Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/6/2024 at 6:04 PM, moneypitmike said:

EC Clown

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The one consistency that every model has had for days is the screw zone over Keene New Hampshire.  Lol

Its  a cool town but man they get down sloped in every direction.  
Same as N Adams. 

[dendrite]

Just blew the rats out of the snowblower. Euro looks good even if you lop a few inches off the kuchie. 

[dendrite]

Hopefully we can get Pope the jackpot. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:29 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

The one consistency that every model has had for days is the screw zone over Keene New Hampshire.  Lol

Its  a cool town but man they get down sloped in every direction.  
Same as N Adams. 

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But a great brewery at Modestman 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:31 PM, dendrite said:

Just blew the rats out of the snowblower. Euro looks good even if you lop a few inches off the kuchie. 

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That’s the kuchera map I wanted to see 

congrats ..Waterville Valley

[wx2fish]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:33 PM, dendrite said:

Hopefully we can get Pope the jackpot. 

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Alot of high res really pegging the CF enhancement from kittery back into Rockingham. May happen 

[Thunderblizzard]

18z HRRR

[WxWatcher007]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:36 PM, Thunderblizzard said:

18z HRRR

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Now this we support.

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:26 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Bryce is gonna have his first beer tonite and watch his dad cry as he pours and Braintree gets taters thru noon 

 

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He’s at a sleep over. Wants to come back tomorrow to play in the snow. I hope he’s not disappointed lol.

[CoastalWx]

We support and approve hrrr.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:36 PM, Thunderblizzard said:

18z HRRR

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That’s a Poundmetown . But we didn’t look at it last nite, so we can’t today 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:33 PM, dendrite said:

Hopefully we can get Pope the jackpot. 

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He popped out of his robe, but then disappeared again. Personally, I’m hoping for the holy Trinity. Three misses. The January 4 mid Atlantic storm, the January 7 New England with and the January 10 rain.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Let’s see what nam has to say . It’s inside a day . There used to be the old nam/ euro rule right 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:37 PM, CoastalWx said:

He’s at a sleep over. Wants to come back tomorrow to play in the snow. I hope he’s not disappointed lol.

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You Sent kids to friends and wife staying at parents so can weenie out? And either sit on the couch naked all night, or smash every dish in the house 

[mreaves]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:33 PM, dendrite said:

Hopefully we can get Pope the jackpot. 

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That and the NYC thing are my top two outcomes I’m wishing for. 

[George001]

These types of storms are always fun to track. Realistically a case could be made for me to end up with anywhere from a slushy 3-4 inches to a foot. Models will continue wobbling, but we won’t know for sure how this plays out until the storm is right on top of us.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:33 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

But a great brewery at Modestman 

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Indeed!

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:44 PM, George001 said:

These types of storms are always fun to track. Realistically a case could be made for me to end up with anywhere from a slushy 3-4 inches to a foot. Models will continue wobbling, but we won’t know for sure how this plays out until the storm is right on top of us.

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I think we will know if euro is on its own with round 1 with next few hours or models coming in 

[Briz600]

This one is difficult to forecast. I have been looking at these damn models for days deciding if I should cancel my flight.

[ineedsnow]

NAM not chasing convection that much this run

[lurker]

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Nam hits NE PA NJ hard early with round 1

6” in 3 hrs

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Crushes CT on round 1 

[kazimirkai]

Just saw my first flakes in S NY. About 3 hours earlier than anticipated. Not sure what that means

[Thunderblizzard]

NAM is juiced with the thump.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Nam is seriously juiced 

[dryslot]

This should be a good nam run further north as well, Heights are higher out ahead of the slp.

[ineedsnow]

Nam looks great

[WxWatcher007]

  On 1/6/2024 at 7:49 PM, dryslot said:

This should be a good nam run further north as well, Heights are higher out ahead of the slp.

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Let’s get this one to please us all

[wxsniss]

18z HRRR still very warm at surface though, it's 33-36 for much of ESNE until ~20z

0z NAM thermals is what we want... it's as if all guidance warmed as soon as Pope posted this morning...  I'm hoping we cool back in the 18z suite starting with NAM