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Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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On a weather forum? You maybe able to find a few....

MaineJayhawk
MaineJayhawk
dendrite
dendrite

Heavy, heavy reverse psychology this morning. We aren’t falling for it. 

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Sey-Mour Snow

Sey-Mour Snow

Posted
Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 12:44 PM, WinterWolf said:

You’re getting crazy bud…it was a blip run. 6z came back nicely on Euro, and GFS, and EPS.   I mean c’mon..you’re a meteorologist for god sakes. It would be like a cop panicking during an emergency situation…hold it together.  If 12z shats the bed, then you can tell us you told us so. But at 6z things to have stabilized. 

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I get where you are coming from and I'm not concerned about inland CT. Just the shore to my hood before the horrible 00z euro the shore was already very borderline .. Most of our clients and following is on the immediate shore so we have more at stake.. The CT shore i can see 0-2" or 6"+ of paste .. But you inland guys are still looking great for 6"+ 

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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 12:44 PM, WinterWolf said:

You’re getting crazy bud…it was a blip run. 6z came back nicely on Euro, and GFS, and EPS.   I mean c’mon..you’re a meteorologist for god sakes. It would like a cop panicking during an emergency situation…hold it together.  If 12z shats the bed, then you can tell us you told us so. But at 6z things to have stabilized. 

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He’s not panicking. It’s perfectly ok to state details without the snow goggles on. Everything doesnt have to be awesome but that doesnt mean everything is bad. 

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

Posted
Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 12:48 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I get where you are coming from and I'm not concerned about inland CT. Just the shore to my hood before the horrible 00z euro the shore was already very borderline .. Most of our clients and following is on the immediate shore so we have more at stake.. The CT shore i can see 0-2" or 6"+ of paste .. But you inland guys are still looking great for 6"+ 

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Ok fair enough.  It’s all good. Didn’t realize that about your clients. 

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STILL N OF PIKE

STILL N OF PIKE

Posted
Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 12:49 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

He’s not panicking. It’s perfectly ok to state details without the snow goggles on. Everything doesnt have to be awesome but that doesnt mean everything is bad. 

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It is ironic to me that Wolfie usually has a much stronger emotional sounding reaction than the person he says is panicking . I mean panic lol is a stretch but he has concerns at his latitude 

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weatherwiz

weatherwiz

Posted
Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 12:27 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Looking at 00z euro soundings theres a warm layer at 800mb up to central CT.. the 6z euro was much colder aloft luckily ... let's hope that 00z run was a blip ..

image.thumb.png.8626d59d00d3b37c190d43613aee89c0.png

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I wouldn't call that a blip. That's been hinted at and something to absolutely watch for. This is exactly why as you get closer you analyze and assess forecast soundings instead of just rip and reading QPF/snow maps. This is exactly why I start looking at soundings 3-4 days out. They can provide hints and clues missed by just looking at maps.

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

Posted
Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 12:51 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

It is ironic to me that Wolfie always has a much stronger emotional sounding reaction than the person he says is panicking . I mean panic lol is a stretch 

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Steve agreed…and didn’t see his angst either. Neither did I, that 6z bounced back. I also didn’t realize his point about his clients being on the shore. So as I said..it’s all good. 

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WxWatcher007

WxWatcher007

Posted
Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 12:12 PM, Ginx snewx said:

Not seeing your panic at your spot. Ct shore always in peril with East wind but column is pretty damn cold.

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  On 1/4/2024 at 12:21 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

We hold firm. 

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  On 1/4/2024 at 12:31 PM, WinterWolf said:

It was a blip.  Calm down. 

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  On 1/4/2024 at 12:48 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I get where you are coming from and I'm not concerned about inland CT. Just the shore to my hood before the horrible 00z euro the shore was already very borderline .. Most of our clients and following is on the immediate shore so we have more at stake.. The CT shore i can see 0-2" or 6"+ of paste .. But you inland guys are still looking great for 6"+ 

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  On 1/4/2024 at 12:49 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

He’s not panicking. It’s perfectly ok to state details without the snow goggles on. Everything doesnt have to be awesome but that doesnt mean everything is bad. 

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  On 1/4/2024 at 12:50 PM, WinterWolf said:

I wasn’t meaning that…he got my point. And absolutely no snow goggles on here bra. 

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CT crew holding a players only meeting to clear the air and get right before game time :lol: 

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Snowcrazed71

Snowcrazed71

Posted
Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 12:50 PM, WinterWolf said:

I wasn’t meaning that…he got my point. And absolutely no snow goggles on here bra. 

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Totally with you. People freak out when models trying to different way in one run. Just as some people grasp on to miles that may show crazy amount of snow. Point is, I mentioned this couple days ago. The windshield wiper effect. Bernie reyno always talks about that and It couldn't be any truer. Just go right in the middle and we're going to do just fine in southern New England.

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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 12:51 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

It is ironic to me that Wolfie always has a much stronger emotional sounding reaction than the person he says is panicking . I mean panic lol is a stretch 

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Lol we love our resident predator but when he senses a slither of less than everything is awesome posts, he pounces and starts tearing through flesh. 

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STILL N OF PIKE

STILL N OF PIKE

Posted
Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 12:56 PM, CoastalWx said:

Someone around here is gonna have some power problems for sure. Those areas just inland that may be hovering around freezing. Could be that area southwest of Boston from Canton to Sharon.

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If you get 1 inch of slop and Braintree gets 9” will you either drive your son to the snow or light the kids swing set on fire or both 

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
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Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 10:18 AM, ORH_wxman said:

06z GFS gone wild. Double digits for most of SNE. 

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I told everyone the next run of this model was likely to go large late last night...  I explained why in a small paragraph - I mean with the tsunamis of posts though...  Anyway, I feel pretty good about not getting missed at this point.  If something like that were to happen it would be a blind-sighted bust

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weatherwiz

weatherwiz

Posted
Posted
  On 1/4/2024 at 1:05 PM, ORH_wxman said:

06z EPS

 

Jan4_06zEPS78.png

Jan4_06zEPS84.png

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It would be kind of cool if you could see this product for something like 850 or 700 lows. Just based off the track of many of those SLP though I would think 850 would be very favorable for a hefty band to traverse almost everyone. 

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