Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[CoastalWx]

First up to bat (although batting like .150) is the ICON with a track just south of ACK.

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

3-iron Tin Cup style....

Assuming the system progresses generally as modeled, since it is running into a brick wall... wondering if the northern fringe can squeeze out a decent deform band.

Just sitting here smilin. 

[CoastalWx]

I took mine out in Nov to get it going. Sorry about December.  

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

First up to bat (although batting like .150 is the ICON with a track just south of ACK.

That was just about perfect for maximizing the snow coverage across SNE. Prob some ML goodies getting up to the chickens over to PWM too. 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

That was just about perfect for maximizing the snow coverage across SNE. Prob some ML goodies getting up to the chickens over to PWM too. 

We deform

[MuddyWx]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

First up to bat (although batting like .150 is the ICON with a track just south of ACK.

The mark bellhorn of models

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was just about perfect for maximizing the snow coverage across SNE. Prob some ML goodies getting up to the chickens over to PWM too. 

Play with the taint, but still works here. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, MuddyWx said:

The mark bellhorn of models

I literally thought of him when I typed that.  Maybe some 2004 WS Bellhorn comes out.

[Great Snow 1717]

1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

yeah what's up with these days and days folks this AM?  Untapped already? wow

11 AM delivery for the model watching crew...

[weathafella]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I took mine out in Nov to get it going. Sorry about December.  

I did too!  I thought last year (when I bought it in December) was payment enough!   

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Icon is a beaut. Too bad it’s the icon 

[Typhoon Tip]

14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

First up to bat (although batting like .150) is the ICON with a track just south of ACK.

Repeated the 6 z as far as I can tell ...  (I've rejoined work work, though ... so my analysis is cursory)

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I wonder how many working weenies may use the restroom excuse to look at 12z runs 

Hopefully a full week of model watching ahead 

At this time we are going to be updating the weenie wx mental health options when you dial in , extra staff this week 

[Typhoon Tip]

16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was just about perfect for maximizing the snow coverage across SNE. Prob some ML goodies getting up to the chickens over to PWM too. 

wrote about the same exact thing re the 6z ( last page..).

It's like comically perfect.  It's attempting to model the elusive 'synergistic' event, the one that is supposed to be unknowable and catches everyone by surprise and snows double all leading indicators.   haha.  

Man, what a coup de etat if it succeeds

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I wonder how many working weenies may use the restroom excuse to look at 12z runs 

Hopefully a full week of model watching ahead 

At this time we are going to be updating the weenie wx mental health options when you dial 

Pickles digging deep to find what will go wrong. South of Rt2 storm?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Pickles digging deep to find what will go wrong. South of Rt2 storm?

Im looking forward to it , and to be honest I’ll have equal or more emotion with the following system for skiing . 11/7 Could be a south of S coast storm , Could crush CNE . Very early 

[iceman1]

18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I actually took the snowblower out of my shed yesterday because I needed to make sure it was working after leaving it in there all of last winter. There was a chipmunk nest in it but thankfully they didn’t chew any wires off so everything seemed to work. Gonna have to rodent-proof it before storing it again. 
 

If the storm and subsequent pattern afterward shit the bed, you can all blame it on me. 

that's my problem mice chewed the wires and no spark and i tried to rodent-proof even rapped the motor with a plastic bag they still made a nest .

[Torch Tiger]

Yeah nice moderate snowfall on the ICON, hugger track to boot. Hopefully that trend continues and we can get snows even further north, but I'm more liking a BM track at this point

[CoastalWx]

GFS will be NW, but that S/W behind it is deeper. Wonder what that will mean. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Less confluence and high tickles NE in a manner that I think helps us as this run is a weaker system (994mb) but it still is able to gain enough latitude to put SNE in sweet spot away from s coast 

[CoastalWx]

Wow that hugs lol.

[weathafella]

GFS hugs and crushes.

[dryslot]

Certainly coming further north, Its getting some assist from that trailer.

[weatherwiz]

I don't hate the GFS...but a little worried seeing potential for  a dual low signal at 117 hr. 

[MJO812]

Very amped

[MJO812]

Sne crushed at 123 on gfs

[weathafella]

Low goes right over ACK and really annihilates parts of eastern MA Sunday morning.

[dryslot]

That's perfect for some mid level goods up into CNE/NNE

[CoastalWx]

OK good enough lol. Might taint BOS-South .

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, weathafella said:

Low goes right over ACK and really annihilates parts of eastern MA Sunday morning.

Crushed off the cape this run