Solution Man Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 12:16 AM, Weather Junkie said: Which mountains? Expand The Ural Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 12:05 AM, Fozz said: I see some nice upslope potential for MLK weekend in the mountains @nj2va Expand Agreed, good signal as of now and nice timing with MLK weekend. The ski resorts will need it after Tuesdays cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 12:54 AM, nj2va said: Agreed, good signal as of now and nice timing with MLK weekend. The ski resorts will need it after Tuesdays cutter. Expand Send pics. I have a serious snow craving. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 1:13 AM, ravensrule said: Send pics. I have a serious snow craving. Expand Last year I took the family up to deep creek/swanton for MLK weekend. We had 6-10” from the storm that came through which was too warm for the folks further east. Then the upslope turned on and we had whiteouts on and off. Finished at 21-22” for the weekend 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 The storm we’re potentially tracking for around the 17th is crashing onshore around Oregon at 144 hours. It dives under the trough and then phases with it. The 18z EPS made a really good trend East with the trough. . 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 Giddy up. 17 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 That’s a big shift. Makes it hard to dump the trough in the SW 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 1:16 AM, DDweatherman said: Last year I took the family up to deep creek/swanton for MLK weekend. We had 6-10” from the storm that came through which was too warm for the folks further east. Then the upslope turned on and we had whiteouts on and off. Finished at 21-22” for the weekend Expand I think that was 2022. Incredible event though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 2:33 AM, Fozz said: I think that was 2022. Incredible event though. Expand Yeah we know DANG well it wasn't last year, lolol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 2:06 AM, Heisy said: The storm we’re potentially tracking for around the 17th is crashing onshore around Oregon at 144 hours. It dives under the trough and then phases with it. The 18z EPS made a really good trend East with the trough. . Expand Looks like it got deeper south not sure I see further east. Am I missing the east shift? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 2:40 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah we know DANG well it wasn't last year, lolol Expand Last year was an atrocity here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/7/2024 at 8:51 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Shoot the damn geese already....false fucking signals Expand They are just confused like all other animals cut them a break! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 i mean these are Canadian geese, did anyone think they might actually like snow? so if you seem them leaving your area, bad sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/7/2024 at 9:01 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Cutters are the norm in a Nino....this I agree with. Assuming we cash in big at some point, never a guarantee. Expand I thought Cutters were a La Nina thing with a Southeast Ridge? Seems to change like the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 2:06 AM, Heisy said: The storm we’re potentially tracking for around the 17th is crashing onshore around Oregon at 144 hours. It dives under the trough and then phases with it. The 18z EPS made a really good trend East with the trough. . Expand Wow nice improvement!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 2:45 AM, BristowWx said: Looks like it got deeper south not sure I see further east. Am I missing the east shift? Expand The blue line( im gonna guess thats the 0 Celsius line) does move slightly south.... in my opinion. Althought if ya listen to my wife i see only what i want to see lmaoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 3:33 AM, winter_warlock said: The blue line( im gonna guess thats the 0 Celsius line) does move slightly south.... in my opinion. Althought if ya listen to my wife i see only what i want to see lmaoo Expand The blue line is the 540 dm height line, and not the better known 540 dm thickness line. The 540 thickness line is well known to approximate line for where it is cold enough to snow, but I have no idea what the 540 height line represents. Anybody else know. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 3:41 AM, cbmclean said: The blue line is the 540 dm height line, and not the better known 540 dm thickness line. The 540 thickness line is well known to approximate line for where it is cold enough to snow, but I have no idea what the 540 height line represents. Anybody else know. Expand This is correct. The 540 height line is usually different from the 540 thickness line because of the variation of surface pressures. But if the surface pressure is exactly 1000 mb, then the 540 height is the same as the 540 thickness line, where thickness is defined as the height between the 1000mb and 500mb pressure surfaces. Usually, though, sfc pressure is a little higher than 1000 mb, so you have this extra air under the 1000-500mb layer, so the total height from surface to 500mb would be greater than 5400m… UNLESS the column is so cold that the 500mb pressure surface shrinks vertically below 5400m. Why highlight the 540dm height line? I don’t know. Seems mostly arbitrary. Or that 1000mb is the closest pressure surface to the actual surface. Someone can probably explain it better than me. Or use ChatGPT 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 2:33 AM, Fozz said: I think that was 2022. Incredible event though. Expand Yes fozz, definitely was. Shows how quick time flies when you have 3 kids in a 4 year span. It’s all merged together. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2024 Author Share Posted January 8, 2024 If I were in Chicago, I'd be hugging the GFS for that weekend storm. Damn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 4:09 AM, stormtracker said: If I were in Chicago, I'd be hugging the GFS for that weekend storm. Damn Expand 961 low, good grief 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 4:09 AM, stormtracker said: If I were in Chicago, I'd be hugging the GFS for that weekend storm. Damn Expand Your thread title says winter is coming. Can you tell it to hurry tf up? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 The entire mitten of Michigan is mauled on the GFS. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2024 Author Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 4:10 AM, snowfan said: Your thread title says winter is coming. Can you tell it to hurry tf up? Expand Cap'n, I'm giving it all she's got! 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 4:12 AM, stormtracker said: Cap'n, I'm giving it all she's got! Expand Lmaoooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 Dam that really is a monster this weekend on the gfs...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2024 Author Share Posted January 8, 2024 GFS pretty interesting for that 16th period..not quite there yet 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 4:23 AM, stormtracker said: GFS pretty interesting for that 16th period..not quite there yet Expand Gfs “checking” to make sure where Mt. PSU is… 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 A shift east with the snow compared to 18z in mid Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 8, 2024 Share Posted January 8, 2024 On 1/8/2024 at 4:27 AM, LP08 said: Gfs “checking” to make sure where Mt. PSU is… Expand That check mark has to mean something 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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