jayyy Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 EPS made a similar improvement in the long range. Actually shows signs of cutting energy under the NAO through the 50/50 which is the last step to making that a good snowstorm look here. Keep talking naughty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 tempted to post the JAWS photo looking at hr174 but I don't want to risk my already limited credibility 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 3 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Boom. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Ripping snow at hour 183 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Oh baby. So close to something even bigger. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 8 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 9 8 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Nice to see 2 runs in a row for 1/7. But I wonder how close 1/4 is to something. Gfs doesn’t quite phase the two steams yet. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 47 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: EPS made a similar improvement in the long range. Actually shows signs of cutting energy under the NAO through the 50/50 which is the last step to making that a good snowstorm look here. For balance, I dislike your positive post. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Nice to see 2 runs in a row for 1/7. But I wonder how close 1/4 is to something. Gfs doesn’t quite phase the two steams yet. The NAM was lining us up for the 4th. Maybe we can go back to back? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 This is pretty. 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 i will say this. if this 50/50 is real, it is game on. that feature is a game changer and forces the vort under the block while locking in HP in a perfect spot in SE Canada 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeDeeHCue Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Nice to see 2 runs in a row for 1/7. But I wonder how close 1/4 is to something. Gfs doesn’t quite phase the two steams yet. It’s certainly intriguing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: It’s certainly intriguing Yeah. And even if 1/4 doesn’t quite phase, it can still set us up for 1/7 as depicted by the gfs. Still way out though, I’ll start getting excited when we get it within 5 days 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 This is probably somewhere between a squirrel and a moose. 2 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 GFS trying to go for the combo on Jan 10 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 This thread gives me more whiplash than a Willow Smith music video(Please forgive the OT, but really I felt it had to be said. However it is very nice to see encouraging trends once again on guidance)Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: GFS trying to go for the combo on Jan 10 That's a legit block with surface HP wedging south. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: GFS trying to go for the combo on Jan 10 there's a lot to dissect here... just for fun lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: GFS trying to go for the combo on Jan 10 Positive changes just about everywhere. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Nice to see 2 runs in a row for 1/7. But I wonder how close 1/4 is to something. Gfs doesn’t quite phase the two steams yet. Jan 10 is fun, too, for the simple fact that it essentially takes up nearly the entire eastern half of the country lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Positive changes just about everywhere. Apparently, the geese know what’s up. 5 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: there's a lot to dissect here... just for fun lol Ends up mostly rain but another step in the right direction for that period, which looked like a pure cutter with mild rain a couple runs ago. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Only subtle differences in the upper levels and the overall evolution for the Jan 7th event the last 2 GFS runs. Nice to see such consistency in back to back op runs at this stage. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 10 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: Apparently, the geese know what’s up. They usually have a much sharper perception than humans. Humans are too consumed in knowing when the next 384 hour ensemble or 7 month model is coming in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Ends up mostly rain but another step in the right direction for that period, which looked like a pure cutter with mild rain a couple runs ago.If we get lucky the 7-8th event phases in with the TPV, creates another 50/50 and we stay on the right side of the gradient for a front ended Jan 9-11. It’s certainly possible if the block is real like in the EPs etc . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 If we get lucky the 7-8th event phases in with the TPV, creates another 50/50 and we stay on the right side of the gradient for a front ended Jan 9-11. It’s certainly possible if the block is real like in the EPs etc .The parade of pac waves actually helps us as it speeds up any wave and doesn’t allow them to get too amped. Just need support from a 50/50 and we should be good . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 38 minutes ago, Heisy said: If we get lucky the 7-8th event phases in with the TPV, creates another 50/50 and we stay on the right side of the gradient for a front ended Jan 9-11. It’s certainly possible if the block is real like in the EPs etc . It phases with what's left of the 50-50 from the Jan 4th wave, which then reinforces the positive h5 heights over GL. That's the basic mechanism of an atmospheric block, and what keeps it sustained for a period of time. 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now