Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Keeping our initial bc of what should be a great thump for 4-6 hours .. just a few tweaks on the coast to account for the warmer trends. Not buying on too much from the trailer just yet. 

I’d add 7-12” NW/ NE hills . East inflow 

[WeatherX]

I hate the position of the high...more so for my area than Norwalk but even there I just think anything over 4 is a long shot here 

Honestly, that high position is the only reason I feel confident we’ll get something measurable. WAA always surprises so let’s hope we’re on the plus side


.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

That HRRR is a torch track 

I never use the model , bored and watching it, don’t really trust it but geez 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

That HRRR is a torch track 

I never use the model , bored and watching it, don’t really trust it but geez 

Has it ever been right in a snowstorm ?

[CoastalWx]

Yeah still a torch run.

[ROOSTA]

I was hacked bigtime. My tracking curtailed to the dark ages. Two computers down after installing WhatsApp. Beware of Walware, went right to my OS boot.
Good luck all you weenies! Looking good after 2 yr. hiatus.   

[40/70 Benchmark]

A lot of the meso guidance is cold.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah still a torch run.

Has a nice stinger Sunday though, lol

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

A lot of the meso guidance is cold.

Good...we need it for the snow

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah still a torch run.

Over Hyannis 

 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Has a nice stinger Sunday though, lol

No shit lol

[Damage In Tolland]

Why are we looking?

[kdxken]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Good...we need it for the snow

Your schooling has paid off!

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Why are we looking?

you can't see without looking

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Why are we looking?

Boredom’s while we wait for the NAM 

[WeatherX]

you can't see without looking

He’s not Cigars and Waffle House material like you


.

[kdxken]

6 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

I was hacked bigtime. My tracking curtailed to the dark ages. Two computers down after installing FreepornApp. Beware of Walware, went right to my OS boot.
Good luck all you weenies! Looking good after 2 yr. hiatus.   

You should have seen that coming.

[SnowGoose69]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Has it ever been right in a snowstorm ?

It has horrid mid-level cold bias for sure beyond like 8 hours.   Its very up and down...it runs hot and cold.  If its close to the 3km NAM/RGEM inside 12-18 I trust it but it has events where it just performs horrible

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Boredom’s while we wait for the NAM 

Lol. Now that is a legit answer . Nam is now useful. That is unless it matches HRRR. Then both are tossed 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

O good, now the rap is running 

when are the HRRR or Rap remotely useful 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

O good, now the rap is running 

when are the HRRR or Rap remotely useful 

when they're off your screen 

[George001]

7 minutes ago, kdxken said:

You should have seen that coming.

Yeah, just use xvideos or pornhub. No buffering, high quality and you won’t get viruses.

[WeatherX]

5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

O good, now the rap is running 

when are the HRRR or Rap remotely useful 

When you've reached your expected snowfall but the newest run shows a random band redeveloping that might give you another inch or two

[weatherwiz]

Here goes another wonky NAM solution 

[CoastalWx]

Nam looks like it might chase convection. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

O good, now the rap is running 

when are the HRRR or Rap remotely useful 

How is the WRF-ARW? 

[ineedsnow]

NAM chasing convection? I think it would be a big hit if not

[tavwtby]

looks like it's over early afternoon wor crowd, at least with the main thump

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Ya nam is like 4 hours slower the public is going to hate us even more if this thing slows down again 

[tavwtby]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya nam is like 4 hours slower the public is going to hate us even more if this thing slows down again 

now looking like late evening start instead of late afternoon