Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[Patrick-02540]

I couldn't take it any longet....im sloshed at the local bbar, plastered on hot todddies. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I knew I shouldn't have bumped immediate Boston area up at the last moment. I hate weather. 

[moneypitmike]

  On 1/6/2024 at 11:16 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Have you been to RC yet?  Looks pretty swanky for ORH

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We went to the orh one back in the spring.  Have always been a fan.

[Greg]

  On 1/6/2024 at 11:27 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I knew I shouldn't have bumped immediate Boston area up at the last moment. I hate weather. 

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We'll see if it mixes as much as you may be thinking, not sure. Depends on rates and how cold it really is off the flight deck for them.

[George001]

  On 1/6/2024 at 11:27 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I knew I shouldn't have bumped immediate Boston area up at the last moment. I hate weather. 

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You were 5-10 in Boston right? 10 is unlikely but the lower end of that looks pretty good. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Expecting mostly glop here after the trends today. Sucks. Another event down the proverbial and literal drain.

[BombsAway1288]

  On 1/6/2024 at 10:59 PM, Greg said:

There not buying the bias warmer models. Snowing steadily at my house right now.

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Sure, but there wasn’t as many of them when they hoisted warnings. Big changes on the 12z runs for coastal dwellers. I hope I’m wrong but I just can’t see coastal areas (within 5 miles) getting to 6”. Maybe they’ll drop them for just that, coastal sections

[George001]

  On 1/6/2024 at 11:37 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Expecting mostly glop here after the trends today. Sucks. Another event down the proverbial and literal drain.

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Eh, it sucks but that’s climo. The pattern and storm track favors NW areas, not SE Mass.

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/6/2024 at 11:42 PM, George001 said:

Eh, it sucks but that’s climo. The pattern and storm track favors NW areas, not SE Mass.

 

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Eh, just got going to late

[bwt3650]

  On 1/6/2024 at 10:01 PM, WinterWolf said:

I think we do pretty well…all modeling has us 8 plus all the time. You enjoy too. 

Good luck…I’m down in jersey for this one and there’s almost 4 otg, so hopefully it thumps and ct does 8-12


.

[Bryan63]

  On 1/6/2024 at 11:37 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Expecting mostly glop here after the trends today. Sucks. Another event down the proverbial and literal drain.

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Definitely a bummer after keeping an eye on this for a week. Here I thought it'd be easier to get snow being back up here after living in NC lol. Forgot how fickle it is down this way. Someday my son will get to see a decent snowfall.

[SouthCoastMA]

  On 1/6/2024 at 11:37 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Expecting mostly glop here after the trends today. Sucks. Another event down the proverbial and literal drain.

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Knew it was skunked for me..but sucks it kept trending worse the last couple cycles. still hoping to get an inch at the end though, yippee?

[BombsAway1288]

Going with 2-3 in Chelsea. Logan reports 1.5. Gradient is going to be crazy at the coast. Could easily see a place like Melrose or Saugus get 6-10. 
 

As others have said, it will come down to the CCB and how strong/long it lasts. If it really gets going tomorrow then the coastal numbers will go way up, even Logan

[SouthCoastMA]

34.5°/27.3°

Will probably start as snow

[Damage In Tolland]

Noyes drunk ? Girls in undies? Yikes 

https://x.com/mattnbcboston/status/1743782527712534980?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[Massplow]

Anybody have any thoughts on norton overnight tonight. Have to make a call on plow/shovel crews and really trying to avoid having everybody in place and its just mix/rain all night that doesn’t accumulate.

[WinterWolf]

First flakes here…we begin. 

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/6/2024 at 11:48 PM, bwt3650 said:

Good luck…I’m down in jersey for this one and there’s almost 4 otg, so hopefully it thumps and ct does 8-12


.

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Where in Jersey are you?

[Damage In Tolland]

This is on its way 

https://x.com/epawawx/status/1743782587305230680?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/7/2024 at 12:02 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

This is on its way 

https://x.com/epawawx/status/1743782587305230680?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

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Dam…Hope so. 

[tavwtby]

  On 1/7/2024 at 12:02 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

This is on its way 

https://x.com/epawawx/status/1743782587305230680?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

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watch that as it pivots and moves on through, maybe the start of a deform, radar looks a lot better last half hour or so, and flakes flying now, I was an hour off, oh well

[Bryan63]

For whatever it's worth HRRR seems to be coming in colder, showing more snow on Long Island than previous runs.

[MJO812]

Snowing pretty good down here in Manhattan but no accumulations. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/7/2024 at 12:07 AM, Bryan63 said:

For whatever it's worth HRRR seems to be coming in colder, showing more snow on Long Island than previous runs.

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Based on temps/ dews that should continue 

[tavwtby]

man it looks miserable in Baltimore for the game, good lord...pats game should be interesting tomorrow

[bwt3650]

  On 1/7/2024 at 12:00 AM, 78Blizzard said:

Where in Jersey are you?

Hunterdon county, about 600’. About an inch an hour for last 2.


.

[mreaves]

  On 1/7/2024 at 12:07 AM, MJO812 said:

Snowing pretty good down here in Manhattan but no accumulations. 

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Hopefully on their way to the first of 2 back to back .9” readings. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/6/2024 at 11:57 PM, Massplow said:

Anybody have any thoughts on norton overnight tonight. Have to make a call on plow/shovel crews and really trying to avoid having everybody in place and its just mix/rain all night that doesn’t accumulate.

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I think a few inches there is possible. 

[DavisStraight]

  On 1/6/2024 at 11:16 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Have you been to RC yet?  Looks pretty swanky for ORH

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It is but you get a damn good steak there.

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/7/2024 at 12:02 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

This is on its way 

https://x.com/epawawx/status/1743782587305230680?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

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He may be transitioning to sleet as the Hrrr at 0z shows him in sleet.  If not, then the cold air is hanging in there.