Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[Ginx snewx]

  On 1/4/2024 at 5:16 PM, weatherwiz said:

Indeed, one of my favorite part about winter storms with great banding is seeing that product  

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I remember when I first posted it back on Eastern and people were saying where the hell did you find that. I also lost my link to the page Bob had where the 850 and other layers had SDs 

[weatherwiz]

  On 1/4/2024 at 5:43 PM, Ginx snewx said:

I remember when I first posted it back on Eastern and people were saying where the hell did you find that. I also lost my link to the page Bob had where the 850 and other layers had SDs 

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I first came across that from you. It's such an amazing product/tool. 

Oh man...I know what you're talking about I think with the SDs. I might have that bookmark actually (though might be on my personal computer). It is possible that is no longer operational as well. If I can find it I'll drop it and see if that's what you're referring too.

[TalcottWx]

  On 1/4/2024 at 3:59 PM, Sandstorm94 said:

12z GFS Kuchera

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

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Kuchie tickling my coochie in Simsbury

[klw]

  On 1/4/2024 at 4:13 PM, powderfreak said:

Only matter of time until the Canadian starts to suck in the NNE crew.

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Doesn't the Canadian have a north bias usually?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/4/2024 at 5:49 PM, TalcottWx said:

Kuchie tickling my coochie in Simsbury

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Shrooms…

[Chrisrotary12]

  On 1/4/2024 at 5:50 PM, klw said:

Doesn't the Canadian have a north bias usually?

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All models have a bias in the direction that provides the least amount of snow. 

[Torch Tiger]

  On 1/4/2024 at 5:07 PM, CoastalWx said:

Canadian ensembles are across the southern New England coast lol.

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sweet

[WinterWolf]

Well, of the two models(GFS and CMC),if I had to choose which one showed a monster solution at 48 hrs out, it would be the GFS over the Canadian every time. Certainly doesn’t mean it’s right. But it’s a much better model than the CMC. So there’s that.  
 

If the former King comes along in a few minutes, and does something similar to the GFS, then we might be heading towards something major.  If there are a ton of new posts when I check back at 1:45, that will be a very good sign. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/4/2024 at 5:57 PM, Torch Tiger said:

sweet

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Watch the hydroplaning.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Trailing vort noticeably stronger on euro early on lets see if that gives a gfs type solution (just wishcasting here I know)

 

  On 1/4/2024 at 5:58 PM, WinterWolf said:

Well, of the two models(GFS and CMC),if I had to choose which one showed a monster solution at 48 hrs out, it would be the GFS over the Canadian every time. Certainly doesn’t mean it’s right. But it’s a much better model than the CMC. So there’s that.  
 

If the former King comes along in a few minutes, and does something similar to the GFS, then we might be heading towards something major.  If there are a ton of new posts when I check back at 1:45, that will be a very good sign. 

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I agree, please EURO throw us a bone towards GFS.. 

[MaineJayhawk]

  On 1/4/2024 at 6:01 PM, CoastalWx said:

Watch the hydroplaning.

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[Torch Tiger]

  On 1/4/2024 at 6:01 PM, CoastalWx said:

Watch the hydroplaning.

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Amazon gives me AWD, we good

[weatherwiz]

euro definitely as wild as the gfs is but its still a pretty decent hit it looks like. 

[weathafella]

I’m happy with the euro so far.  Solid 6-10+ for mby.  Plenty cold enough too.

[rimetree]

Pending Euro's output but a blend of NAM/GEM/GFS would certainly get the job done here.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Another tick se almost directly over the BM now at 989

[KTBFFH1905]

  On 1/4/2024 at 5:49 PM, TalcottWx said:

Kuchie tickling my coochie in Simsbury

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WHOA DOGGIE! Looks like I am sleeping in the Sundown lot  on Saturday. 

[CoastalWx]

Looks like the initial S/W is a bit south.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Thats a great run for CT 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/4/2024 at 6:10 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Another tick se almost directly over the BM now at 989

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Great run for CT. How much for Taunton though?

[weathafella]

Snows till about 8pm here.  We take.

[JKEisMan]

Looks more juiced down this way

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Definitely a nod towards gfs with snow most of Sunday 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/4/2024 at 6:14 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Definitely a nod towards gfs with snow most of Sunday 

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Nice band thru CT hr72-78. 

[WxWatcher007]

  On 1/4/2024 at 6:14 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Definitely a nod towards gfs with snow most of Sunday 

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Beautiful beautiful run. Hopefully starting to see the GFS/Euro coalesce finally. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/4/2024 at 6:16 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nice band thru CT hr72-78. 

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Pretty bad run to run consistency from every piece of guidance now. If we can just get the gfs and euro to lock in now that would be great. 

[ORH_wxman]

Trailing s/w captures it just in time to give a nice CCB finish.

[Damage In Tolland]

Snows well into the night for most 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/4/2024 at 6:17 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Snows well into the night for most 

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Done early evening for most.

[weatherwiz]

  On 1/4/2024 at 6:18 PM, CoastalWx said:

Done early evening for most.

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He may be counting the snow blowing off the roof