Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    18,148
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    happyclam13
    Newest Member
    happyclam13
    Joined

Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

 Share

Recommended Posts

40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 12:28 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Morhping  into Coming to grips with a 4-6 hour thump Saturday night 8-10pm start 3-5am finish with mood snow Sunday AM for Connecticut, can still do quite well in those 4-6 hours with 1-2" rates just away from the shoreline.. 

Expand  

 

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Replies 4.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

40/70 Benchmark
40/70 Benchmark

On a weather forum? You maybe able to find a few....

MaineJayhawk
MaineJayhawk
dendrite
dendrite

Heavy, heavy reverse psychology this morning. We aren’t falling for it. 

Posted Images

STILL N OF PIKE

STILL N OF PIKE

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 11:51 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Sunday PM has def trended east with CCB. Looks like the main show is the stuff before that. It still clips eastern areas Sunday afternoon with CCB but it’s not as crazy as yesterdays runs. 

Expand  

This was becoming clear at 0z and it was well received as you can imagine  as I posted about it 

I wanted more discussion around it and if I have your ear Will, I realize and most should it was a very delicate interaction with subtle upstream changes in second SW strength and speed having large changes in Sunday days snow duration and intensity.
 

Do you think that interaction(between short waves  can come back ) and if so when would we need to see this by . I think the goal posts are a bit wider then many think , if we are not depending on the first weakening short wave for majority of accumulation , for the period when ratio’s we’re lower 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 12:33 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

This was becoming clear at 0z and it was well received as you can imagine  as I posted about it 

I wanted more discussion around it and if I have your ear Will, I realize and most should it was a very delicate interaction with subtle upstream changes in second SW strength and speed having large changes in Sunday days snow duration and intensity.
 

Do you think that interaction(between short waves  can come back ) and if so when would we need to see this by . I think the goal posts are a bit wider then many think

Expand  

Since it is apparent to you. How much qpf changes with the CCB offshore? Are we talking .5 plus?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
weatherwiz

weatherwiz

Posted
Posted

Thinking a good 5-8'' of snow across Connecticut with about 3-5'' along the immediate shoreline. Going to put together a map later this afternoon after work stuff all done. The 5'' side though along the immediate shoreline may be too high though but we'll see after assessing everything in full after Euro.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 12:40 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I love that this will be a wet snow...my favorite type. Thankfully my 2 year old is recovering after a recent health scare and will be able to have him out with my while shoveling...sick children really put this shit into perspective.

Expand  

Great to hear all is well. Perspective is a blessing. 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Sey-Mour Snow

Sey-Mour Snow

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 12:35 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Sey-Less Snow :lol:

Expand  

Hindsight is 20/20 lmao, you know you were excited about the potential for more in your location, knew it was a longshot here so we kept our 5-10" call .. We all discussed the potential of what we saw yesterday and that was to continue snow yesterday with a heavier band on the northern side where a ccb would prolong heavier snow.. As this storm trended north overnight the dry-slot cuts down on time of snow especially further south as well as the trailing wave not catching up now which takes off a few hours on the backend.. Several prominent meteorologists in here were entertaining the idea of higher totals as well as every CT outlet.. I'm glad we kept our map capped at 5-10" will just have to adjust the 2-5" north and west 10 miles.. We learn and we enjoy our first snowfall still. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 12:40 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I love that this will be a wet snow...my favorite type. Thankfully my 2 year old is recovering after a recent health scare and will be able to have him out with my while shoveling...sick children really put this shit into perspective.

Expand  

God bless him Ray so happy he pulled thru. Good lord nothing scarier. Nothing better than teaching a new weenie all about snow either. My in box is flooded with my kids talking and asking about Sunday. So proud lol

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 12:41 PM, MJO812 said:

Awful job by the models this week.

Expand  

Not really when you consider this wasn't a large scale event deeply rooted in a long wave signal...this is the type of system where little idiosyncrasies with respect to SW interactions have disproportionately large results on sensible appeal for many areas. 

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 12:42 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Hindsight is 20/20 lmao, you know you were excited about the potential for more in your location, knew it was a longshot here so we kept our 5-10" call .. We all discussed the potential of what we saw yesterday and that was to continue snow yesterday with a heavier band on the northern side where a ccb would prolong heavier snow.. As this storm trended north overnight the dry-slot cuts down on time of snow especially further south as well as the trailing wave not catching up now which takes off a few hours on the backend.. Several prominent meteorologists in here were entertaining the idea of higher totals as well as every CT outlet.. I'm glad we kept our map capped at 5-10" will just have to adjust the 2-5" north and west 10 miles.. We learn and we enjoy our first snowfall still. 

Expand  

Great Job bro.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 12:43 PM, Ginx snewx said:

God bless him Ray so happy he pulled thru. Good lord nothing scarier. Nothing better than teaching a new weenie all about snow either. My in box is flooded with my kids talking and asking about Sunday. So proud lol

Expand  

I look forward to that...hopefully at least one of them takes a vested interest instead of looking at me cross-eyed like the general populous :lol: God, just give one "the sickness" to take over the blog once I start drooling on myself lol

  • Like 1
  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
weatherwiz

weatherwiz

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 12:40 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I love that this will be a wet snow...my favorite type. Thankfully my 2 year old is recovering after a recent health scare and will be able to have him out with me while shoveling...sick children really put this shit into perspective.

Expand  

Happy to hear all is well

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 12:42 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Hindsight is 20/20 lmao, you know you were excited about the potential for more in your location, knew it was a longshot here so we kept our 5-10" call .. We all discussed the potential of what we saw yesterday and that was to continue snow yesterday with a heavier band on the northern side where a ccb would prolong heavier snow.. As this storm trended north overnight the dry-slot cuts down on time of snow especially further south as well as the trailing wave not catching up now which takes off a few hours on the backend.. Several prominent meteorologists in here were entertaining the idea of higher totals as well as every CT outlet.. I'm glad we kept our map capped at 5-10" will just have to adjust the 2-5" north and west 10 miles.. We learn and we enjoy our first snowfall still. 

Expand  

I'm just breaking your balls lol Nothing unreasonable about that.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted
  On 1/5/2024 at 12:46 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I look forward to that...hopefully at least one of them takes a vested interest instead of looking at me cross-eyed like the general populous :lol: God, just give one "the sickness" to take over the blog once I start drooling on myself lol

Expand  

I get reports from my kid in Germany still.  Lol.  Now it's the grandkids. Granddaughter is driving back to Penn State and texted me at 6 am. I told her to leave tonight. Think pretty much a weenified family. As much as some profess hating snow they are the first to ask if there will be enough to take the kids sledding Sunday afternoon 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...