Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea That’s pretty weak west of EMAATT.

Thought so 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

lol 

You know yourself the NAM is good to look at for warm layers....like I said, every tool has utility if you know how to apply it.

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Can I see a clown Jerry 

sorry  I’m not trying to be lazy , I’m at gym 

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You know yourself the NAM is good to look at for warm layers....like I said, every tool has utility if you know how to apply it.

100% Ray def agree

i was more saying don’t bump to an average that is in double digits for us , not that you were (was joking either way )

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, weathafella said:

 

Cold right to the coast 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, weathafella said:

 

I would shave some off outside of the EMAATT zones. Looking at 3-5” here on that. It is what it is.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

 

Is that the entire event?

[40/70 Benchmark]

God....I hate, hate, hate relying on Kraft's decrepit, flaccid, Asian schlong to wrap around at the last moment, but that is an emphatic signal. May draw everything up and wait on the 00z EURO to fire.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Is that the entire event?

Maybe another inch of 2 after 00z Sunday.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Is that the entire event?

Pretty cold in 18z flash freeze is crazy for mass even gets down to ct this run 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You know yourself the NAM is good to look at for warm layers....like I said, every tool has utility if you know how to apply it.

It also is a good indicator of how quickly a storm may exit.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

God....I hate, hate, hate relying on Kraft's decrepit, flaccid, Asian schlong to wrap around at the last moment, but that is an emphatic signal. May draw everything up and wait on the 00z EURO to fire.

You could really pound as that CF sags south with 50kts at 850 out of the east. 

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Is that the entire event?

lol no-we get another 18 inches Monday.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

 

Not so impressive for the WoR crew.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Not so impressive for the WoR crew.

Still around 6".....not bad.

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, weathafella said:

 

Why do folks use that Euro vs others ? 

[WeatherX]

18z Euro hits WFFLDCT hard between 6pm-12am tomorrow evening thru Sunday morning


.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

God....I hate, hate, hate relying on Kraft's decrepit, flaccid, Asian schlong to wrap around at the last moment, but that is an emphatic signal. May draw everything up and wait on the 00z EURO to fire.

I mean, you dont need to rely on it for warning criteria there imho. I think you’re already in the 6-8” range from the initial thump….the Kraft finish is what will decide whether you get 8-10 or 12-16. If it’s kind of disorganized and too late, you prob only add a couple inches of powder. But if it cranks for 4-6 hours then you’re adding another 6”

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Still around 6".....not bad.

I'll take it and run!

[weathafella]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Why do folks use that Euro vs others ? 

All are used.  Euro just came out.  Well we don’t use icon or 36+ hour HRR/rap.

[powderfreak]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

God....I hate, hate, hate relying on Kraft's decrepit, flaccid, Asian schlong to wrap around at the last moment, but that is an emphatic signal. May draw everything up and wait on the 00z EURO to fire.

You are getting dangled there pretty good.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

I mean, you dont need to rely on it for warning criteria there imho. I think you’re already in the 6-8” range from the initial thump….the Kraft finish is what will decide whether you get 8-10 or 12-16. If it’s kind of disorganized and too late, you prob only add a couple inches of powder. But if it cranks for 4-6 hours then you’re adding another 6”

Yea, that is what I mean...I'm not worried about warning criteria....I want to get it right.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

You are getting dangled there pretty good.

Shape and all. Just slapping him from the NE.

[dryslot]

So which clown map we using? The Kuchera max kids like clown or the scary 10:1 clown? lol 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

All are used.  Euro just came out.  Well we don’t use icon or 36+ hour HRR/rap.

I just meant that depiction seems to always verify low . Ray posts one similar but higher resolution which also typically is low Vs the regular Euro maps. Just curious 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Shape and all. Just slapping him from the NE.

Man, I would love to work some CJ in there with that reach around....just work me over from every angle.

[Hoth]

9 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Not so impressive for the WoR crew.

What else is new?

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

So which clown map we using? The Kuchera max kids like clown or the scary 10:1 clown? lol 

I’d stick to near 10 to 1 for interior. Near the coast I’d go less. It’s possible that higher terrain in ORH county or SNH get more like 12 to 1 or even slightly better depending on snow growth. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Fish really hates anywhere just east and SE of Metheun

https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1743380587912565246?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[powderfreak]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I just meant that depiction seems to always verify low . Ray posts one similar but higher resolution which also typically is low Vs the regular Euro maps. Just curious 

It looked the same as the WxBell one?  Just different color scales.  Widespread 6-8” with a zone of 10”+ ORH to LWM.