Alfoman Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 My god that cold push at hour 168 is insane - 0's and below down to Arkansas 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Founders CBS. A tad bit more substantial. At 5.9 % I can enjoy with a little buzz. 11.7% would put me on a psychedelic spin. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 I am sticking with wine, because I am preparing for the mass whining to commence in 3..2..1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 This seems extreme 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 Close. The NS energy dropping in overtop damps the wave some. We know that vortex is going to be problematic, but with timing this can work. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 1 minute ago, GATECH said: I am sticking with wine, because I am preparing for the mass whining to commence in 3..2..1 Nobody should be complaining about a what looks like a cold front and flurries. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 18z GFS gives us a quick dusting day seven. Seems to be the only events that produce anything along I95 anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 11 minutes ago, Alfoman said: My god that cold push at hour 168 is insane - 0's and below down to Arkansas -30s leeside of the Rockies in the central US. Damn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 6 minutes ago, Scraff said: Nobody should be complaining about a what looks like a cold front and flurries. They should start brining the roads… 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 17 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Brooklyn Brewery Black Chocolate Russian Imperial Stout Damn dude. A tad Jelly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 Problem is that 970s/980s mb low in SE Canada. Not going to cool down enough if that happens. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 Seems appropriate....Flying Dog Family Drama pilsner 9.5% 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 GFS just can't jel with the front on Monday. Tomorrow will be better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 1 minute ago, southmdwatcher said: Seems appropriate....Flying Dog Family Drama pilsner 9.5% That's good stuff! Not your typical pilsner. Love the name too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 4 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Problem is that 970s/980s mb low in SE Canada. Not going to cool down enough if that happens. Chuck.. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 Wasn't a bad run. I don't think anyone is expecting a huge hit or this to trend into anything too intense with the 15th-16th thing. Maybe I'm wrong but I think the upside is somewhat capped with this one. However, I'm certain many would be OK with a ground whitener followed by BN cold. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2024 Author Share Posted January 8, 2024 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Chuck.. All the way to Proxima Centauri B 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2024 Author Share Posted January 8, 2024 48 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Ra**y it gotten too hard. I would not miss like I did last one pre 2012. And it’s happened too much in last 12 years. Reliable enso the NAO and AO are not the predictors they once were. Solid cold air now moves out in a heartbeat. Planetary changes. What I accumulated from 1965 to 2012 does not prevail anymore Makes me assess interest It's all frustrating, but we gotta hang in there. I hope this all pays off with a HECS, but I'd be satisfied with SECS. ETA : Rephrase... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: That's good stuff! Not your typical pilsner. Love the name too. Imma have to try that one. My one and only experience with Flying Dog was Raging Bitch. Way too aggressive flavoring for me and I'm generally a fan of all thing Belgian. But this one was not my cup of tea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 24 minutes ago, paulythegun said: This seems extreme Well then it fits in perfectly with our two storms in the Mid-West Extreme moving to the East Coast wait until you see tomorrow night into Wednesday and Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 21 minutes ago, Amped said: 18z GFS gives us a quick dusting day seven. Seems to be the only events that produce anything along I95 anymore. This has happened before back in the 80's and 90's snow squalls drops an inch or two and into the icebox and then three days later, we get hammered with a storm from the south as the cold air reloads. I think these extreme cutters blizzards, rain, and wind events will manifest our pattern that we want for snow patience it is coming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Wasn't a bad run. I don't think anyone is expecting a huge hit or this to trend into anything too intense with the 15th-16th thing. Maybe I'm wrong but I think the upside is somewhat capped with this one. However, I'm certain many would be OK with a ground whitener followed by BN cold. My lifelong fascination with the weather and 60 years of observations tell me that Jan. 15 - Mar. 15 will produce. This winter is removed from recent crap. Just please be patient and give it a chance. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 20 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: -30s leeside of the Rockies in the central US. Damn. I would think that pops a ridge out of the Gulf of Mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darkstorm Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 All the way to Proxima Centauri BMaybe there’s some city lights to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 Tpv positioning takes big dog out of play if that’s legit, but could def get a light event if you get the right balance of press from the front. It digs too much with the tpv sitting to our N than it’s a rain event, too much and it’s suppressed. Need a proper balance. Wish I had the $ to head to Midwest for these next few events, ya wanna go Ralph? I’ll buy the drinks . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 18z GEFS pretty much aligns with the damped wave idea on the op. Less precip as it moves eastward into the MA. Not awful, but defo not the 12z run. Just to reiterate, the 12z GEFS was one of the better runs for the MA for this window. Signal for frozen through our region was quite good for this range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: 18z GEFS pretty much aligns with the damped wave idea on the op. Less precip as it moves eastward into the MA. Not awful, but defo not the 12z run. Just to reiterate, the 12z GEFS was one of the better runs for the MA for this window. Signal for frozen through our region was quite good for this range. Yeah, it looks suppressed this run. Not the worst problem to have at this range though 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 Appears regardless of meeting the criteria for an official SSWE ( u wind reversal ) just the fact that the PV continues under pressure and will likely remain weak is the main takeaway according to Tomer and Dr Lee. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 18z GEFS pretty much aligns with the damped wave idea on the op. Less precip as it moves eastward into the MA. Not awful, but defo not the 12z run. Just to reiterate, the 12z GEFS was one of the better runs for the MA for this window. Signal for frozen through our region was quite good for this range.What would change in just 6 hours in the ensembles world 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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