Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[40/70 Benchmark]

28 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

OH  ha... you mean "John"  ?

I thought you guys knew each other's names but FXWX poster's name is John

man I was staring at that trying to figure out what the f you meant by that.  Truth be told though ... sometimes it does feel one is speaking to an empty room.

LOL No worries....just a bad joke.

[Ginx snewx]

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ukie was pretty close to Euro....a little south but big QPF up to about BOS-HFD

It gonna snow.  Let's go! Nice east inflow. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

 

e21 would be a hoot lol

[CoastalWx]

31 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

2015 was bad?

Was thinking of how it happened earlier in the month. Obviously 2015 as a season is yore.

[CoastalWx]

GFS and Euro have hints of weenie OES into SNH from ESE 925 flow. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Was thinking of how it happened earlier in the month. Obviously 2015 as a season is yore.

That was a stretch where you could wake up and just forecast warning snows for EMAATT without looking at any guidance. The anti Pope and Omega…

[CoastalWx]

Wish they had high res Euro soundings instead of connecting points every 200mb and make it look like a 5th grade graph paper assignment. 

[WxWatcher007]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

e21 would be a hoot lol

E31 please and thank you.

My thoughts haven’t really changed. Slight nod to the Euro camp, moderate event here. Would love some amping but as long as the GFS doesn’t win out it’s a solid event. 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Was thinking of how it happened earlier in the month. Obviously 2015 as a season is yore.

A decade ago was 2014, not 2015 though. I thought you were referring to Jan 2014..No? 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

E31 please and thank you.

My thoughts haven’t really changed. Slight nod to the Euro camp, moderate event here. Would love some amping but as long as the GFS doesn’t win out it’s a solid event. 

Solid is all we need to get up off the floor..let’s do it. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Wish they had high res Euro soundings instead of connecting points every 200mb and make it look like a 5th grade graph paper assignment. 

euro only has up to 90 hour on wxbell 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

A decade ago was 2014, not 2015 though. I thought you were referring to Jan 2014..No? 

I was. Maybe Dave was drinking a screw driver before class?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

euro only has up to 90 hour on wxbell 

That's what I mean. I'd like to see better resolution. Just seems like connecting dots at mandatory levels. God forbid they offer that.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I was. Maybe Dave was drinking a screw driver before class?

That was the storm where it was below 0F and snowing

 

 

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Wish they had high res Euro soundings instead of connecting points every 200mb and make it look like a 5th grade graph paper assignment. 

You used to be able to do ukie ones on the Plymouth vortex site with like 4 levels. lol

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was the storm where it was below 0F and snowing

 

 

It started out near 30F here and dropped all day. Once the CF went by in the evening, it was literally 0F and snowing to beat the band. 

[WxWatcher007]

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was the storm where it was below 0F and snowing

 

 

We dream of witnessing something like that someday. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

It gonna snow.  Let's go! Nice east inflow. 

Grandmaster Steve on the mic…

[Ginx snewx]

15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Grandmaster Steve on the mic…

Queens be queenin

Jack's be jackin

Just sitting here smilin

 

[RCNYILWX]

That's what I mean. I'd like to see better resolution. Just seems like connecting dots at mandatory levels. God forbid they offer that.

The weathernerds site has sounding data out to 240 hours for the 00z and 12z ECMWF runs. Here's an example from a random point I picked in New England at hour 90 of the 06z run. It looks like a bit better resolution than on WxBell and there's also a data readout from any pressure level you pick on the sounding.

https://www.weathernerds.org/models/ecfull.html?&inittype=zoom&initfield=Get_Skewt&initcycle=determine&initfhour=090&initimdimx=1050&initimdimy=630&initrange=55.000000000000:230.000000000000:20.000000000000:300.000000000000&initcx1=0&initcy1=0&initcx2=0&initcy2=0&initcross=False&initsound=True&initsoundx=847&initsoundy=196&initloop=False&initoverlay=False&initlstart=000&initlend=240&initlint=3&initol1=Get_Skewt&initol2=null&initol3=null&initol4=null&initol5=null&initcities=On&inithgwys=On&initunits=On&initlatlon=Off

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[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

We dream of witnessing something like that someday. 

We had one recently think it was  a Feb storm

[DavisStraight]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was the storm where it was below 0F and snowing

 

 

I like those storms where we get a moderate event, but the temp stays around 10 for the duration.

[mreaves]

21 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

E31 please and thank you.

My thoughts haven’t really changed. Slight nod to the Euro camp, moderate event here. Would love some amping but as long as the GFS doesn’t win out it’s a solid event. 

Could I interest you in some e37?

[Ginx snewx]

Jan 7th 2022 repeat?

[Prismshine Productions]

 

The big takeaway here is every single ens showing accumulation...

That being said, gimme 8, 31, or 37

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[ineedsnow]

not that it means much but big changes on the NAM

[HoarfrostHubb]

40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Was thinking of how it happened earlier in the month. Obviously 2015 as a season is yore.

I misread your post.  I thought you said it was a decade since you had a good storm.  Reading comp ftl

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I misread your post.  I thought you said it was a decade since you had a good storm.  Reading comp ftl

Screwdrivers?

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

not that it means much but big changes on the NAM

Big changes from what? The GFS? 

[Snowcrazed71]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

not that it means much but big changes on the NAM

In what way? It's funny. I was just thinking about the NAM that we haven't talked about it or brought it into any of the conversations with any storms as of late.