Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 hours ago, TSSN+ said: Just lock it in already N trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: N trend Voice of Reason…..Avocados 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Voice of Reason…..Avocados I was joking of course....but that overall look presented on the ens would be more of a suppression trend imho. That is, if those looks held and are close. I would take my chances with those look 7 days a week tho and I have more to lose wrt suppression up in SE PA where I'm at. I do like where we are headed....quite a bit actually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 15 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I was joking of course....but that overall look presented on the ens would be more of a suppression trend imho. That is, if those looks held and are close. I would take my chances with those look 7 days a week tho and I have more to lose wrt suppression up in SE PA where I'm at. I do like where we are headed....quite a bit actually. It’s there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Question: where are the geese? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJ3 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 11 minutes ago, J.Mike said: Question: where are the geese? Well today they were all in Rehoboth Beach. I was out this morning before the rain and I saw no less than 10 large flocks in one hour. It was incredible. Seemed to be heading South but who knows. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 26 minutes ago, J.Mike said: Question: where are the geese? Wawa 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 15 minutes ago, TJ3 said: Well today they were all in Rehoboth Beach. I was out this morning before the rain and I saw no less than 10 large flocks in one hour. It was incredible. Seemed to be heading South but who knows. Yes they were- they’ve been crazy around here the last 3 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 never look a snow map straight in the eyes. take a quick glance get a sense of it and move onThanks but I really don't need the advice from you, respectfully. Been on these boards since 2003. I know how snow maps work, and I know what our climo and expectations are down here. Thank you.(Not to even mention that this was a historical snow map from a storm that happened in 1996)Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 45 minutes ago, J.Mike said: Question: where are the geese? 1 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, Solution Man said: Voice of Reason…..Avocados But those Squishable avocadoes are so...damned cute!! (Yes, I have one!) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 50 minutes ago, J.Mike said: Question: where are the geese? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 hours ago, Heisy said: I still don’t think the 13th will cut like the GFS. Regardless, todays 18z gfs reminded me of Feb 2-3 96 . which event was this again? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: N trend We definitely need this one!!! Wish it wasnt 10 days out but im glad we have abother one to track ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 hours ago, TSSN+ said: Just lock it in already Looks great!! Long way to go still but the 10 days will go fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 The -NAO is rushing out in a hurry. That's going to give it 10 days! The December one was 10 days too. If you look back over the last several Winters they have not had much staying power. Since we have an ongoing Stratosphere warming through mid-month, it's especially not happening because these usually correlate with 500mb ridging +time. The GEFS wants to quickly turn the NAO positive post 1-20. I'm honestly willing to take a chance, I feel the Pacific could be more favorable if we have +nao conditions develop. Before then, Pacific ridge is still kind of south to favor a snowstorm, then the NAO lifts out, although when it's rapidly rising to Neutral (Jan 16-17) we are more likely to see snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, J.Mike said: Question: where are the geese? Pissing in the Delaware River, The Delaware Bay, The Chesapeake Bay, and the Atlantic keeping them warming up! Then they will continue flying south towards suppression. However, they know this is the season of the One and Done! I know someone back there was saying nickel and dime our way to 2-4" but looking at how things are right now think we have a better shot of the 20" snowstorm mid-west to the East Coast in time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 which event was this again?February 2-3 1996. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 23 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Looks great!! Long way to go still but the 10 days will go fast Don't go chasin' blizzards stick to the cold rain and sleet you're used to. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 My son went snowboarding in WV Canaan yesterday…asked me why we live here…said it was no elevation and stupid…I just said I don’t know son…I don’t know 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 My son went snowboarding in WV Canaan yesterday…asked me why we live here…said it was no elevation and stupid…I just said I don’t know son…I don’t knowSounds like you raised him right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7 Author Share Posted January 7 GFS won't play ball this run...but we got like a trillion hours to go 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 HeadscratchingSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Headscratching Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk I don’t know man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Gfs basically seasonable cold for usSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 hours ago, IUsedToHateCold said: Now, I am ravenous! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 hours ago, Ji said: Headscratching Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk What in the polar opposite El Nino is going on here? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 If tonight’s runs are correct we wait until 18-19th and beyond for any threats for when the lower heights finally push far enough E. Till then the WAR ridge is too strong because of the -PNA. Annoying, but maybe we get lucky with an Archambault event once block has retrograded. If we go cutter, cutter, cutter then cold and dry before warming up then I’ll just delete my wxbell subscription and cliff dive . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, Heisy said: If tonight’s runs are correct we wait until 18-19th and beyond for any threats for when the lower heights finally push far enough E. Till then the WAR ridge is too strong because of the -PNA. Annoying, but maybe we get lucky with an Archambault event once block has retrograded. If we go cutter, cutter, cutter then cold and dry before warming up then I’ll just delete my wxbell subscription and cliff dive . Look at the ensembles this far out not the op runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Look at the ensembles this far out not the op runs Those are going to wrong way as well tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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