winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @Ji Case in point there have been 11 snowstorms of greater than 15” here since 1980. Every one of them was also a big storm for you. We share the same big storms. Jan 96: 36” Feb 11 2010: 30” Jan 2016: 28” Feb 2003: 28” Feb 83: 28” Feb 5 2010: 27” Feb 2014: 23” Dec 2009: 18” Feb 1987: 18” March 93: 17” Feb 2006: 16” Yup and every one of those was big for me too!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, osfan24 said: That makes more sense for Feb 2006. College Park clearly in the 8-12 and I am guessing it was much closer to 8 and possibly even a localized amount under 8. I am not sure why, but College Park always seemed to run warmer than surrounding areas. Do remember the February 2003 crushjob very well. That one hit us good down there, though again, not as hard as I got hit at home. UMD has added a micronet to the Maryland Mesonet for College Park. Early results show a clear UHI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 WB ICON 7pm Sat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Feb 2006 One of my top 3 favorite storms of all time. This solidified my goal to become a meteorologist as I was thinking about college applications Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: UMD has added a micronet to the Maryland Mesonet for College Park. Early results show a clear UHI. I don't know if it is the metro or what. Obviously, it's probably even worse now than when I went there since the school and especially surrounding area has become far more built up than it was in the early and mid 2000's. But you would think with some of the green space there that it would help mitigate some of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB ICON 7pm Sat. Those temps are kinda depressing with that track. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 It’s definitely more fun when everybody gets blasted, and those storms seem more likely to be the synoptic monsters that drop a ton of snow anyway. Personally I’m never just rooting for a storm to hit me, I want to see it blanket the entire stretch from DC to BOS. I know that’s rare, we’re talking fantasy ideals. But those are the most fun storms. Get everybody in on the action, and it becomes a major and truly memorable event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Those temps are kinda depressing with that track. Storm is just about over at that time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Remember the days when we complained about getting only 10” before mixing or a dryslot!!! You forgot one a warm tongue of air off the Atlantic switching things over to sleet and freezing drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Seems like timing has sped up some. This was an overnight Satuday into Sunday deal. Looks like it mores of a daytime Saturday event now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 16 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: I hate that Feb 11, 2010, storm with all my heart. I loved it. I was in white marsh MD. We caught the pivot perfectly. Unlike the first one, it was dry powder. I actually had to dig out a spot for my golden the snow was so high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Those temps are kinda depressing with that track. too much flow off the Atlantic there is your warm tongue of air mucking up everything happens most times now. We need a NE or NNE wind vector to hold off the Atlantic think we are still sitting 50+ ACY south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Man I feel WB is running their models on an old Pentium chip, these panels take forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 I see the ICON as the canary in the coal mine. It did not show an inland track, so it was a win for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Latest WPC places the low almost perfect for mid Atlantic and i like the triple highs to the north! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Those temps are kinda depressing with that track. i would not really focus on the ICON's thermals lmao 4 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 9 minutes ago, osfan24 said: I don't know if it is the metro or what. Obviously, it's probably even worse now than when I went there since the school and especially surrounding area has become far more built up than it was in the early and mid 2000's. But you would think with some of the green space there that it would help mitigate some of it. Isn’t the elevation around campus between 100’ and 200’ above sea level ? I lived in College Park for several years, near the beltway, and I think my yard was under 300’. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: i would not really focus on the ICON's thermals lmao Because it’s been so cold otherwise lately. Snark aside it was just an observation. It’s Jan 7. We’re 10 days into a better pattern by then. Perfect storm track. Ya the icon thermals are probably a couple degrees too warm, and that would still be marginal for DC and that’s sad with that track on Jan 7. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 I know we shouldn't focus of thermals this far out, the storm idea is the only key, but it does show how us east of 95 folks can really fail hard here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 12z gfs will be amped, 50/50 backing off a bit and main wave is even stronger, congrats buffalo this run . 1 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 GFS stronger this run. Amped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Heisy said: 12z gfs will be amped, 50/50 backing off a bit and main wave is even stronger, congrats buffalo this run . Not good for mid Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Heisy said: 12z gfs will be amped, 50/50 backing off a bit and main wave is even stronger, congrats buffalo this run . That's no bueno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Gfs is going to be a disaster I think. Hope I’m wrong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Would be a decent thump at least. Gonna be a stressful days of model watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, Heisy said: 12z gfs will be amped, 50/50 backing off a bit and main wave is even stronger, congrats buffalo this run . Time to plan my chase 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Just now, psuhoffman said: Gfs is going to be a disaster I think. Hope I’m wrong Yeah, low is already way too far northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Primary to Ohio is no good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Cmc and icon have much weaker waves which is a saving grace, but idk how much we can rely on that. We’ll see . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Weenie rule book ch. 1 pg 114.. GFS always too quick to erode low level cold and moving of HP systems out of the way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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