Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[The Graupler]

7 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Scooter sneaks in for a gfs jack?

Dude calm down with that 

[WinterWolf]

8 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

ICON was not so good. Grrrrr wolfie. You don't scare me

Lol…I wasn’t trying to scare anybody.  Just didn’t know what you were trying to express? 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I think many on Sunday am in E mass might be surprised when it’s 33-34 with snizzle for a few hours (just a prediction)

[WeatherX]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol…I wasn’t trying to scare anybody.  Just didn’t know what you were trying to express? 

Beer

[MRVexpat]

What does timing look like for this? Have tentative dinner plans in New Haven at 5 and then driving back to Boston right afterwards. Have snow tires and AWD but just wondering when peak intensity may hit along 91/84/pike?

[WeatherX]

Are we tossing this? 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

Are we tossing this? 

Looked like the GFS gave west of HFD about 7-8” in a 3 hour thump 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

Are we tossing this? 

It jacks WCT…nice hit. I’ll take that. AEMATT  does real well too.  It’s nice that they’ll share it with us CT peeps. 

[WeatherX]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Looked like the GFS gave west of HFD about 7-8” in a 3 hour thump 

Why not? Dynamic system

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

7 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

Are we tossing this? 

I am certainly not

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Looked like the GFS gave west of HFD about 7-8” in a 3 hour thump 

Ryan H just said it could be snowing at 2”/hr at this time tomorrow night in CT…so that would make sense.. 

[mreaves]

I’d like to see NYC get .9” tomorrow and .9” Sunday to keep their streak going. 

[WeatherX]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I am certainly not

You are locked in for a great one. Congrats

[WxWatcher007]

HREF through 12z Sunday looks pretty damn good. 

[Snowcrazed71]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ryan H just said it could be snowing at 2”/hr at this time tomorrow night in CT…so that would make sense.

Yeah.... Yeah he's coming back on in about 2 minutes to discuss everything.

[WeatherX]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ryan H just said it could be snowing at 2”/hr at this time tomorrow night in CT…so that would make sense.. 

Do you believe him? 

[Snowcrazed71]

Just now, WeatherX said:

Do you believe him? 

Nah, he's your one of the mill meteorologist... JOKING!!! Ryan's not want to hype things up unless he sees everything lining up close to the event. I've always followed him and he is one is definitely one of the good ones.

[WxWatcher007]

Lol he’s in the thread

[WeatherX]

1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Nah, he's your one of the mill meteorologist... JOKING!!! Ryan's not want to hype things up unless he sees everything lining up close to the event. I've always followed him and he is one is definitely one of the good ones.

Of course. Ryan is measured and totally professional.

[tomcatct]

6 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

Of course. Ryan is measured and totally professional.

Brad Field trained him well..

[40/70 Benchmark]

35 minutes ago, The Graupler said:

Dude calm down with that 

It doesn't JP scooter....that is using 10:1. Kuchera has it near my area...at. least relative to eastern MA.

[Cuteirishgirl25]

https://x.com/meteomark/status/1743483294086295798?s=46&t=Y3ICRnzOhtk67YmRQyZssQ

[WeatherX]

4 minutes ago, tomcatct said:

Brad Field trained him well..

Wrong station and network

[kazimirkai]

30 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

Are we tossing this? 

I mean it doesn't look much like any of the other 0z models, most of which are hi-res, so I'm not putting much weight on it unless I see more support for this type of solution.

[tomcatct]

Just now, WeatherX said:

Wrong station and network

I thought you guys were talking about Ryan Hanrahan....

[STILL N OF PIKE]

For central and E mass Decently confident going 7-12 for most NW of 128 with higher end over E slope of ORH county . I think SE mass away from ocean sees 4-8. 
 

I anticipate a modest CCB but nothing more than adding about 3 inches . I anticipate part 1 to hit CT/ W Mass the hardest

I’ll live with that call .
 

[WeatherX]

1 minute ago, tomcatct said:

I thought you guys were talking about Ryan Hanrahan....

Never heard of him. I operate outside of the outside

[WxWatcher007]

4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

For central and E mass Decently confident going 7-12 for most NW of 128 with higher end over E slope of ORH county . I think SE mass away from ocean sees 4-8. 
 

I anticipate a modest CCB but nothing more than adding about 3 inches . I anticipate part 1 to hit CT/ W Mass the hardest

I’ll live with that call .
 

Yeah at least here I think part II only enhanced the max potential. If we fail on the initial thump it’s likely a disappointment overall. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

0z HREF now goes out to 0z Monday and the mean is more jacked than any other model (not surprising given what 12z showed )

and the max is kinda funny 

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/?model=href&product=snowfall_024h_max&sector=neI’m 

just click the top right to get to 0z Monday (on the silver  horizontal time bar)

[Go Kart Mozart]

I fully approve, and call it a night: