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Interior NW & NE Burbs 2024


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34 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

@BxEnginewhile I have 3.3" measured on the snow board if I just measure snow on the ground it's closer to 4" so I should go with the 4"? Always round up, correct? :bike:

Yeah but my grass stopped growing 7 months ago so i couldnt do my tried and true method of measuring from the actual dirt to the top of the snow sitting on the long grass this year. 

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12 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Yeah but my grass stopped growing 7 months ago so i couldnt do my tried and true method of measuring from the actual dirt to the top of the snow sitting on the long grass this year. 

Mine had stopped as well but I put down some winterizer and lime right before the alleged by some "blip in the drought" and it started growing again. As a result it's the longest I've ever had it for winter. 

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1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said:

Besides the time of year, what I'm really enjoying with this snowfall is that there is cold air streaming in behind the storm. It seems like most of our snowfalls these days come with warmer temps on its heels. 

Good northwest wind with that Canadian air and a low of 11 tonight helps with the Christmas mood. Oops the snow cover too!

3.5” for the snow total.

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Good morning everyone - Dec 22.

A white Christmas is assured for most of us in e PA/NJ northward to Canada. 

Tuesday morning Midnight-Noon I78 in PA-NJ northward. A 3 hour period of snow deposits 0.5-1.5" needing road treatments for reducing slippery travel. Normal manageable winter driving habits - caution advised.   Roads frozen from this weekends bitter cold. 

Next events: Day after Christmas (26th): e PA, northern NJ- Southeast NYS. Snow possible with 1/2-3" potential but model uncertainty whether this occurs so it's not a given yet. It may begin Christmas night? Also this could also extend to CT. 

I84 corridor northward 28th-30th: Periods of Ice mixed wintry possible but lots of uncertainty. Could be just rain. 

Maps added are the generalized NWS 5AM snow forecast that informed their early morning products. Also a map of the Blend of Models snowfall which is a good start for what should occur early Christmas Eve. AND--- if you're interested---a map of soil temps 2 inches below the surface in NYS. Interesting that its near zero on the surface, but above freezing 2" below ground. 

 

Screen Shot 2024-12-22 at 6.25.08 AM.png

Screen Shot 2024-12-22 at 6.30.28 AM.png

Screen Shot 2024-12-22 at 6.35.40 AM.png

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The warm soil temps will have a significant effect on snowpack retention if we don't get a lot in the fairly near future. We got rain but not enough, as referenced by WDrag comment elsewhere, so there's a lot of warm air in the soil below the wet level and now it's insulated with a (thin) frozen cap and snow so it'll stay warm. 

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Too early to be sure of this...but 28th-29th is flagging mixed and icy, significant for travel on untreated surfaces. See attachment.blue area.   GFS looks like it's missing this but maybe I'm relying too much on other models.  Anyways, WSSI-P has it for now. We'll see if it hold. 

Screen Shot 2024-12-23 at 6.32.22 AM.png

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