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Interior NW & NE Burbs 2024


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44 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Not a good evening in Greenwood Lake as the fire jumped the line. There are evacuations and an urgent request went out for any local fuel company that can refuel an engine that's on the fire line protecting homes. 

I’m kind of surprised that it jumped the line. Not sure what the winds are down there currently, winds were around 10-15 most of the day IMBY. Could be possible that it’s burning under ground and popped up past the back burn areas, only speculating. Haven’t seen any recent videos from the area. Hopefully they can keep ahead of it.

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59 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

I’m kind of surprised that it jumped the line. Not sure what the winds are down there currently, winds were around 10-15 most of the day IMBY. Could be possible that it’s burning under ground and popped up past the back burn areas, only speculating. Haven’t seen any recent videos from the area. Hopefully they can keep ahead of it.

I was surprised as well. There are definitely issues with fires in the ground as it's been so dry. The photos I've seen this evening on social media, which can be tricky because of exposure time, show lots of fire moving north, south, and west, which is also crazy to me. I'm guessing the air tankers were just rumors this week because I've seen nothing about them in operation. 

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15 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

I was surprised as well. There are definitely issues with fires in the ground as it's been so dry. The photos I've seen this evening on social media, which can be tricky because of exposure time, show lots of fire moving north, south, and west, which is also crazy to me. I'm guessing the air tankers were just rumors this week because I've seen nothing about them in operation. 

With the fires jumping and moving and moving in several directions could be from underneath spread and elevation changes. They called a couple of Rockland County units in tonight as well. I believe that the evacuation became mandatory from previously being voluntary in one area. Also haven’t heard of the air tankers arriving also. The water drops of 350 gallons each take care of the surface but don’t penetrate far into the ground.

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A section of Upton’s AFD

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Models in good agreement with an anomalously deep closed upper low (2-3 standard deviations below normal heights) digging into the Ohio/Tennessee Valley Wed Night into Thu, lifting into the NE US on Friday, and then stalling over the NE US into the weekend. Global models have trended over the past 24 hours with a weaker surface low development over the Great Lakes and a stronger secondary low taking shape right over us late Wednesday night into Thursday. This will therefore be the period when rainfall chances will be at the highest. Can`t even rule out an isolated thunderstorm with the strengthening low center passing through coinciding with a little elevated instability. NBM probability of 1+ inches of rain Weds night through Thursday has increased to 30-50%, with deterministic models in pretty good agreement that we pick up 0.75 to 1.50 inches of rain during this time.

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