Kevin Reilly Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: On the positive side if this goes sideways at least we won’t have to hear all the complaining when the snow gets washed away 2 days later by the cutter. That actually happens often! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Observation and 50 year historical record keeping vs clueless and dependents solely upon models. I actually like you and am always curious about what you have to say. But that was basically a 30% chance of anything under the sun.1” is a nuisance - 5” is a WSW. And that ignores the other probs too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 4 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Observation and 50 year historical record keeping vs clueless and dependents solely upon models. You practically said 25% for each of 4 scenarios, so you have all of your bases covered and the forecast is essentially meaningless, but keep trashing others with ad hominem attacks. eta: ninja’d by NA101 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 I believe the EURO looks better than the GFS through hr144 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 I don't get the GEFS love. It spent all of last winter following the op. Seems like it will do the same this winter. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 168 12z Euro has 986 east of ACY... let's see how it gets there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 WB EURO 156, 162 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 I believe the EURO looks better than the GFS through hr144Sorry folks, I lied 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 33 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Don't care if it's rain or snow. Just give me significant precip. Amen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB EURO 156 It is depressing looking at this. So close, yet so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB EURO 156, 162 Any notable trends on the euro? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Yah, I won't be staying up for the EURO tonight... 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Maybe we'll get some flakes on the front end, if the cold air dam is decent? Like that one storm a couple years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Any notable trends on the euro? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Any notable trends on the euro? western trough was weaker and more held back and 50/50 was a lot stronger, big step in right direction we were close 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 It looks fairly different on h5 compared to the GFS to my eyes… still things to figure out. Thats probably the optimistic take. Also the fact that we’ve got 6-7 days to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: Maybe we'll get some flakes on the front end, if the cold air dam is decent? Like that one storm a couple years ago. Yeah I could see this being like the mid Jan 2022 storm as the cold air is a bit stronger out front on the euro vs it’s 0z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Just now, DarkSharkWX said: western trough was weaker and more held back and 50/50 was a lot stronger, big step in right direction we were close Gotcha, thanks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 western trough was weaker and more held back and 50/50 was a lot stronger, big step in right direction we were closeDid the vort over SD/NE hurt us? It didn’t exist on the GFS. Saw the same things you did and assumed it would be a better run but it wasn’t 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 It’s a bit se of 0z. We have 6/7 days it’s gunna change 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 While euro is a disaster for the 7th. It does have lower heights out ahead of the Southwest wave for Jan 9-11 range . 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Did the vort over SD/NE hurt us? It didn’t exist on the GFS. Saw the same things you did and assumed it would be a better run but it wasn’t nah i doubt so, this was a better run and snow came a lot closer to coast, just W of fall line verabritm gets frontend snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 The trends are obvious. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Dust yourselves off and start watching the next one....WB 12Z EURO 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: The trends are obvious. Yes the 6/7 day out trends lol. next run could be over Bermuda 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 A lot stronger HP out ahead of long range event . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 19 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: You practically said 25% for each of 4 scenarios, so you have all of your bases covered and the forecast is essentially meaningless, but keep trashing others with ad hominem attacks. eta: ninja’d by NA101 lol maybe our weather can be described by a uniform distribution 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 The trends are obvious.Only took you a few hours to agree. Heh . 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 39 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: Yeah, trending that way. Appears to be a weakness there up the eastern OV. Yea, there's a return flow later in the week around the hp that moves through the region and doesn't appear to be a strong enough hp building in from the north to offset that. It almost seems like it's a good setup as far as H-L positioning, but too far north and west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Sorry folks, I lied Main issue was that the southwest causing the storm was just way stronger on this run, if that was even a little bit weaker it probably would've turned out far better. At least thats what I saw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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