87storms Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Icon is about as tucked as we can afford. Nothing further NW or it's going to be weenie suicide. As is, it's perfect, but I'd be ok with it not trending any further south lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 FWIW the ICON is cooking very well for the 7th. But interesting to see it jump to being so much more amped relative to 00z - was previously very suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Icon is a lot faster and more progressive with the main wave vs gfs etc. fwiw . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 CCB from around 11Pm to early morning. Perfect timing to take advantage of lowest temps. Crazy run. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 22 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: This is probably an NW suburbs event. Closer to I-95 is really walking the fence with this one. Probably. Those events are always tricky around our neck of the woods. Sometimes we score big, but usually it's better to be skeptical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, 87storms said: As is, it's perfect, but I'd be ok with it not trending any further south lol. US 15 corridor on west is in a solid spot right now, so I wouldn't be too concerned. I'm off Wormans Mill on a hill there, so I am currently looking at probably teleworking my night shifts if this pans out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Gfs already looks like confluence/cold should be improved behind the 4th wave. Maybe something mucks it up but the short range trend looks good to me. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It was an improved run and you could see it by d4. I don't pay much mind to the ICON but the run was sweet. All we should care about is keeping the primary as far south of OH as possible for now. ICON had that door closed early 100% agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Bob Chill said: Gfs already looks like confluence/cold should be improved behind the 4th wave. Maybe something mucks it up but the short range trend looks good to me. Coming to post the same thing. Certainly would argue for a good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: US 15 corridor on west is in a solid spot right now, so I wouldn't be too concerned. I'm off Wormans Mill on a hill there, so I am currently looking at probably teleworking my night shifts if this pans out. Nice to see you back in Maryland! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 36 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Were almost down to 5 days nows. Would be nice to get s region wide event. It's been a while lol. And the ski resorts need it so badly. Just looked around and no local resorts are open. You'd have to drive 2 - 3 hours west to find one. Looks like whitetail and Round top opened briefly before shutting down operations. How's wisp? I know there open but is it pretty limited at this point? My husband is a lift operator at Wisp (there now) and I must say that they have done a magnificent job of keeping as much open for as long as they can. Even last year with the endless warm days, they were able to take advantage of the rare cold night to make enough snow to stay open until late March. It is just a perfect day there today - mid 20s with snow falling but not enough to create travel headaches. As @nj2va mentioned, if these solid forecasts pan out, they will be in their best shape - by far - in 2 years. My husband texted earlier saying today is a fun day because everyone (guests and employees) are in a great mood and just enjoying the hell out of a truly winter day. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Gfs already looks like confluence/cold should be improved behind the 4th wave. Maybe something mucks it up but the short range trend looks good to me. We're within 3 days, if something will muck it up there's not much time left for it to show in the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Gfs already looks like confluence/cold should be improved behind the 4th wave. Maybe something mucks it up but the short range trend looks good to me. Like the look of the energy out west early on as well compared to 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 4 minutes ago, katabatic said: My husband is a lift operator at Wisp (there now) and I must say that they have done a magnificent job of keeping as much open for as long as they can. Even last year with the endless warm days, they were able to take advantage of the rare cold night to make enough snow to stay open until late March. It is just a perfect day there today - mid 20s with snow falling but not enough to create travel headaches. As @nj2va mentioned, if these solid forecasts pan out, they will be in their best shape - by far - in 2 years. My husband texted earlier saying today is a fun day because everyone (guests and employees) are in a great mood and just enjoying the hell out of a truly winter day. Wow nice!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: US 15 corridor on west is in a solid spot right now, so I wouldn't be too concerned. I'm off Wormans Mill on a hill there, so I am currently looking at probably teleworking my night shifts if this pans out. The Wegmans/Giant over there is my goto (that or the Hmart off of W. Patrick, depending on my mood)...I'm over in Walnut Ridge/Whittier. The amount of construction since I moved here 2 years ago is significant. I think at minimum, we're looking at snow to start...assuming no drastic changes to the track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 GFS gets some snow into the NW burbs with the 4th event now as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, clskinsfan said: GFS gets some snow into the NW burbs with the 4th event now as well. Saw that as well. I have to stay up that night to prep for night shifts. I might go for a little drive out west to see some flakes and keep me awake. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: GFS gets some snow into the NW burbs with the 4th event now as well. Just a little. But nice upslope for the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Looks to me the GFS is also speeding things up as well some with LP forming along the gulf coast in western LA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 GFS continues to trend towards a later tilt, seems like it's feeling more of the energy behind it. Easily positive through 102. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, baltosquid said: GFS continues to trend towards a later tilt, seems like it's feeling more of the energy behind it. Easily positive through 102. Hope it bodes well for the Mid-Atlantic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: Looks to me the GFS is also speeding things up as well some with LP forming along the gulf coast in western LA. Definitely faster evolution this time. Roughly comparable with the ICON timing-wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Definitely faster evolution this time. Roughly comparable with the ICON timing-wise. Faster the better. Fewer runs between now and Valhalla 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 HP stronger to the North @ 120 as compared to 06z 1030 vs 1027 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Sub freezing temps down into central NC this run. Nice CAD signature. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 HP parked up in eastern canada has that classic look we all love to see. 1030 isn’t the strongest but it will still help to funnel llc down the appalachians. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Low is almost moving through Tallahassee by 120, much quicker! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Buddy1987 said: HP parked up in eastern canada has that classic look we all love to see. 1030 isn’t the strongest but it will still help to funnel llc down the appalachians. Gonna like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Looking like it might be less charged NW than prior runs but perhaps a bit more favorable to a wider area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Oh baby! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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