NorthArlington101 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Crushed at 141, ICON-like for the cities 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1-10 worries about supression with the current trends? What number we at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 ICON is over a foot of snow for the cities. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Love seeing northern stream energy phasing in AND losing the OH Valley low signature. 15 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 LP center is WAY further east versus 06z and 00z for the early morning hours sunday - great for us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 GFS is certainly encouraging. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Oh baby! Holy crap!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Looks suppressed to me. 4 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Classic Mid Atlantic KU as depicted. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 DMV gets worked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 1-10 worries about supression with the current trends? What number we at? I agree with Webb and @psuhoffman here that this thing is likely to inch northward in the last 72-96 hours. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 1-10 worries about supression with the current trends? What number we at? How about...not worrying about anything and just watching, brother? Happy New Year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 if your following trends, you may want this to stop pushing south and east....pretty substantial changes in last 3 model runs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Fringed!!!! WB 12Z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On the back end in Baltimore. Could be really, really nice along I-95 as the temp drops... wet bombs up front, clean flakes coming in on the back, fingers crossed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 ICON snow map for the curious 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: LP center is WAY further east versus 06z and 00z for the early morning hours sunday - great for us. It's honestly further south than I'd like it. This has total wiggle room to come north with that HP to the north and low dews. I'd like to lock this one in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, osfan24 said: Looks suppressed to me. dude the low is due east of the NC/VA border at 144 hours... a hundred miles further NW and we rain in the 95 corridor. This thing is gonna jump around a lot in the next two days 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Love seeing northern stream energy phasing in AND losing the OH Valley low signature. Interesting...it doesn't quite phase all the way unlike previous runs. Close, but not quite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: DMV gets worked you mean screwed? 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Canadian with that sleet and freezing rain signature showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 GFS kind of looks like a little weaker and more progressive version of last nights 00z Euro. Cmc seems lost, but can’t discount it. Not a good consensus suite so far lol. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, Shad said: if your following trends, you may want this to stop pushing south and east....pretty substantial changes in last 3 model runs Good general rule: If we are worried about both suppression AND over-amping, we're in a pretty good spot. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: dude the low is due east of the NC/VA border at 144 hours... a hundred miles further NW and we rain in the 95 corridor. This thing is gonna jump around a lot in the next two days Was not saying this is the final solution but that is definitely suppressed. I don't even think the heavy snow bands reach 95 unless the GFS is just not correctly showing how expansive precip would be on the northwest side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Good general rule: If we are worried about both suppression AND over-amping, we're in a pretty good spot. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Fringed!!!! WB 12Z GFSPosting an unfinished run snowmap to scare people, smh. @ji better? Psu fringed, but I’d wager he’d come in and say the surface depiction was wrong 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 you mean screwed?You want the GFS here at this range historically. . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, Heisy said: GFS kind of looks like a little weaker and more progressive version of last nights 00z Euro. Cmc seems lost, but can’t discount it. Not a good consensus suite so far lol . How much for Philly? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, WxUSAF said: Interesting...it doesn't quite phase all the way unlike previous runs. Close, but not quite. I was noticing that too. The energy is sort of left behind over the OH Valley and it allows the storm to not gain as much latitude. Could very well be noise in this type of setup. What I liked was the persistence of the high over the top and the energy cutting underneath. A little more phasing would've basically produced the ICON simulation. Not a terrible run and actually kind of where you would want to see it in the medium range. GEFS should be pretty 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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