Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[WeatherX]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:39 AM, SnowGoose69 said:

I hate the position of the high...more so for my area than Norwalk but even there I just think anything over 4 is a long shot here 

Honestly, that high position is the only reason I feel confident we’ll get something measurable. WAA always surprises so let’s hope we’re on the plus side


.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

That HRRR is a torch track 

I never use the model , bored and watching it, don’t really trust it but geez 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:45 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

That HRRR is a torch track 

I never use the model , bored and watching it, don’t really trust it but geez 

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Has it ever been right in a snowstorm ?

[CoastalWx]

Yeah still a torch run.

[ROOSTA]

I was hacked bigtime. My tracking curtailed to the dark ages. Two computers down after installing WhatsApp. Beware of Walware, went right to my OS boot.
Good luck all you weenies! Looking good after 2 yr. hiatus.   

[40/70 Benchmark]

A lot of the meso guidance is cold.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:47 AM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah still a torch run.

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Has a nice stinger Sunday though, lol

[weatherwiz]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:48 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

A lot of the meso guidance is cold.

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Good...we need it for the snow

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:47 AM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah still a torch run.

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Over Hyannis 

 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:49 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Has a nice stinger Sunday though, lol

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No shit lol

[Damage In Tolland]

Why are we looking?

[kdxken]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:50 AM, weatherwiz said:

Good...we need it for the snow

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Your schooling has paid off!

[weatherwiz]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:52 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

Why are we looking?

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you can't see without looking

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:52 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

Why are we looking?

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Boredom’s while we wait for the NAM 

[WeatherX]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:53 AM, weatherwiz said:

you can't see without looking

He’s not Cigars and Waffle House material like you


.

[kdxken]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:47 AM, ROOSTA said:

I was hacked bigtime. My tracking curtailed to the dark ages. Two computers down after installing FreepornApp. Beware of Walware, went right to my OS boot.
Good luck all you weenies! Looking good after 2 yr. hiatus.   

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You should have seen that coming.

[SnowGoose69]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:46 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

Has it ever been right in a snowstorm ?

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It has horrid mid-level cold bias for sure beyond like 8 hours.   Its very up and down...it runs hot and cold.  If its close to the 3km NAM/RGEM inside 12-18 I trust it but it has events where it just performs horrible

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:53 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Boredom’s while we wait for the NAM 

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Lol. Now that is a legit answer . Nam is now useful. That is unless it matches HRRR. Then both are tossed 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

O good, now the rap is running 

when are the HRRR or Rap remotely useful 

[weatherwiz]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:56 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

O good, now the rap is running 

when are the HRRR or Rap remotely useful 

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when they're off your screen 

[George001]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:55 AM, kdxken said:

You should have seen that coming.

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Yeah, just use xvideos or pornhub. No buffering, high quality and you won’t get viruses.

[WeatherX]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:56 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

O good, now the rap is running 

when are the HRRR or Rap remotely useful 

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When you've reached your expected snowfall but the newest run shows a random band redeveloping that might give you another inch or two

[weatherwiz]

Here goes another wonky NAM solution 

[CoastalWx]

Nam looks like it might chase convection. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/6/2024 at 1:56 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

O good, now the rap is running 

when are the HRRR or Rap remotely useful 

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How is the WRF-ARW? 

[ineedsnow]

NAM chasing convection? I think it would be a big hit if not

[tavwtby]

looks like it's over early afternoon wor crowd, at least with the main thump

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Ya nam is like 4 hours slower the public is going to hate us even more if this thing slows down again 

[tavwtby]

  On 1/6/2024 at 2:06 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya nam is like 4 hours slower the public is going to hate us even more if this thing slows down again 

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now looking like late evening start instead of late afternoon

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I think nam may crank and hug