Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.

[North and West]

2 inches or so in Hastings

.

[Snowlover11]

heaviest snow so far. 

[RU848789]

19 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Road treatments make a big difference. Suspect Metuchen was saving money? or no people to run the trucks or their policy? I know county DPW's and their subcontractors get onto this stuff pretty quick. That's the way your report sounded. State and County on it. 

They brined the county/state roads in town, which were at least better than the residential roads, which they never brine, but the town does an amazing job with plowing when we have a decent snowfall - pretty much every residential road gets plowed within 6 hours of precip ending.  Also, our town is nearly flat with minimal hills so snow covered residential roads isn't that big of a deal compared to a hilly area, like Wantage.  

[Brasiluvsnow]

4 minutes ago, North and West said:

“The weenies vacillated all week with cutting personal remarks regarding model interpretation and verification.”


.

How did you know that was exactly what I said afterwards ,,,,,,,although I said "wavered" and not facilitated either way getting ready for our walk now 

[donsutherland1]

With just 0.2" of snow at Central Park, the temperature very likely to hold several degrees above freezing, and warmer air aloft continuing to advance, the record-setting streak without 1" or more daily snowfall will reach 692 days today.

[Tatamy]

5” new OTG.  It really ripped here for the past two hours under those heavy echoes.  It’s tapered down to flurries as the most intense echoes have moved to my north.

[lee59]

4 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

With just 0.2" of snow at Central Park, the temperature very likely to hold several degrees above freezing, and warmer air aloft continuing to advance, the record-setting streak without 1" or more daily snowfall will reach 692 days today.

It certainly looks out of place

[MJO812]

Raining now in Manhattan 

[lee59]

Just now, Tatamy said:

5” new OTG.  It really ripped here for the past two hours under those heavy echoes.  Its tapered down to flurries as the most intense echoes have moved to my north.

nice

[mikeysed]

4 inches and mix in morris County.

 

4 inches and ripping snow at mid mountain in vernon nj. Heavy snow. 1 inch rates atm

[vegan_edible]

roads in white plains are absolutely terrible rn 

[dWave]

Drove into snow and cars sliding on the Cross County in Yonkers. Came out of nowhere taking cars by surprise, at least those coming from the east and south. West of the Bronx River you hit slushy roads and mainly snow falling.

[jm1220]

Winds definitely picking up. 

[cleetussnow]

Upton disco

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The challenge of this forecast will be for areas just inland of
the coast the next several hours, particularly interior NE NJ
and the CT coast. A strengthening east flow will gradually warm
the boundary layer, however, with liquid equivalent rates of .1
to .2"/hr moving up from the south, those areas could see brief
snowfall rates of 1 to 2"/hr before mixing with or going over
to rain. Inland areas will also see an increase in intensity of
the snow the next couple of hours, from SW to NE. Even a slight
change in distance north and west will make a difference. For
example, KEWR has gone over to plain rain at 37F/34F, while KNYC
is right around the freezing mark. Latest dual pol CC from KDIX
and KOKX shows lower CC values (marking mixed pcpn going over to
rain) near KEWR and along the south shore of LI. This area should
advance north with a changeover to all rain across LI and the NYC
metro the next 1 to 2 hours. However, model soundings for
locations just north and west of NYC, such as KTEB are pointing to
a prolonged period of heavy wet snow before the mid levels dry
out and an elevated warm layer moves in aloft. At that time,
precipitation would transition over to a drizzle or light rain,
but the bulk of the heavy precipitation would have fallen as snow.
Also, seeing very similar soundings along the CT coast. However,
the strengthening easterly flow off the LI Sound is a significant
warming factor for the boundary layer. If the wind could stay a
bit more north of east the potential is there for higher
accumulations. This will have to be watched carefully over the
next couple of hours, but for the time will stay the course with
the hazards and snowfall amounts.

[Tatamy]

Getting some light freezing drizzle now.  32/31.  Roads are horrendous here.

[Allsnow]

2 inch of snow  before the change to rain. Very happy with that considering this time last week Canada was supposed to be torched and rains to Maine 

[mikeysed]

.30 inches in last 15 minutes. Puking snow at vernon nj. Wish I could upload a video. Says it's over bandwidth and not allowing me

[NJwx85]

3 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Upton disco

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The challenge of this forecast will be for areas just inland of
the coast the next several hours, particularly interior NE NJ
and the CT coast. A strengthening east flow will gradually warm
the boundary layer, however, with liquid equivalent rates of .1
to .2"/hr moving up from the south, those areas could see brief
snowfall rates of 1 to 2"/hr before mixing with or going over
to rain. Inland areas will also see an increase in intensity of
the snow the next couple of hours, from SW to NE. Even a slight
change in distance north and west will make a difference. For
example, KEWR has gone over to plain rain at 37F/34F, while KNYC
is right around the freezing mark. Latest dual pol CC from KDIX
and KOKX shows lower CC values (marking mixed pcpn going over to
rain) near KEWR and along the south shore of LI. This area should
advance north with a changeover to all rain across LI and the NYC
metro the next 1 to 2 hours. However, model soundings for
locations just north and west of NYC, such as KTEB are pointing to
a prolonged period of heavy wet snow before the mid levels dry
out and an elevated warm layer moves in aloft. At that time,
precipitation would transition over to a drizzle or light rain,
but the bulk of the heavy precipitation would have fallen as snow.
Also, seeing very similar soundings along the CT coast. However,
the strengthening easterly flow off the LI Sound is a significant
warming factor for the boundary layer. If the wind could stay a
bit more north of east the potential is there for higher
accumulations. This will have to be watched carefully over the
next couple of hours, but for the time will stay the course with
the hazards and snowfall amounts.

No mention of snow tomorrow.

[Allsnow]

Looks like a huge bust for sne 

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Looks like a huge bust for sne 

More snow?

[KeithB]

58 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

New City looks like a postcard,,,,my son just asked " when are we going for a walk " 

Soon!

[psv88]

Salt truck just went by. Seems unnecessary 

[the_other_guy]

the best rain/snow line indicator around…

[cleetussnow]

9 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

No mention of snow tomorrow.

In fact they do

Otherwise, models remain in agreement that low pressure passes
to our south tonight and just NW of the 40N/70W benchmark Sunday
morning. Bulk of the precip will occur through tonight, but PVA
aloft interacting with a surface trough on the backside of the
storm brings additional, but lighter precip during the day
Sunday.

[Allsnow]

Abe Easton Sussex nj getting crushed currently 

[nj08822]

Just now, Allsnow said:

Abe Easton Sussex nj getting crushed currently 

Sleet/freezing rain mix out near Easton PA last 15 minutes.  But well over half a foot otg.

[Islandersguy]

21 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

roads in white plains are absolutely terrible rn 

I agree. If we can minimize the snow melt when we mix and have some more snow tomorrow maybe we get to 4 or 5 in?

[cleetussnow]

I’m at about 3 inches here north west of HPN.  
 

[Picard]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Abe Easton Sussex nj getting crushed currently 

That's here.  It's ripping snow right now, with 5 inches OTG.  That more than doubles my obs from an hour and 45 minutes ago.

[Tatamy]

7 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

the best rain/snow line indicator around…

Very true!