Paleocene Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, MN Transplant said: CoD has me at 15" 10:1, 10" Kucera, and 2" snow depth. LOL Yeah, the temp maps verbatim have most of the region (east of the blue ridge) above freezing during the bulk of the heavy snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Happy happy hour! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Feb 83 rates lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, MN Transplant said: CoD has me at 15" 10:1, 10" Kucera, and 2" snow depth. LOL Seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Tucked 4 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Need a good excuse not to sleep over at work Saturday night and for calling out Sunday. Dang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 This is a classic track from the 60's!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Tucked I think we should call this the Justin Tucker storm. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Some wind too...WB GFS 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Cold high location exactly the same the last 3 runs, remarkable consistency 10 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Weather Will said: Some wind too...WB GFS Hmmm might not have the temps for it but we would definitely have blizzard criteria winds!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, CAPE said: That is pretty far north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Its not really a B though. I’m not having that debate again. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Seriously? Not worth fretting about. Column is fine and heavy snow accumulates. Our risk is track. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 4 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Cold high location exactly the same the last 3 runs, remarkable consistency And the high is getting stronger with each run. Its a shame there is nothing to stall it. But it is a classic bomb. Just gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: That is pretty far north. Nice 1032 high to the north too!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 February track. Just moves a little too fast for 30" totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, CAPE said: That’s how we would setup the snow map if we wanted it to snow here. High pressure just in Canada, low over Hatteras, 50/50, a little east but whatever. Nearly Textbook. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 For fun - 138h sounding at KIAD in the middle of the storm 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Happy happy hour! Sipping my last 120. Looking really good for the NW crew, and it remains to be seen for the lowlands. A bit tenuous. Last 2 runs of the GFS are perfectly acceptable though. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 The 875 - 1000mb layer is pretty concerning for east of 95. This is probably all or 90% snow for DC. But more movement NW will make it even dicier 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Terpeast said: For fun - 138h sounding at KIAD in the middle of the storm Now do DCA. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 i would like to see south shifts on the ensembles & models into 0z now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 6 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, H2O said: Now do DCA. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 6 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Its not really a B though. We'll run circles defining the hybrids. We've done it many times lol. Any storm that jumps is called a Miller b because it looks like one but me and you dont see it that way. Barolclinic transfers from a low approaching from the deep south is not a Miller b in my book. They usually have big juicy WAA in front. A defining difference from a NS Miller B that never gets going until it's gaining latitude. Just my take and separates the 2 in my brain with how I view the possibilities. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, AtlanticWx said: i would like to see south shifts on the ensembles & models into 0z now. Me too. We have so little wiggle room and we can't afford a slight north jog. 18z gfs just gave us a bit more breathing room 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: For fun - 138h sounding at KIAD in the middle of the storm Perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: i would like to see south shifts on the ensembles & models into 0z now. I would love to see this sumbitch shift south a hair and to see the CAD beef up more. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Me too. We have so little wiggle room and we can't afford a slight north jog. 18z gfs just gave us a bit more breathing room yeah i like seeing all that snow south of the fall line. but euro definitely scares me. while ik icon is shit, im just glad it shifted south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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