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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming


stormtracker
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17 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Doesn’t look like much, but won’t take much to create a follow up wave along that boundary either

That looks like a clear arctic boundary on the models. Some of our biggest snowstorms love to develop along arctic boundaries.   That is a very stout 1051 mb high building south out of western Montana diving down to Texas and Louisanna that will really raise the heights along the East Coast maybe we can get something to develop near Jacksonville Florida or the NE Gulf to move up the coast. 

We likely will know very little until the cutters and the baroclinic zone they leave behind decide what to do in regard to the next cold push and storm development.  

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i know it’s out there, but the 20th really seems like the time for something bigger after the potential event on the 17th.

can see the GFS tank heights over the N Atl as the block decays. it fits the general KU progression (just a progression, not guaranteeing anything)

IMG_4179.thumb.png.5ef6c8182cecdd07fc17a79439188993.png

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24 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

That looks like a clear arctic boundary on the models. Some of our biggest snowstorms love to develop along arctic boundaries.   That is a very stout 1051 mb high building south out of western Montana diving down to Texas and Louisanna that will really raise the heights along the East Coast maybe we can get something to develop near Jacksonville Florida or the NE Gulf to move up the coast. 

We likely will know very little until the cutters and the baroclinic zone they leave behind decide what to do in regard to the next cold push and storm development.  

I really hope with all my heart, that that FRIGID high does NOT end up in Texas! We would be 40 degrees below normal! Or even WORSE!

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