Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.

[Stormlover74]

40 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

I think the last one I could remember was Christmas day like in the early 2000s

 

It is very rare

there was a much smaller version of that in the late 90s as well. I’m gonna say 1998.

The 2nd March 2018 storm started as heavy rain

[weatherpruf]

21 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Backend snow with a CCB would happen if the 500mb low closes off SE of us, which transports moisture around west of the low. Without it it’s likely progressive and wouldn’t amount to much. GFS looks nice but I’d believe that when I see it. 

Lack of sun matters so much for how it feels out; just came in from tossing the ball to the dogs and it has that "snowy" feel to it outside. Fingers are numb. Temp is 42 but it feels a lot colder. Would be nice to swing something out of this, nothing worse than cold rain. But not confident; winter has too much of a 90s feel to it. Totally unscientific, of course.

[Franklin0529]

Gefs still showing some big hits. Maybe it's banking on that 2nd sw 

[BoulderWX]

1 hour ago, binbisso said:

This is hilarious and without any support. Also be careful with 10:1 as many have stated before, looking closer to 5/6:1 along coast and other marginal areas. 

[BoulderWX]

45 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

The ensembles haven’t moved much for my area; arguably they have increased chances for significant snows.

MMU and points north/west should be in the game. 

I’m in Morristown and right in the line. Either way ratios will be very low but would be nice to see flakes fly. 

[Typhoon Tip]

38 minutes ago, Newman said:

Verbatim on the GFS, the Pats game at 1 and Giants game at 4:30 would be fun on Sunday

Would it be the first time an NFL game was delayed due to ligntning in a snow storm ? 

[ILoveWinter]

4 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

This is hilarious and without any support. Also be careful with 10:1 as many have stated before, looking closer to 5/6:1 along coast and other marginal areas. 

RGEM wasn't terrible for the coast but yes needs more support to be believable. Hopefully the Euro shows some improvement in less than an hour though it's prob a long shot. 

[Snowlover11]

5 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

RGEM wasn't terrible for the coast but yes needs more support to be believable. Hopefully the Euro shows some improvement in less than an hour though it's prob a long shot. 

um RGEM hardly shows much at the coast? you gotta be NW of white plains, etc for anything over 3”

[ILoveWinter]

1 minute ago, Snowlover11 said:

um RGEM hardly shows much at the coast? you gotta be NW of white plains, etc for anything over 3”

I was referring to this (yes ratios too high but this is not terrible for the immediate metro)

[vegan_edible]

its almost euro time

[Allsnow]

Euro weaker and further south this run..we shall see if it makes a difference 

[psv88]

Plenty of storms went from heavy rain to heavy snow in the NYC area lol

[forkyfork]

16 hours ago, forkyfork said:

with such strong energy coming into the west behind our system it will be difficult for the mid levels to close off in time for the northeast to get widespread double digits imo

 

i still think this 

[Allsnow]

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Euro weaker and further south this run..we shall see if it makes a difference 

Colder run for nnj and lower Hudson valley. Things don’t look much better around nyc 

[Allsnow]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Colder run for nnj and lower Hudson valley. Things don’t look much better around nyc 

Big hit nnj and Hudson valley 

[Northof78]

Better/Colder Euro run for many, worse for none

[Allsnow]

Euro has that scenario like the gfs for northeast areas 

[Allsnow]

Just now, Allsnow said:

Euro has that scenario like the gfs for northeast areas 

 

[Allsnow]

Snows until Sunday evening 

[Snowlover11]

wow.. euro cold af. keeps nyc snow, incoming MJO post

[Allsnow]

[mannynyc]

Euro similar to the GFS. West and stronger, gets NYC snow. 

[Allsnow]

Snow depth 3-6 for nyc 

[mikeysed]

Euro caving to the GFS from yesterday

[vegan_edible]

euro said "you can count on me"

[vegan_edible]

where is mjo he's about to scream

[Northof78]

GAME ON,; GFS, EURO, RGEM all very close now with N NJ and W metro and NW in a significant snow storm. 

[winterwx21]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Snow depth 3-6 for nyc 

Euro gives us a little more hope. Big model runs coming tonight. 

[vegan_edible]

cmc can kiss it im team euro/gfs this weekend

[Franklin0529]

That 2nd short wave keeps getting stronger and stronger.  Might not be done yet. That's pretty close to something really good to the city. Storm is basically a BM track now