Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/3/2024 at 12:55 AM, qg_omega said:

No I haven’t, can’t post 1k times with my limit but you can check my posts, Thku. Lots of anger in here today from these responses

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Here’s the question. Why are you limited? Explain 

[Snowcrazed71]

  On 1/3/2024 at 12:47 AM, qg_omega said:

She gone, Pope FTW.  He was the only one showing 1/4 going the way of 1/7

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And you wonder why people have issues with you. You play games. 

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:11 AM, Snowcrazed71 said:

And you wonder why people have issues with you. You play games. 

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Bingo. 

[weathafella]

Everybody breath….

 

 

[kdxken]

  On 1/3/2024 at 12:48 AM, mahk_webstah said:

Snapper soup is awesome.  I grew up in rural Delwer.

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Know folks in Indiana who swear by it. Although they marry their cousins too. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:14 AM, weathafella said:

TFlizz breath….

 

 

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Fixed. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:04 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Forgot our page long dispute? The Pope said it's not going to snow this coming weekend because of the warm Temp anomalies Saturday before the storm.. That's just a blind squirrel (watch out for Wolfie) finding the wrong nut if we happen to get skunked..  

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Omega doesn't understand the concept of "right for the wrong reason"....like when he claimed victory all last week about his December call, yet predicted that it would remain mild because the MJO would stall in phase 7, which never happened.

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:22 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Fixed. 

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Yes…sensing some serious anxt out Taunton at 18z.  He was one of the ones cancelling January on Friday too…

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:14 AM, weathafella said:

Everybody breath….

 

 

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Nothing wrong with that…at all.

[40/70 Benchmark]

@jbenedetWhat I don't understand is that if we are "imbeciles" and a "circle of rejects", why not simply defer on waiting for the board majority to place you on ignore and simply stop "contributing" here? Makes me wonder what gaping hole you have in your life to continue endeavoring on this hapless and misguided effort to distract yourself from said hole, instead of spending time on more worthwhile pursuits, such as trying to address whatever shortcoming it is that makes you feel compelled to spew venom on a weather forum.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:27 AM, WinterWolf said:

Yes…sensing some serious anxt out Taunton at 18z.  He was one of the ones cancelling January on Friday too…

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Let’s be honest, nobody is going to be super confident in plowable snowfall until we’re inside of 3 days with good model agreement. 
 

A couple cycles ago, the S and SE peeps were all worried about this being a hugger…now the worry is the opposite. Nobody really knows whether this is the “one” to be worried about or if it will bump back NW on the next cycle. But that’s life 5 days out on a storm threat. 

[The 4 Seasons]

WXbell mean is a tick down from 12Z with about 4-6" for much of CT. Stormvista seems to be a step higher, which is usual for them

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:31 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Let’s be honest, nobody is going to be super confident in plowable snowfall until we’re inside of 3 days with good model agreement. 
 

A couple cycles ago, the S and SE peeps were all worried about this being a hugger…now the worry is the opposite. Nobody really knows whether this is the “one” to be worried about or if it will bump back NW on the next cycle. But that’s life 5 days out on a storm threat. 

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Nor should anyone ever be but weenies gon’ weenie.  
Let’s see by tomorrow night if it is looking sheared out at all and what interference the trailing wave is creating. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:32 AM, The 4 Seasons said:

WXbell mean is a tick down from 12Z with about 4-6" for much of CT. Stormvista seems to be a step higher, which is usual for them

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Need to see that shortwave not get so strung out at 00z

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:35 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Nor should anyone ever be but weenies gon’ weenie.  
Let’s see by tomorrow night if it is looking sheared out at all and what interference the trailing wave is creating. 

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Times like these It’s important to mention the resources weenies here have . The wx weenie hotline is open 24/7 with extra staff thru Sunday . I’m not only the President but also a client . You may be put on hold during 12z and 0z model runs but we have updated soothing squeeze box tunes courtesy of another client .

[weathafella]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:35 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Need to see that shortwave not get so strung out at 00z

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It probably will be but that doesn’t preclude a juicy moisture feed.  I recall an event in February 1974 that was a strung out 12+.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:38 AM, weathafella said:

It probably will be but that doesn’t preclude a juicy moisture feed.  I recall an event in February 1974 that was a strung out 12+.

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Don’t want a stronger follow up kicking it out too quickly though.  During the day Sunday everybody will need to see some decent rates for a time to get a region wide 3-4”. 

[moneypitmike]

  On 1/3/2024 at 12:30 AM, WinterWolf said:

It’s delicious. 

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Tastes like chicken.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:41 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Don’t want a stronger follow up kicking it out too quickly though.  During the day Sunday everybody will need to see some decent rates for a time to get a region wide 3-4”. 

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Days and days and days of beer 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:30 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

@jbenedetWhat I don't understand is that if we are "imbeciles" and a "circle of rejects", why not simply defer on waiting for the board majority to place you on ignore and simply stop "contributing" here? Makes me wonder what gaping hole you have in your life to continue endeavoring on this hapless and misguided effort to distract yourself from said hole, instead of spending time on more worthwhile pursuits, such as trying to address whatever shortcoming it is that makes you feel compelled to spew venom on a weather forum.

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You are a counselor and you know a lot about projection.  It makes me sad when people behave that way because you know they are in pain.  It is amazing what genuine apologies and resulting forgiveness can do to create happiness and friendship.  This is a great Board and I appreciate everything you and many others do on here.  And I hope some can look more closely at themselves and reengage with a more friendly attitude.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:44 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Days and days and days of beer 

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Yeah, long duration -SN is not going to get it done for a lot of folks. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:46 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Yeah, long duration -SN is not going to get it done for a lot of folks. 

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Away from the waters and valleys, it will. It’s a good airmass. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:35 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Need to see that shortwave not get so strung out at 00z

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I don’t think you’ll see it that early, but if the trend stopped at 00z it’s not a bad thing.

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:04 AM, DavisStraight said:

I like snapper but never tried turtle soup.

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Snapper is a type of turtle lol.  Don’t let em get your finger. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:49 AM, CoastalWx said:

I don’t think you’ll see it that early, but if the trend stopped at 00z it’s not a bad thing.

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Or maybe the SW really is just going to get strung out. Would that suprise you?

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/3/2024 at 12:52 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

5 PPD too many. 

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Since this is a New England forum, I would think someone outside the geography of this forum shouldn't be given any PPD in this forum.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:48 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Away from the waters and valleys, it will. It’s a good airmass. 

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Yeah, maybe. I would rather see the thermals a degree or two cooler though but we get what we get.  

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:41 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Don’t want a stronger follow up kicking it out too quickly though.  During the day Sunday everybody will need to see some decent rates for a time to get a region wide 3-4”. 

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Well if it can’t achieve decent rates…then it’s a complete loss especially in the beginning of January.  I mean let’s be real, this isn’t early November, or late March. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:51 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Or maybe the SW really is just going to get strung out. Would that suprise you?

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No it wouldn’t, I said that earlier. Given the s/w train across the US, definitely not.
 

I just meant that if you’re hoping that sampling would help, it’s not for another day. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/3/2024 at 1:57 AM, CoastalWx said:

No it wouldn’t, I said that earlier. Given the s/w train across the US, definitely not.
 

I just meant that if you’re hoping that sampling would help, it’s not for another day. 

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As long as people aren’t surprised if it is a solid shortwave capable of warning snows I’ll be watching model runs closely . I understand it can go either way still . If it goes to shredville folks will know as the page count per day shrinks violently