Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

7 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Ahh I thought that was round 2… that’s the easterly flow after the overrunning thump.

But I see what you are talking about… that weird little QPF streak that looks dubious?  I don’t think that QPF in CT is the CCB… just looks odd when looped….  Almost convective.  But who knows.

25 hour HRRR geezus 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Reggie stepping up to the plate now 

4-8” thump round 1

skunks inside 128 by Boston 

[dendrite]

No one is dryslotting until a bit after midnight

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Reggie is basically rain for Boston I think 

36 overnite tonite 

36 at 18z Sunday 

torches almost to 128 

[Damage In Tolland]

Stein is ready 

https://x.com/growingwisdom/status/1743734946416505042?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[Modfan2]

28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR vs Nam .. we’ll see how it plays out 

Sir Mixalot action for me

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Warning snows for N 1/2 of CT NW RI and NW of 495 on Reggie kuchera

congrats Waterville valley 

[Greg]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Warning snows for N 1/2 of CT NW RI and NW of 495 on Reggie kuchera

congrats Waterville valley 

Nobody but northern peeps care about the Kuchera.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Warning snows for N 1/2 of CT NW RI and NW of 495 on Reggie kuchera

congrats Waterville valley 

Even with dynamic cooling under heavier bands I think temperatures are going to be a problem for some folks tomorrow.

[TalcottWx]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

He’s at a sleep over. Wants to come back tomorrow to play in the snow. I hope he’s not disappointed lol.

Tell him if he's mean to daddy, it will never snow again. 

[dryslot]

32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR vs Nam .. we’ll see how it plays out 

Didn't you sat yesterday that the HRRR sucked?

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Didn't you sat yesterday that the HRRR sucked?

And the nam . Let’s see which ones sucks less 

[bristolri_wx]

Ugh coastal plain trends are going backwards… it’s the PornHub precip forecast taint taint taint… 

[ineedsnow]

Winter storm Warning has total accumulation of 9 to 15 now..  This morning I  think they had 8 to 12 

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And the nam . Let’s see which ones sucks less 

I find it to be the HRRR but, They both do, They can't all suck though.

[ineedsnow]

Just saw that pivotal added the ICON 

[ineedsnow]

[Greg]

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Just saw that pivotal added the ICON 

I may have made that comment in the Jan 4 thread, They added the Euro weeklies too.

[dryslot]

fwiw, And i don't place much stock in it, But it kind of aligns with the other guidance

[dan11295]

I am selling 12"+ here tbh. Am worried even here  ratios will be cut down tonight. Would really need the CCB to get going in time and everything not to be too far north to make that a reality in metrowest Boston.

[Greg]

1 minute ago, dan11295 said:

I am selling 12"+ here tbh. Am worried even here  ratios will be cut down tonight. Would really need the CCB to get going in time and everything not to be too far north to make that a reality in metrowest Boston.

Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect
for all but the Cape and Islands. As for snowfall totals, they have
been increased a few inches for interior MA/CT, now 12-15 inches in
the slopes of the Berkshires, Worcester Hills, and portions of
northeast MA. Totals decrease toward the coasts, with 6-8 inches
expected in greater Boston. The greatest uncertainty remains with
southeast MA where marginal temperatures on the front end or a more
robust Sunday afternoon could cause forecasted amounts to over or
underperform

[gonegalt]

Under a dry dome that won't give way. I supply your CAD.

Good ice out there but no snow till mid week. 

I'll still watch this though.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

19 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Please use the regional map. Thanks in advance.

[Spaizzo]

No one is dryslotting until a bit after midnight

I’ve been watching the darn radar creep in and around ct… I’m gonna lose my bet if we don’t have flakes by 530


.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

16 minutes ago, Greg said:

Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect
for all but the Cape and Islands. As for snowfall totals, they have
been increased a few inches for interior MA/CT, now 12-15 inches in
the slopes of the Berkshires, Worcester Hills, and portions of
northeast MA. Totals decrease toward the coasts, with 6-8 inches
expected in greater Boston. The greatest uncertainty remains with
southeast MA where marginal temperatures on the front end or a more
robust Sunday afternoon could cause forecasted amounts to over or
underperform

I’m old enough to remember getting mocked for saying 12-18” possible in the heaviest band in NE mass now the forecast is 12-15” lol 

[rcostell]

1 hour ago, SJonesWX said:

congrats to the pope on that jackpot

[BombsAway1288]

My guess is that BOX drops the warnings in Suffolk and Norfolk counties to advisories overnight. NE Mass-SE NH-SW ME is the place to be with this one 

[SouthCoastMA]

18z GFS a tad cooler for south coast. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

18z GFS a tad cooler for south coast. 

Yeah and a nice finish tomorrow.