never thought id say toss the euro run inside of 24 hours, but here we are. Maybe it was better when we only had 12 hour cycles ha

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Reggie gets us into CCB more so . If we get into that for a few hours that’s how our area goes 12+

That Reggie jackpots me…I’ll take it but the Reggie ain’t the best model anymore. Although the GFS looked real nice in CT too.

[Layman]

Just now, MarkO said:

I can't remember the last time NWS was so bullish on totals 12-18" for Lowell, 5-9" for cabin. I was thinking about 2/3 those totals.

I’m definitely jaded from always coming in under the forecasts for the past few years and feel the same way - maybe 2/3rds for my area. Who knows, maybe this one actually works out this time?

if we’re raining on Wednesday then I’m good with getting less than the apparent 12” or so NWS is thinking. If Wednesday has a chance to not be inches of warm rain, let’s get started on stacking piles. 

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

pretty much, its just getting annoying now. Overnight runs were overall very good. I never thought id say toss the euro run inside of 24 hours, but here we are. Maybe it was better when we only had 12 hour cycles ha

I don’t think it’s weenie goggles to say it’s been really inconsistent wobbling from strung out dry slotting mess to a solid hit the last 48 hours or so. It’s not tossed but if it were any other model we kinda know it would be. 

[Patrick-02540]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That Reggie jackpots me…I’ll take it but the Reggie ain’t the best model anymore. Although the GFS looked real nice in CT too.

We're getting 12".  And that's the end of the discussion!

[WinterWolf]

16 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

What the hell happened to that model, that's like a NAM level drunk move

It’s bad now. I’m definitely tossing it.  Flops all over the dam place. 

4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

pretty much, its just getting annoying now. Overnight runs were overall very good. I never thought id say toss the euro run inside of 24 hours, but here we are. Maybe it was better when we only had 12 hour cycles ha

I think they really ruined it when they added the off hr runs…it seems to really flop around since those have been included. Tossed. 

[moneypitmike]

21 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

What the hell happened to that model, that's like a NAM level drunk move

Unless it's right.....GFS was less enthusiastic than piror runs.....hrrrr too

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said:

We're getting 12".  And that's the end of the discussion!

Yes sir… .  Would be nice to tie my last seasons total in one storm.  

[WinterWolf]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

Unless it's right.....GFS was less enthusiastic than piror runs.....hrrrr too

GFS is great here. There’s more to SNE than Massachusetts you know. 

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

GFS is great here. There’s more to SNE than Massachusetts you know. 

not really.

[Mj-pvd]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

GFS is great here. There’s more to SNE than Massachusetts you know. 

lol it’s no bueno for RI either.

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I don’t think it’s weenie goggles to say it’s been really inconsistent wobbling from strung out dry slotting mess to a solid hit the last 48 hours or so. It’s not tossed but if it were any other model we kinda know it would be. 

No weenie goggles here, and as you stated solid hit one run, strung out mess the very next, and back again.  That’s not a good performance. 

[Kitz Craver]

Right when confidence begins to build the EURO pulls that shiat and knocks you back to indecision. Damn.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

No weenie goggles here, and as you stated solid hit one run, strung out mess the very next, and back again.  That’s not a good performance. 

It’s not. But there is the chance it’s a red flag for the system . Half asleep and haven’t looked how the euro made part 1 lame , did it take SW thru meat grinder , Scott