WhiteoutMD Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 Flooding rains could be a problem in the next 10 days ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 I hope not too many snowplow drivers paid DT yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 At this point I’m just relegating myself to a huge sleet storm and hoping it materializes.. thermals looked cooked one way or the other even down right along the blue ridge on 81. Was really hoping for more from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 Too funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 Of course guidance will change, but this was always going to be a storm running into a marginal air mass. Folks don’t pay attention. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: I love Spain. Where did you go? I've been to Seville and Bilbao. Both cities are a total contrast from each other, really interesting. And during the afternoon siestas, entire cities go really quiet and almost nothing is open. When I was at the Madrid airport about to leave, it started snowing. It was March. Madrid then Seville and now Barcelona. Flying back tomorrow. Seville was charming but it was a bit like a theme park for Spanish culture and history lovers. The Moors and Magellan and orange trees. Madrid is huge and we were there over Xmas so prolly didn’t get the city’s normal vibe, but you can get Campari as easily as you can catch a cold in kindergarten. Royal Palace was pretty cool and reminded me that monarchies are only worthwhile in retrospect. *Barcelona is just fantastic but the Familia cathedral, one of the big sites (it’s never been finished), is, to me, an architectural schizophrenic: a gothic cathedral with eagles and fruit topping some of the spires. No can comprehende. But the city is glorious and can hold its own, IMHO, with some of the other big name European urbans that I’ve been to and loved . The Baleric/Mediterranean really adds cachet. only regret was not seeing the Prada or “Gunerica” in Madrid, or the Picasso museum here. Holidays and long waits kibboshed those plans. Needed to get tickets in advance but didn’t. Another reason to always heed my wife’s advice. jeez this post was long, particularly with the first real winter threat in two years looming. So apologies and if this needs to be deleted, understandable. At least it’s in banter. *edit: Spain is still a constitutional monarchy I suppose, but it’s like the 384 hour GFS: not taken real seriously 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 Seriously when two models completely switch positions and another model goes from a great run to the opposite it sure seems curious that anyone would feel comfortable making definitive statements quite yet.....besides Chuck...he's a good driver and he counts cards so.... 12z yesterday to 12z today seems jumpy at best if you ask me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 10 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: At this point I’m just relegating myself to a huge sleet storm and hoping it materializes.. thermals looked cooked one way or the other even down right along the blue ridge on 81. Was really hoping for more from this. lol it's Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: Seriously when two models completely switch positions and another model goes from a great run to the opposite it sure seems curious that anyone would feel comfortable making definitive statements quite yet.....besides Chuck...he's a good driver and he counts cards so.... 12z yesterday to 12z today seems jumpy at best if you ask me. And suddenly we have people saying that "this was always going to be marginal for the area" and "this was never setup in which the region would score" despite plenty of guidance showing otherwise. Drives me f'ing bonkers. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 5 minutes ago, mattie g said: And suddenly we have people saying that "this was always going to be marginal for the area" and "this was never setup in which the region would score" despite plenty of guidance showing otherwise. Drives me f'ing bonkers. Speaking strictly of temps….the air mass has been marginal on guidance for some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 i wish object permanence could be taught. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 22 minutes ago, snowfan said: Speaking strictly of temps….the air mass has been marginal on guidance for some time. There has never been anything in place to support such a storm. Guidance in the long range is simply trending toward climatology. The features that were being modeled weren’t even in the U.S. It gets closer then reality settles in. There is not a single cold temperature or wind chill headline out anywhere in the Plains or New England. That is very telling of the airmass we are dealing with. Bass boats were going out on the lakes in MN late Dec where normally you would find cars driving out on the ice. Different patterns driving weather. It’s important to know the patterns, analogs, so you know the type of setup that is textbook to this area. If a model is dumping double digit snows here but doesn’t align to a pattern known to produce then you have a red flag right off the bat. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: They are selling swords at Amazon for $9.99. 6 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Well it is rare when we see things improve. If we do, I will be happy. For now.. 5 hours ago, WxUSAF said: P.s. banter-type posts will get hidden with more regularity here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 Are we still worried about suppression? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 I am just hoping to still have something falling to walk the dogs in. That would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 Just now, nj2va said: Are we still worried about suppression? I'll worry about that until we're 24 hours out. I'll also worry about a primary running up into Ohio until 24 hours out. ...and a wound-up, tucked bomb that pulls in tropical air off the Gulf Stream and a weak, strung-out POS that drizzles into 39-degree air. I'm sure there are other worries, but I'm kind of tired of thinking about them now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 Just now, mattie g said: I'll worry about that until we're 24 hours out. I'll also worry about a primary running up into Ohio until 24 hours out. ...and a wound-up, tucked bomb that pulls in tropical air off the Gulf Stream and a weak, strung-out POS that drizzles into 39-degree air. I'm sure there are other worries, but I'm kind of tired of thinking about them now. You forgot worrying about a new vort that popped out of nowhere in the SW USA thousands of miles away that is ruining snow in the mid-atl. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 I'm worried about the cloud cover to not give us enough instability for storms Sunday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 lol at this place 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 @WxUSAFwrote Quote "may be a “worst of both worlds” scenario." if there is anything I've learned over the years it is how we excel that exact scenario. - that one year (I don't recall which one) where every post of psuhoff for months was about how the waves were juuuuuuuusssttt close enough to rob each other of being a storm and we ended up in between with nothing - it was comical how well we failed in whatever year/pattern that was. No larger point, which is why i have this in banter, but rogue shortwaves showing up to murder a threat is one of our hilarious go to moves. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 Just now, nj2va said: You forgot worrying about a new vort that popped out of nowhere in the SW USA thousands of miles away that is ruining snow in the mid-atl. Ooooh...that's a good one. But of course we should have seen that coming since this whole thing was fraught with the danger of it being a big rainer! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 As for me and grandpa, we believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 14 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: @WxUSAFwrote if there is anything I've learned over the years it is how we excel that exact scenario. - that one year (I don't recall which one) where every post of psuhoff for months was about how the waves were juuuuuuuusssttt close enough to rob each other of being a storm and we ended up in between with nothing - it was comical how well we failed in whatever year/pattern that was. No larger point, which is why i have this in banter, but rogue shortwaves showing up to murder a threat is one of our hilarious go to moves. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 lol. yes. that. perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 imagine being mad that a model “gave me less snow”. NONE OF IT IS REAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 If the Terps win tonight, 0z will cave to a snowier solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 2 minutes ago, 87storms said: If the Terps win tonight, 0z will cave to a snowier solution. We’re fucked 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 6 minutes ago, 87storms said: If the Terps win tonight, 0z will cave to a snowier solution. Oh shit. Might as well look towards 1/20 and beyond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 We’re fuckedJust noticed that it’s on Peacock lol. How stupid is that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2, 2024 Share Posted January 2, 2024 There’s too many streaming services these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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