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Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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40/70 Benchmark
40/70 Benchmark

On a weather forum? You maybe able to find a few....

MaineJayhawk
MaineJayhawk
dendrite
dendrite

Heavy, heavy reverse psychology this morning. We aren’t falling for it. 

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mattm4242

mattm4242

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 10:25 PM, NorEastermass128 said:

TV Mets very underwhelming for the coast. 1-3ish for most. I think they bust too low at least on the north shore. 

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You wouldn’t be able to tell from the supermarkets in the area. I’m a butcher and my arm is about to fall off.

Fingers crossed that you’re right about them being low. 

 

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 10:25 PM, NorEastermass128 said:

TV Mets very underwhelming for the coast. 1-3ish for most. I think they bust too low at least on the north shore. 

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I looked at nam and gfs bufkit a lot. If we get 1-3 it’s because the first part is light and the second part doesn’t do anything until it’s cold enough. 
 

Otherwise the soundings I saw were decent. 

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Greg

Greg

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 10:25 PM, NorEastermass128 said:

TV Mets very underwhelming for the coast. 1-3ish for most. I think they bust too low at least on the north shore. 

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The problem here is the main low and trailing short wave are not hooking up quite as well as we want to get a well-developed ccb and once again a fleeting high vs a building high is to the north/northeast of us. If the high was coming in just now to start to build the cold and the storm approached on late Saturday through Sunday afternoon with a decent phase/CCB and a true Benchmark track, then we'd be talking a much better scenario here.

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Greg

Greg

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 10:45 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

The constant weenie overanalyzing is amusing but I understand for certain areas.  This had basically been a 6” storm for Greenfield since Monday.

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Perhaps, but there are people that exist on the board and other viewers that need to understand why certain things occur/happen or unfold the way they do.

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weatherwiz

weatherwiz

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 9:07 PM, Henry's Weather said:

Is the plan to stay up all night? I’m nyquilling at 7 pm tomorrow

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Unfortunately, my days of staying up all night are long gone, too old now. I really miss being able to do it. I think it was the 2013 blizzard I stayed up all night for...that was awesome. I miss the days of staying up late for the 0z models, especially during the summer. When I saw a severe threat several days out I never used to go to bed lol...I would just nap throughout the day. Bruins also play tomorrow night so I'll be having a 9% IPA or two so that will knock me down. Maybe I'll get an energy burst. 

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Henry's Weather

Henry's Weather

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 10:51 PM, weatherwiz said:

Unfortunately, my days of staying up all night are long gone, too old now. I really miss being able to do it. I think it was the 2013 blizzard I stayed up all night for...that was awesome. I miss the days of staying up late for the 0z models, especially during the summer. When I saw a severe threat several days out I never used to go to bed lol...I would just nap throughout the day. Bruins also play tomorrow night so I'll be having a 9% IPA or two so that will knock me down. Maybe I'll get an energy burst. 

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I think people differ in intensity of interest… ive always been the type to lose tremendous amounts of sleep up to a week out from potential events. You seem similar lol.

These days it’s easier to regulate due to having other things I care about lol. And realizing my fundamental lack of control over outcome despite desire.

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Patrick-02540

Patrick-02540

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 10:39 PM, 78Blizzard said:

Mine is gassed up, tested, and ready to roll.  However, that may be the jinx.  :lmao:

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Let me tell you, mine is in the barn shoved behind two riding lawnmowers, a tractor, and a stack of 8 foot pressure treated 6x6's .  And the guy that does the main driveway texted me this morning and said the hydraulics on his plow are busted.  So that alone guarantees a positive bust by 4-6 inches.

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weatherwiz

weatherwiz

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 10:53 PM, Henry's Weather said:

I think people differ in intensity of interest… ive always been the type to lose tremendous amounts of sleep up to a week out from potential events. You seem similar lol.

These days it’s easier to regulate due to having other things I care about lol. And realizing my fundamental lack of control over outcome despite desire.

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I swear doing stuff like that has come back to bite me hard. I mean I am constantly always fatigued now. It doesn't matter how much sleep I get. It actually really sucks. I used to go to bed like 2-3 AM and then wake up at 7 lol. I remember a few times staying up for like 2 days in a row :lol: 

I think I was up for like 42 hours straight when the Dec 08 ice storm was going on. 

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Henry's Weather

Henry's Weather

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 10:57 PM, weatherwiz said:

I swear doing stuff like that has come back to bite me hard. I mean I am constantly always fatigued now. It doesn't matter how much sleep I get. It actually really sucks. I used to go to bed like 2-3 AM and then wake up at 7 lol. I remember a few times staying up for like 2 days in a row :lol: 

I think I was up for like 42 hours straight when the Dec 08 ice storm was going on. 

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Oh man, that’s even further than Ive ever been. Never done the 48 hour thing! Haha

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MRVexpat

MRVexpat

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 10:07 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

That or go 10 miles North to Temple NH and Miller state park . Base 1450’ Top 2200’ (they had over 40” up top in last march storm ) I think it’s Temple / Peterborough border right on rte 101 (which is always plowed ) . Miller state park parking lot will probably get at least a once Over During the sort of am lull 

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Thanks. Yeah I've heard of Temple before when browsing NELSAP and have always been curious. Just not sure of how skiable that place is after 8-12" of what I assume would be medium density pow. The beauty of Watatic is that the local crews keep it very well manicured. Really only need 6" and some fat planks to have a good time there. 

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