Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.

[NEG NAO]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Icon up first

misses to the south again ..........

[kingbaus]

10 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

misses to the south again ..........

exactly where we want it at this range.

[Franklin0529]

21 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Icon up first

Right where we want it at this stage 

[Allsnow]

High is stronger on the gfs with lower hgts 

 

should be a colder run again 

[NEG NAO]

9 minutes ago, kingbaus said:

exactly where we want it at this range.

need the others transferring their energy off the Del Marva not the Central Jersey Coast

[kingbaus]

looks like gfs is a little south so far

[Allsnow]

[Monmouth_County_Jacpot]

2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

need the others transferring their energy off the Del Marva not the Central Jersey Coast

Bingo

[NEG NAO]

4 minutes ago, kingbaus said:

looks like gfs is a little south so far

stronger also 988 vs. 994 at 12Z

 

[MJO812]

Just now, NEG NAO said:

stronger also 988 vs. 996 at 12Z

 

 

[MJO812]

[kingbaus]

getting smoked at hour 162

[WestBabylonWeather]

15 minutes ago, kingbaus said:

exactly where we want it at this range.

 

13 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

Right where we want it at this stage 

 

[NEG NAO]

[MJO812]

Cmc is an interior crusher 

[kingbaus]

Is it me or this kinda looks like 2/6/10 but 100 miles north? Could be dead wrong.

[NEG NAO]

[SnowBlitzkrieg]

gonna be a fun week

[Stormlover74]

Cmc stays all frozen west of the city and 95 but we need that low 50 miles east not over DE

[Stormlover74]

4 minutes ago, kingbaus said:

Is it me or this kinda looks like 2/6/10 but 100 miles north? Could be dead wrong.

That was widespread 24 to 30" and a very slow mover 

[NEG NAO]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Cmc stays all frozen west of the city and 95

classic Raritan River NJ rain/snow line to start

 

[kingbaus]

The next Tuesday storm looks to start out as snow.

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, kingbaus said:

The next Tuesday storm looks to start out as snow.

[MJO812]

[MJO812]

Geps is colder than the op

[Wxoutlooksblog]

Still got a long ways to go. In the 3-6 day time-frame it may trend again towards less amped then when we get inside of 60 or 72 hours it may reverse and trend a bit towards more amped again. This sometimes happens. We're a long ways from knowing the end result.

WX/PT

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

Still got a long ways to go. In the 3-6 day time-frame it may trend again towards less amped then when we get inside of 60 or 72 hours it may reverse and trend a bit towards more amped again. This sometimes happens. We're a long ways from knowing the end result.

WX/PT

agree 100 % just review the larger storms threads here starting with the Boxing Day 2010 storm here - there were questions with that one a few days prior 

[LVblizzard]

5 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

Still got a long ways to go. In the 3-6 day time-frame it may trend again towards less amped then when we get inside of 60 or 72 hours it may reverse and trend a bit towards more amped again. This sometimes happens. We're a long ways from knowing the end result.

WX/PT

January 2016 did this exact thing. Models were remarkably consistent over a week away. Run after run was a massive snowstorm. Then about 3-4 days out, some of them shifted south. I recall the Euro even missing Philly for one of its runs. It took until the day before the storm for all the models to come around again.

[Snowlover11]

18 minutes ago, Snowguy66 said:

Says captain freaking obvious


.

no reason to be a douche canoe.

[kingbaus]

I think this is going to be a very good euro run.