Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, mannynyc said:

EPS is southeast too
 

Yeah the EPS is tamer vs op but snow jack is still on the NYC-just south of BOS with biggest amounts on the cape.

[kazimirkai]

34 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ok I gotta get some sleep… hopefully the EPS is also on board with that OP depiction..

The EPC low did trend south and weaker but the track of the OP was amid the northwest cluster so I wouldn't say it was much of an outlier track-wise. Idk what most members' intensities were so It would've been an anomaly in that respect.

[moneypitmike]

5 hours ago, weathafella said:

CMC is not strung out at all.  It’s pretty impressive for a quick hitting several inches.  

Wham, bam, thank you, Maam?

[wxsniss]

6z GFS slightly improved over 0z GFS but nowhere like Euro/UK… benefits from late infusion of trailing shortwave energy

[moneypitmike]

GFS continues to be south but still delivers for SE Mass.  It's not dead yet.

[CoastalWx]

EPS definitely tamer than the op, but definitely some variables to figure out with this s/w.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

EPS definitely tamer than the op, but definitely some variables to figure out with this s/w.

Hate to ask (heading off to work ) . Is there a weenie map for 0z EPS 

[Lava Rock]

6z GFS slightly improved over 0z GFS but nowhere like Euro/UK… benefits from late infusion of trailing shortwave energy

Looking forward to the high cirrus

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk

[wxsniss]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Hate to ask (heading off to work ) . Is there a weenie map for 0z EPS 

[moneypitmike]

11 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

I'm surprised to see it that high with so many members south

[CoastalWx]

6z GEFS more on the paltry side. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

I think we need a sacrifice .. Let's all vote on sacrificing one member off the board for the 00z euro to verify I think we can make that it happen. 

[UnitedWx]

Much warmer this A.M. 26  degrees. Mr. Cox on TIC... after two minutes of hedging says early estimate for CT is 3 to 8 inches. Seems to be quoting the EPS at this point

[Snowcrazed71]

2 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Much warmer this A.M. 26  degrees. Mr. Cox on TIC... after two minutes of hedging says early estimate for CT is 3 to 8 inches. Seems to be quoting the EPS at this point

You're exactly right. He actually just had the euro map up from last night. Although he did say there's some model differences, he seems to favor the euro. I also watched Gil Simmons from WTNH with a video on social medi that he just put out 25 minutes ago. He also is favoring the euro as well. Mentioning that there is a wide range of snow totals but he thinks this is looking like a plowable event. 

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Euro tossed. On the extreme side of its own ensemble suite 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Euro tossed. On the extreme side of its own ensemble suite 

A bit on the extreme side but still about 40% of the members have a wide swath of 6-10" + of snow for all of SNE.. About 70% chance of plowable snow at this time on EPS which is down from yesterday .. 

[Ginx snewx]

34 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I think we need a sacrifice .. Let's all vote on sacrificing one member off the board for the 00z euro to verify I think we can make that it happen. 

Vim toot.

[Prismshine Productions]

Decent bump up from 0z to 6z on the GEFS

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, wxsniss said:

That’s still a good hit for everybody on that EPS.  Nothing to sneeze at. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Nothing strung out about that. 

Except the GFS on crack...

[WinterWolf]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Except the GFS on crack...

Lol…we’ll see if the GFS improves some more at 12z? It improved some for 6z…

[Kitz Craver]

Hi guys, happy new year! May all your weenie dreams come true in ‘24. Nice 0z runs

[Snowcrazed71]

28 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Euro tossed. On the extreme side of its own ensemble suite 

So are you saying you're going more with the GFS side?

[40/70 Benchmark]

I think this is an easy forecast...famous last words.

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think this is an easy forecast...famous last words.

Fire her up !

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Fire her up !

I'll have something out prior to my mid day meeting.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

15 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

So are you saying you're going more with the GFS side?

I’d weight 70% gfs and 30%. Euro is easily the most amped, so have to keep that in mind.

2-4” maybe a bit more for colder areas 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’d weight 70% gfs and 30%. Euro is easily the most amped, so have to keep that in mind.

2-4” maybe a bit more for colder areas 

100% chance SNE weenies are virtually wringing your neck while you bitch-session your way to another JP.

[CoastalWx]

6z euro op looked like it could be interesting if one extrapolates. 
 

 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

100% chance SNE weenies are virtually wringing your neck while you bitch-session your way to another JP.

Don’t think he will this time.