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January Medium-Long Range Discussion


Holston_River_Rambler
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  On 1/9/2024 at 3:05 AM, Nash_LSU said:

That was my thinking, too. Like, it's alright for us on weather message board to throw stuff out, but a news station in a large market is a different story. We get off on this kind of stuff, but we also know it may go poof tomorrow.

That said, we're getting snow next week, dangit :P

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Well the second thought I had was which one of us on the forum works for channel 4??  lol

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  On 1/9/2024 at 3:08 AM, PowellVolz said:

Wind Advisory issued for the Valley.


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Smart move. There have been times I have not been forecasted for wind and I have received large gust. There are also times when the opposite occured. Wind is tough to predict here (as is weather in general) due to the hills, ridges, and general landscape. I have a friend who lives on a hill and it is always breezy. It's like being on the beach. lol Bet he gets some stout gusts tonight and tomorrow, even if I get nada. 

Better safe than sorry, and I don't think the general public will really notice if it doesn't pan out. Good call. 

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  On 1/9/2024 at 3:00 AM, PowellVolz said:


Nothing wrong with tracking 7+ days with an active pattern and arctic air moving in makes this much different IMO.


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Tracking is literally why this forum was created.  I hope folks have a blast tracking.  That is why many of us worked to form this forum many years ago.  We split-off from the southeast forum.  I do know that in the past, many have gotten burned tracking at 7+ days.  I know I have.  We have tracked storms for 5 days only to have it vanish with a couple of days to go.   It is worth restating from time to time that things are going to change between now and next Tuesday.   One thing this forum has always been known for is keeping a level head.

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  On 1/9/2024 at 3:46 AM, Carvers Gap said:

Tracking is literally why this forum was created.  I hope folks have a blast tracking.  That is why many of us worked to form this forum many years ago.  We split-off from the southeast forum.  I do know that in the past, many have gotten burned tracking at 7+ days.  I know I have.  We have tracked storms for 5 days only to have it vanish with a couple of days to go.   It is worth restating from time to time that things are going to change between now and next Tuesday.   One thing this forum has always been know for is keeping a level head.

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Love this forum.  Great input & learning & lots of great laughs!  This possible winter storm is now showing to possibly to begin Sunday afternoon in the western parts of the state.  So for them it’s under 6 days!!!  lol.  What could go wrong!  ALOT! 

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  On 1/9/2024 at 3:53 AM, Matthew70 said:

Love this forum.  Great input & learning & lots of great laughs!  This possible winter storm is now showing to possibly to begin Sunday afternoon in the western parts of the state.  So for them it’s under 6 days!!!  lol.  What could go wrong!  ALOT! 

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I once saw a winter storm warning(model feedback big time) for South Carolina and North Carolina which called for 2-4 feet.  One of my college roommates (hosts a show for ESPN now) lives there.  I told him about it.  He was fired up.  I think they got 2-3" of snow at best.  Man, he was HOT!!!  I am pretty sure that he is still mad about it.  I am always afraid that is he is going to remind me of that on live TV while he does one of his game days.  LOL.  So now, I generally refrain from winter wx talk with most of my friends.  Though, I do have some folks who I talk w/ via text (as in 3 people total).  Most of us can speak a language that many don't know(basically wx acronyms).   This is pretty much the only place I talk about extended wx forecasts.   And it is also why I add multiple caveats at this range.

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  On 1/9/2024 at 4:25 AM, Vol4Life said:

@John1122is it still the 16th or has it sped up to the 15th?  I’m supposed to be flying back home to Knox on the 15th  and want to make sure I get home in time!

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It arrives the evening of the 15th for the western areas and continues into the evening of the 16th for eastern areas.  

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