ravensrule Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Dude, you've been posting these epic looks for like 2 months now....weeklies, monthlies, ens, etc. Eventually you will hit. You are this forum's JB, without a doubt sir...and I mean that with all due respect. I mean this with all due respect, your moronic comments are the reason pros don’t like to post here. 5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 23 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: i have no idea where that came from, but that accusation was so foul i had to respond lmao This happens every crappy year. Usually right after the last legit threat for snow fails in late Feb or March. Seems we’ve skipped to that part of the annual cycle already. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Big one could be forming on the GFS with the 16-18th wave . 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Amped up -PNA = Cutter. The NAO isn't going to help. Hopefully something changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Trough maybe a touch too far west to hold the cold we’ll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 5 minutes ago, Heisy said: Big one could be forming on the GFS with the 16-18th wave Block over the Aleutian islands now. A few days ago, it was Alaska. Hard not to get a little SE ridge with that in January. But there is a ridge in the WC, so maybe it can dampen the wave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 @brooklynwx99 please ignore grumpy rude Ralph. We really appreciate your contributions here. 13 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Storm on GFS goes from too far east at 12 z to a lil too far west at 18z lol. But at 9 days out. Ill take it. Im sure the models will be all over the place for at least a few more days!! I dont think anyone wants to be in the bullseye 232 hours out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: Storm on GFS goes from too far east at 12 z to a lil too far west at 18z lol. But at 9 days out. Ill take it. Im sure the models will be all over the place for at least a few more days!! I dont think anyone wants to be in the bullseye 232 hours out lol I want to be in the bullseye every run 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: Storm on GFS goes from too far east at 12 z to a lil too far west at 18z lol. But at 9 days out. Ill take it. Im sure the models will be all over the place for at least a few more days!! I dont think anyone wants to be in the bullseye 232 hours out lol Would rather it was around JAX at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Watching SE Canada pressure https://ibb.co/tC5bQQN 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: The SE side of the low may go a little warmer.. my opinion https://ibb.co/tC5bQQN Keep us updated please. We’re on the edge of our seats. 2 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Keep us updated please. We’re on the edge of our seats. model error/biases are worth pointing out 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 54 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: i have no idea where that came from, but that accusation was so foul i had to respond lmao To be honest, you had every right to respond as you did. Being "compared" to JB is a real insult, in my opinion! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 59 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: i have no idea where that came from, but that accusation was so foul i had to respond lmao You clearly have done a poor job making the atmosphere do what the models say...you need to work on that part of your game. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 We’re not gonna know the exact jan 16-17 track within 200 miles until the second cutter passes by 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: But he did say with all due respect. Which usually means not nice is forthcoming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Gfs was close. But again it stalled another wave before getting to where we need to cut off the WAR. If A was at B instead that would have been a HECS. It would give more room for the next wave to amplify and at the same time turn the flow over top of us to block a the next wave from continuing to gain latitude. basically it would promote a more amplified wave to try to come at us from the southwest while at the same time having it hit a brick wall in the TN valley and force it to turn east under us. That’s our big snow look. But so long as these tpv waves keep stalling under the block then rotating back and not progressing east under it into 50/50 it leaves the door open for the next wave to cut. Im not saying it’s going to do that. Just saying until one of these systems gets into the 50/50 and severs the war nao link the next wave is likely to try to cut if it amplifies. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: We’re not gonna know the exact jan 16-17 track within 200 miles until the second cutter passes by From now on I’m going to wait until 24 hours remaining to comment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 29 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Would rather it was around JAX at this point Nah we played that game in Dec 2018...never made it up here, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Well the WB 18Z GEFS looks a lot better than the GFS 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 WB 18Z GEFS 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS I like it, wish it would stay that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Looks like we need to be worried more about suppression on the GEFS than a cutter for the 16th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: Looks like we need to be worried more about suppression on the GEFS than a cutter for the 16th. Right where we want it atm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Looks like we need to be worried more about suppression on the GEFS than a cutter for the 16th. You know better. It’ll be in freakin DTW by Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Junkie Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 hours ago, TSSN+ said: If you like a cutter sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 16 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Looks like we need to be worried more about suppression on the GEFS than a cutter for the 16th. The only concern I have with suppression is if there's no storm lol. Yesterday's storm was majorly suppressed till inside a week. On its way north we fell into the bullseye for about a day of model runs 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: i have no idea where that came from, but that accusation was so foul i had to respond lmao 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I see some nice upslope potential for MLK weekend in the mountains @nj2va 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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