nw baltimore wx Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: You bastard! I am only at 366 feet (roof of my house will put my at 380 feet I suppose...) Mine is actually 490'. I was a couple of blocks off. Pretty sure that your latitude will crush me this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 @Mrs.J Sign us up for some of this! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, mappy said: I am trying to think of who may have called NE MD a snowy area. There's a long running joke about NE MD PUMMELED, because it never is lol This is ofc one of my favorite forum jokes. I can't remember the poster's name but feel like it was someone in or around Bel Air (?) If a model run favored the area it was a NE MD PUMMELING / NE MD PUMMELED -- always all caps. The all caps is very important 59 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Alright my math teacher is making me get up in front of the class and present about the weekend storm, anyone have any idea on what to say because all I got right now is that there are currently 3 scenarios (strong storm but too warm EURO/ICON, strong storm and cold RGEM/CMC, weak and cold/weak and warm GFS/NAM) and there no way to know which one will happen. I have till 11:08 to prepare my statement... Stand there sweating, hands shaking, barely able to stand upright, and warn them about the dangers of addiction 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 His palms are sweaty, knees weak, arms are heavy There's vomit on his sweater already, mom's spaghetti Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 9 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Thinking a general 3-5in for the Lehigh Valley areas in SEPA looks about right I heard the Philly subforum would care more 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonTownT Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Being still relatively new to the area, I hear the terms "NW of I95" and the "I95 corridor" used a lot, almost interchangeably when it comes to winter weather esp. snow. For someone who technically lives NW of I95 in Towson, how many miles to either side of I95 is considered the "I95 corridor", and does "NW of I95" literally mean everything to the NW of I95 including the NW side of the "corridor", or does "NW of I95" start where the NW side of the "corridor" ends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, TowsonTownT said: Being still relatively new to the area, I hear the terms "NW of I95" and the "I95 corridor" used a lot, almost interchangeably when it comes to winter weather esp. snow. For someone who technically lives NW of I95 in Towson, how many miles to either side of I95 is considered the "I95 corridor", and does "NW of I95" literally mean everything to the NW of I95 including the NW side of the "corridor", or does "NW of I95" start where the NW side of the "corridor" ends? It depends lol. And 95 is also close to, but not exactly the “fall line”. The fall line is the boundary between the coastal plain and the piedmont and elevation goes up between them. Your elevation and amount of urban heat island your particular location has is a big deal for snow totals in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonTownT Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: It depends lol. And 95 is also close to, but not exactly the “fall line”. The fall line is the boundary between the coastal plain and the piedmont and elevation goes up between them. Your elevation and amount of urban heat island your particular location has is a big deal for snow totals in our area. LOL I'm on a 464ft heat island 10 miles from I95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said: Mine is actually 490'. I was a couple of blocks off. Pretty sure that your latitude will crush me this weekend. The hilarious thing (to me) is that while I am 366 feet I have a shared driveway and my up-the-shared-driveway neighbor is at 393 feet. 27 feet colder in the column literally out my backdoor and looking up at their house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 8 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: The hilarious thing (to me) is that while I am 366 feet I have a shared driveway and my up-the-shared-driveway neighbor is at 393 feet. 27 feet colder in the column literally out my backdoor and looking up at their house. Lol. How do you think I feel. I can sit on back on my deck at 870 ft. and look up at Mount PSU at almost 1100 ft. Sometimes in marginal ZR events I will have little or no ice on my trees but look up on the ridge and see heavy ice accretion. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, HighStakes said: Lol. How do you think I feel. I can sit on back on my deck at 870 ft. and look up at Mount PSU at almost 1100 ft. Sometimes in marginal ZR events I will have little or no ice on my trees but look up on the ride and see heavy ice accretion. BRUTAL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 15 minutes ago, TowsonTownT said: LOL I'm on a 464ft heat island 10 miles from I95. Then you’re in much better shape than the cities. I know the urban core of Towson can be warm though, so that’s something to watch as you get familiar with the microclimates in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 The only thing that sucks about this storm is that it's over the weekend. If it was Friday or Monday, we'd have another 3 day weekend from OPM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 It's hilarious how one model run can screw up people's mood. What happened to the 3 different scenarios? Are we locked into this one now from the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, aldie 22 said: It's hilarious how one model run can screw up people's mood. What happened to the 3 different scenarios? Are we locked into this one now from the euro? trends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, mappy said: trends! The moods or the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, aldie 22 said: The moods or the models? yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Kinda looking that way. I would stay though esp if its Gettysburg. Great place to hang out. 4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: It sure is, just 15 mins from me. Lots of good food and good beverages. pretty cheap hotels... might be worth dipping into my vacation slush fund. I'd been hoping that if D.C. was a fail, I could at least go west and take advantage of some free housing (family) along the I-81 corridor. But not sure it's worth the chase. May be a Friday call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 51 minutes ago, HighStakes said: Lol. How do you think I feel. I can sit on back on my deck at 870 ft. and look up at Mount PSU at almost 1100 ft. Sometimes in marginal ZR events I will have little or no ice on my trees but look up on the ridge and see heavy ice accretion. Does he dump his leaves and trash down the mountain too? Laughing at the commoners below 1kft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 8 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: It's hilarious how one model run can screw up people's mood. What happened to the 3 different scenarios? Are we locked into this one now from the euro? Combination of the latest model runs suggest more rain for I-95 and more frozen n & w, do they not? Now you gave me a weenie emoji the other day when I said that even when model runs looked better...but here we are, lol It just smelled like that on Monday to me. This isn't a setup that has the snowiest of the three options, I don't think. Besides...it's maybe a week or two too early (I looked up past snowstorms and only one fell the first week of January. I'm not sure why that happens but that seems to be a historical trend!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Combination of the latest model runs suggest more rain for I-95 and more frozen n & w, do they not? Now you gave me a weenie emoji the other day when I said that even when model runs looked better...but here we are, lol It just smelled like that on Monday to me. This isn't a setup that has the snowiest of the three options, I don't think. Besides...it's maybe a week or two too early (I looked up past snowstorms and only one fell the first week of January. I'm not sure why that happens but that seems to be a historical trend!) You talking BWI? Specifically Nino? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: You talking BWI? Specifically Nino? BWI. (Perhaps this is less banter and more LR discussion, but I was about to share this list JB2 made several years ago) See what I mean? Lol The only outlier was January 1996...which I can imagine was a combination of ninas being front-loaded, and having that crazy anomalous blocking regime you and others have talked about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 it's amazing how the euro still has that death hold on everyone. Let's just say it is a few degrees too warm what does that do to the overall scenario? Is it possible that a model is not correct on either side of the temp profile 3-4 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 9 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: BWI. (Perhaps this is less banter and more LR discussion, but I was about to share this list JB2 made several years ago) See what I mean? Lol The only outlier was January 1996...which I can imagine was a combination of ninas being front-loaded, and having that crazy anomalous blocking regime you and others have talked about. That's a top 25 list. There have been other significant snow events in early January. Had one just 2 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 29 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: It's hilarious how one model run can screw up people's mood. What happened to the 3 different scenarios? Are we locked into this one now from the euro? After the positive vibes from the 0z runs, 6z and 12z have me starting to creep towards the exit door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darkstorm Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 23 minutes ago, mattie g said: After the positive vibes from the 0z runs, 6z and 12z have me starting to creep towards the exit door. Reaper has opening at his Days Inn location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, Darkstorm said: Reaper has opening at his Days Inn location. I'm certainly not giving up on winter or anything, but I feel like the writing may well be on the wall for MBY for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, mattie g said: I'm certainly not giving up on winter or anything, but I feel like the writing may well be on the wall for MBY for this event. It was over for me yesterday at 12z. For areas SE of the Fall line the frozen potential was mostly dependent on the stronger confluence from that NS energy moving eastward into the 50-50 region, just as the wave was approaching. That proved to be a timing error on the GFS. With that shifting eastward sooner, there was really nothing to keep the wave from tracking further north and the flow from turning southeasterly out in front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VirgilCain Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 hours ago, TowsonTownT said: LOL I'm on a 464ft heat island 10 miles from I95. Anecdote for what it's worth - I live close to the ridge line that Joppa Road follows West of Towson, and on several occasions, I have left the Homewood/Hampden area where there was only wet pavement and a car topper to find stickage out my way. Just that little bit green and elevation can make a pretty big difference on some of these marginal events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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